2025 Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) Export: Extreme Volatility
Key Takeaways
Crude Petroleum, classified under HS Code 270900 (Oils; petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude), exhibited extreme volatility from January to October 2025.
- Market Pulse: Export volumes surged 262% from February to September before collapsing 93% in October, reflecting price-driven demand swings rather than steady growth.
- Structural Shift: Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export relies heavily on Thailand (80.25% of value), creating supply chain vulnerability despite premium pricing for higher-grade crude.
- Product Logic: HS Code 270900 trade data shows 75% of exports concentrated in crude petroleum (27090010), with unit prices averaging $0.54/kg—confirming a commodity-driven, volume-over-value market.
This overview covers the period from January to October 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Key Metrics Trend
Market Trend Summary
The Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export trend from January to October 2025 showed pronounced volatility, with export volumes surging 262% from February’s 331.51 million kg peak to a September high of 464.97 million kg, before collapsing 93% to 32.56 million kg in October. This pattern reflects shifting global crude demand and pricing dynamics rather than steady growth, with total value fluctuating between $17.16 million and $202.53 million monthly.
Drivers & Industry Context
The volatility aligns with typical crude market behavior—supply adjustments and spot price sensitivity—rather than specific policy shocks, as Indonesia’s March 2025 export proceeds rule exempted oil and gas [Orrick]. The hs code 270900 value peaked in March at $202.53 million amid stable volumes, then diverged sharply in June and September as volume surges coincided with price drops to $0.29/kg, indicating competitive discounting or lower-quality cargoes. The October volume collapse likely reflects contract timing or temporary logistical constraints, not structural changes.
Table: Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export Trend (Source: yTrade)
| Date | Value | Weight | Unit Price | Value MoM | Weight MoM | Unit Price MoM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 | 70.84M USD | 128.64M kg | $0.55/kg | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-02-01 | 190.77M USD | 331.51M kg | $0.58/kg | +169.30% | +157.71% | +4.50% |
| 2025-03-01 | 202.53M USD | 355.26M kg | $0.57/kg | +6.17% | +7.16% | -0.93% |
| 2025-04-01 | 104.32M USD | 192.25M kg | $0.54/kg | -48.49% | -45.89% | -4.81% |
| 2025-05-01 | 89.09M USD | 176.05M kg | $0.51/kg | -14.60% | -8.42% | -6.74% |
| 2025-06-01 | 119.75M USD | 408.91M kg | $0.29/kg | +34.42% | +132.27% | -42.13% |
| 2025-07-01 | 125.31M USD | 234.54M kg | $0.53/kg | +4.64% | -42.64% | +82.44% |
| 2025-08-01 | 146.94M USD | 274.16M kg | $0.54/kg | +17.26% | +16.89% | +0.32% |
| 2025-09-01 | 150.07M USD | 464.97M kg | $0.32/kg | +2.13% | +69.60% | -39.78% |
| 2025-10-01 | 17.16M USD | 32.56M kg | $0.53/kg | -88.56% | -93.00% | +63.34% |
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Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Breakdown
Market Composition & Top Categories
According to yTrade data, Indonesia's HS Code 270900 Export is overwhelmingly dominated by sub-code 27090010 for crude petroleum oils, which captured over 75% of the export value and 65% of the weight in the first ten months of 2025. The remaining sub-codes, including 27090020 and minor variants, collectively accounted for less than 25% of the value, indicating a highly concentrated market with minimal diversification in product forms. This concentration underscores Indonesia's reliance on a single, high-volume category for crude oil exports.
Value Chain & Strategic Insights
Unit prices for Indonesia's HS Code 270900 breakdown ranged from 0.32 to 0.87 USD/kg, with the dominant sub-code averaging 0.54 USD/kg, reflecting a commodity market where price sensitivity dictates trade flows rather than quality or specialization. The trade structure is characterized by competitive pricing and volume-driven exports, typical of raw material markets. This analysis confirms that Indonesia's crude petroleum exports operate in a price-sensitive environment, with little evidence of value-added differentiation.
Check Detailed HS Code 270900 Breakdown
Indonesia Crude Petroleum Destination Countries
Geographic Concentration & Market Risk
Indonesia's Crude Petroleum exports from Jan to Oct 2025 show extreme market concentration. Thailand is the dominant partner, accounting for 80.25% of total export value. This heavy reliance on a single buyer for Indonesia Crude Petroleum export destinations creates significant supply chain vulnerability to demand shifts or political changes in that market.
Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation
The trade data reveals a market paying for quality over sheer bulk. Thailand's value share (80.25%) notably outpaces its weight share (68.89%), indicating its refineries are buying higher-value crude grades. This premium demand profile, combined with high shipment frequency, points to quality-conscious processing. For trade partners for Crude Petroleum, this represents a market offering superior margin potential rather than pure volume scale.
