Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS270900 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) export in July 2025 reveals a highly concentrated market, with Thailand dominating 79.95% of trade value, signaling over-reliance risk. The tight value-weight correlation (0.54 USD/kg) confirms standardized crude quality without premium variations. Buyer concentration underscores vulnerability, while secondary markets like South Korea and China hint at diversification potential. This analysis, covering July 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 July Export Background

Indonesia's Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) refers to oils from bituminous minerals, a critical feedstock for energy and petrochemical industries, ensuring steady global demand. While recent 2025 policy shifts like Permendag 8/9 focus on minerals and palm oil [Permitindo], Indonesia remains a key player in crude exports, with July 2025 data reflecting its role in balancing regional supply chains. The country's strategic reserves and refining capacity reinforce its export position amid fluctuating commodity markets.

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Crude Petroleum exports under HS Code 270900 reached USD 125.31 million with a volume of 234.54 million kg in July 2025, showing a modest value recovery from June's USD 119.75 million despite a significant 42.7% month-over-month volume contraction. This divergence signals stronger per-unit pricing during the period.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The July export performance reflects typical petroleum market volatility, where volume and value often decouple based on global price swings rather than shipment quantities. The sharp QoQ volume drop from June's 408.91 million kg likely indicates inventory drawdowns or shipment timing adjustments, common in crude oil trade cycles. Year-to-date, values remain volatile but within Indonesia's export pattern for this commodity, with no structural shift evident in the 2025 data trajectory.

External Context and Outlook

While Indonesia implemented new export regulations for minerals and palm oil in 2025 [Permitindo], these policies did not target crude petroleum exports under HS Code 270900. The July trends align more with global crude oil price movements and potential rupiah exchange rate effects than policy changes. For Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export 2025 July, the outlook remains tied to international energy markets rather than domestic trade policy shifts.

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, the Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 export is heavily concentrated, with sub-code 27090010 for petroleum oils crude dominating at over 75% of both value and weight shares. This sub-code has a unit price of 0.54 USD per kilogram, slightly higher than other variants, indicating its central role in the export structure without extreme price anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export consists of two sub-codes, both classified as crude petroleum oils with nearly identical unit prices around 0.52-0.54 USD per kilogram. This uniformity confirms a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are undifferentiated and likely tied to global oil price indices, with no significant value-add stages or quality grades present.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

As a bulk commodity, Indonesia's Crude Petroleum export under HS Code 270900 faces limited pricing power, driven largely by international market fluctuations rather than product differentiation. Market players should focus on cost efficiency and volume management, with no major regulatory shifts indicated for 2025, suggesting stable but competitive conditions.

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Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export in 2025 July shows high geographic concentration, with THAILAND dominating as the top importer, holding 79.95% of the value and 79.24% of the weight share. The close match between value and weight ratios across all countries, like THAILAND's 79.95% value to 79.24% weight, indicates a consistent product grade typical of commodities, with unit prices around 0.54 USD/kg suggesting standardized crude oil quality without significant premium variations.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear clusters: THAILAND as the primary destination, likely due to its proximity and existing refining infrastructure in Southeast Asia, facilitating cost-effective trade. SOUTH KOREA and CHINA MAINLAND represent a secondary cluster with smaller shares (12.94% and 7.11% value respectively), possibly driven by their strategic energy needs and regional supply chain integrations, reflecting Asia's concentrated demand for Indonesian crude.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, this concentration risks over-reliance on THAILAND, urging diversification to mitigate supply disruptions. Given Indonesia's recent export regulation changes, such as Permendag 8/2025 focusing on mineral exports [Permitindo], exporters should monitor for potential policy shifts affecting crude petroleum, ensuring compliance and exploring alternative markets like other Asian economies to stabilize supply chains.

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Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Crude Petroleum Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 July under HS Code 270900 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global oil indices, not product differentiation. Supply chains face high concentration risks in buyers and destinations. Thailand dominates as the primary importer, reflecting reliance on regional refining hubs. This creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Petroleum Market Execution

• Monitor Thailand’s import trends monthly to anticipate demand changes and avoid supply disruptions. This maintains revenue stability given its 80% market share.
• Diversify export destinations using trade data to target secondary markets like South Korea or China. This reduces over-dependence on a single buyer cluster.
• Strengthen contracts with high-frequency, large buyers to secure volume commitments. This ensures predictable cash flow in a volatile commodity market.
• Track regulatory updates, such as Permendag 8/2025, for potential impacts on crude petroleum exports. This prevents compliance issues and supply chain interruptions.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 July?

The July 2025 export saw a 42.7% volume drop but higher total value due to stronger per-unit pricing, reflecting global crude oil market volatility rather than structural shifts.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 July?

Thailand dominates with 79.95% of export value, followed by South Korea (12.94%) and China (7.11%), forming a concentrated regional trade network.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 July partner countries?

Prices are nearly uniform (0.52–0.54 USD/kg) as the export consists of undifferentiated crude petroleum oils, with no quality or value-add variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Petroleum export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant large buyers (84.53% of value) while diversifying into smaller frequent purchasers to mitigate over-reliance risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Petroleum export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face stable supply conditions but should monitor Indonesia’s potential policy shifts and explore alternative sources to reduce dependency on a single supplier.

Q6. How is Crude Petroleum typically used in this trade flow?

The crude petroleum is traded as a bulk commodity, primarily for refining into fuels and petrochemicals, with no downstream processing in Indonesia.