Indonesia Crude Oil HS270900 Export Data 2025 April Overview

Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 270900) 2025 April Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Crude Oil Export (HS Code 270900) in April 2025 shows Thailand dominating as the primary buyer, accounting for 77.5% of value and 76.4% of weight, signaling high market concentration risk. The slightly higher value-to-weight ratio suggests Thailand purchases a marginally superior grade, with an average unit price of $0.55/kg. This analysis, covering April 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database. The heavy reliance on Thailand underscores the need for diversification, while stable trade flows persist due to unchanged regulations. Secondary buyers like China and South Korea show lower shares and unit prices, reflecting niche demand. Regional proximity and refinery needs drive this trade pattern, requiring vigilance on price and geopolitical shifts.

Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 270900) 2025 April Export Background

Indonesia's Crude Oil (HS Code 270900: petroleum oils and oils from bituminous minerals, crude) fuels global industries like energy and transportation, maintaining steady demand. Recent policies like Permendag 8/2025 focus on mineral exports [Permitindo], while Indonesia’s crude oil exports remain pivotal, balancing domestic refining needs and international market shifts in 2025. As a key supplier, Indonesia’s April 2025 trade dynamics reflect its strategic role in stabilizing regional and global crude oil flows.

Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 270900) 2025 April Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In April 2025, Indonesia's crude oil exports under HS Code 270900 recorded a value of 104.32 million USD and a volume of 192.25 million kg, marking a significant downturn from previous months.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The data shows a sharp month-over-month decline in both value and volume from March to April 2025, with exports dropping by nearly 50%. This volatility aligns with typical crude oil industry cycles, where export flows can be disrupted by factors like production adjustments or inventory drawdowns. The earlier spike in February and March might reflect seasonal stock buildup or temporary supply boosts, but April's pullback suggests a normalization or response to shifting global demand patterns.

External Context and Outlook

While no specific policy changes affected crude oil exports in April, global oil markets remain influenced by OPEC+ production strategies and geopolitical events. Indonesia's export performance is likely tied to these broader price movements and domestic output levels. Looking ahead, stability may depend on sustained international demand and any future regulatory shifts, though current trends indicate a cautious near-term outlook.

Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 270900) 2025 April Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In April 2025, Indonesia's Crude Oil exports under HS Code 270900 are heavily concentrated, with sub-code 27090010 for petroleum oils crude accounting for over 80% of both export value and weight. The unit price is around 0.55 USD per kilogram, and no extreme price anomalies are present, indicating consistent product quality across shipments.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

Both sub-codes, 27090010 and 27090020, represent identical crude petroleum oils, forming a single homogeneous category. This structure confirms that Indonesia's Crude Oil exports are fungible bulk commodities, traded primarily based on global oil indices rather than differentiated value-add stages or grades.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Exporters face limited pricing power due to the commodity nature of Crude Oil, with prices driven by international market trends. Strategic efforts should focus on optimizing volume and logistics. Current export regulations for HS Code 270900 remain stable as of April 2025, supporting predictable trade flows.

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Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 270900) 2025 April Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In April 2025, Indonesia's Crude Oil HS Code 270900 Export shows strong geographic concentration, with Thailand as the dominant buyer, holding 77.49% of the value and 76.36% of the weight. The slightly higher value ratio compared to weight ratio indicates Thailand may be purchasing a slightly higher grade of crude oil, with an average unit price of about 0.55 USD per kilogram.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The partner countries form two clusters: a primary cluster with Thailand, and secondary clusters with China Mainland and South Korea. Thailand's dominance likely comes from regional proximity and stable demand. China and South Korea, with lower shares and unit prices near 0.54 and 0.49 USD per kilogram, might be smaller buyers due to specific refinery needs or alternative supply sources.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For exporters, the heavy reliance on Thailand suggests a risk from single-market dependence, urging diversification to other Asian markets. The lack of new regulatory changes for crude oil in April 2025 [Permitindo] supports stable trade flows, but monitoring price shifts and geopolitical factors remains key for supply chain resilience.

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Indonesia Crude Oil (HS 270900) 2025 April Export: Action Plan for Crude Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Crude Oil Export 2025 April under HS Code 270900 operates as a bulk commodity market. Prices are driven by global oil indices and geopolitical stability, not product differentiation. The supply chain faces high concentration risk. Thailand dominates as a single buyer for over 77% of volume. High-value, high-frequency buyers control nearly 80% of trade. This creates vulnerability to demand shifts in one market or from few clients. Indonesia acts primarily as a supply security source, not a value-add processor. Stable regulations support predictable flows but do not mitigate underlying risks.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Oil Market Execution

• Use buyer transaction frequency data to negotiate long-term volume contracts with top clients. This secures stable revenue and reduces market volatility risk.
• Analyze unit price variations across partner countries like China and South Korea. Target markets with higher willingness to pay to improve margin potential.
• Monitor real-time shipping and logistics data to optimize vessel scheduling and reduce demurrage costs. This cuts operational expenses in a low-margin environment.
• Diversify export destinations using trade flow analytics to identify new demand clusters in Asia. This reduces over-reliance on Thailand and spreads market risk.
• Track geopolitical and regulatory alerts for crude oil to anticipate supply chain disruptions. This enables proactive adjustment of export volumes and timing.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Oil Export 2025 April?

A1. Indonesia's Crude Oil exports dropped by nearly 50% in April 2025 due to volatile industry cycles, likely reflecting production adjustments or shifting global demand patterns after a temporary spike in February-March.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Oil Export 2025 April?

A2. Thailand dominates with 77.5% of export value, followed by China Mainland and South Korea as secondary buyers with smaller shares.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Oil Export 2025 April partner countries?

A3. Thailand pays slightly higher unit prices (0.55 USD/kg) for its bulk purchases, while China and South Korea’s lower prices (0.54 and 0.49 USD/kg) may reflect specific refinery needs or alternative supply sources.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Oil export market?

A4. Exporters should prioritize nurturing relationships with high-value buyers (79.7% of trade) while diversifying to reduce reliance on Thailand’s dominant market share.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Thailand’s buyers benefit from stable supply and regional proximity, while China and South Korea’s smaller shares suggest niche demand or competitive sourcing strategies.

Q6. How is Crude Oil typically used in this trade flow?

A6. Indonesia’s Crude Oil exports are fungible bulk commodities, primarily traded for refining into fuels or petrochemicals based on global oil indices.