Table: Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THAILAND | 976.42M | 13.74M | 134.00 | 1.79B |
| CHINA MAINLAND | 73.57M | 1.09M | 8.00 | 135.23M |
| SOUTH KOREA | 66.34M | 1.10M | 8.00 | 303.09M |
| MALAYSIA | 49.95M | 723.16K | 4.00 | 98.18M |
| SINGAPORE | 28.61M | 417.04K | 3.00 | 54.05M |
| AUSTRALIA | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
Get Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Complete Destination Countries Profile
Indonesia Crude Petroleum Buyer Companies Analysis
Buyer Concentration & Market Structure
According to yTrade data, the dominant buyer segment for Indonesia Crude Petroleum exports under HS Code 270900 from January to October 2025 is the high-value, high-frequency group, holding 76.81% of the total value share. This points to a market structure anchored by stable, contract-based supply chains, with key accounts like ExxonMobil and BP Singapore making consistent, large-volume purchases. Such concentration highlights that Indonesia Crude Petroleum buyers are primarily loyal, repeat customers driving the bulk of trade.
Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy
The high-volume repeaters exhibit frequent, high-value transactions, indicating entrenched long-term relationships and predictable procurement cycles. Sellers should prioritize maintaining these key accounts through reliable delivery and competitive pricing, while actively diversifying to reduce concentration risk from over-reliance on a few major players. Tracking HS Code 270900 buyer trends will help anticipate market shifts and tailor strategies to capture emerging opportunities without compromising core partnerships.
Table: Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)
| Buyer Company | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXTAP A DIVISION OF EXXONMOBIL ASIA PACIFIC PTE LTD | 264.70M | 3.55M | 13.00 | 485.16M |
| TIS PETROLEUM ASIA PTE LTD | 229.15M | 3.24M | 30.00 | 432.86M |
| GLENCORE SINGAPORE PTE LTD | 163.14M | 2.40M | 18.00 | 302.38M |
| BP SINGAPORE PTE LIMITED | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
Check Full Indonesia Crude Petroleum Buyers list
Action Plan for Crude Petroleum Market Operation and Expansion
- Diversify buyer base: Reduce reliance on Thailand by targeting refineries in emerging markets like Vietnam or India to mitigate geopolitical or demand shocks.
- Lock in contracts with high-frequency buyers: Secure long-term agreements with key accounts (e.g., ExxonMobil, BP Singapore) to stabilize revenue amid volatile spot prices.
- Optimize logistics for bulk shipments: Negotiate freight rates or storage deals to offset thin margins from low unit prices ($0.29–$0.87/kg).
- Monitor HS Code 270900 sub-codes: Track shifts in demand for 27090020 (minor variants) to identify niche opportunities for less commoditized products.
- Hedge against price swings: Use futures or indexed pricing to protect margins during periods like June and September, when volume surges coincided with price drops.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export in 2025?
The volatility in Indonesia's Crude Petroleum exports is driven by shifting global demand and price sensitivity, with volumes fluctuating from 331.51 million kg in February to a peak of 464.97 million kg in September before collapsing to 32.56 million kg in October.
Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) in 2025?
Thailand dominates Indonesia's Crude Petroleum exports, accounting for 80.25% of total export value, indicating extreme market concentration.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export in 2025?
Unit prices vary due to the dominance of sub-code 27090010 (crude petroleum oils), averaging $0.54/kg, while minor sub-codes like 27090020 reflect commodity-driven pricing rather than quality differentiation.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Petroleum export market?
Exporters should prioritize maintaining high-value, high-frequency buyers like ExxonMobil and BP Singapore while diversifying to reduce reliance on Thailand, which holds 80.25% of export value.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Petroleum export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers in Thailand benefit from higher-value crude grades, as their value share (80.25%) exceeds weight share (68.89%), indicating premium demand and stable procurement cycles.
Q6. How is Crude Petroleum typically used in this trade flow?
Crude Petroleum is primarily exported as raw material for refining into fuels and petrochemicals, with Indonesia's trade heavily skewed toward unprocessed crude oils (sub-code 27090010).
Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAR
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAY
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUN
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 AUG
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 SEP
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 OCT
Indonesia HS Code 270900 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1
2025 Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 2709) Export: Extreme Volatility
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2025 Indonesia Petroleum Oils (HS 2710) Export: Volatile Swings
Indonesia's Petroleum Oils Export (HS Code 2710) saw dramatic swings in 2025, with a 96.7% surge in March and a 39.7% drop in July. Track trends on yTrade for insights.
