Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS270900 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Export in 2025 Q2 reveals a market dominated by Thailand, which accounts for 75.82% of the value, signaling a premium trade relationship and high geographic concentration risk. The secondary cluster of buyers—South Korea, China, and Australia—offers diversification potential but remains overshadowed by Thailand's bulk shipments. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights the need for strategic supply chain adjustments to mitigate over-reliance on a single importer.

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia’s Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) refers to oils from bituminous minerals, a critical feedstock for energy and petrochemical industries, ensuring steady global demand. While recent policy shifts like palm oil levy hikes [Oleochemicals Asia] and eased import rules [WABX] dominated Q2 2025, Indonesia remains a key crude exporter, balancing domestic refining needs with international market opportunities.

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export in 2025 Q2 recorded a total value of 313.16 million USD and a volume of 777.21 million kg, showing a noticeable decline from the previous quarter.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-over-quarter, Q2 value fell by 32.5% from Q1's 464.14 million USD, while volume dipped slightly to 777.21 million kg from 815.41 million kg. This downturn aligns with typical seasonal patterns in oil markets, where Q1 often sees higher exports due to winter demand peaks, followed by a Q2 lull as global inventories adjust. Monthly data reveals volatility, with a sharp volume spike in June to 408.91 million kg coinciding with a lower value, indicating potential price softening or shifts in export grades during the period.

External Context and Outlook

While direct policy news for crude petroleum is limited, broader Indonesian trade developments provide context. The government raised export levies on palm oil in May 2025 [FAS USDA], reflecting a trend toward increased export taxes that could indirectly pressure energy sectors. Additionally, eased import restrictions in June (WABX) may support domestic refining capacity. Looking ahead, global oil price fluctuations and domestic policy adjustments will likely drive Indonesia's crude export trajectory through 2025.

Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Indonesia's Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export for 2025 Q2, the market is dominated by sub-code 27090010, which accounts for over 82% of the export value and nearly 64% of the weight. This product, described as crude petroleum oils, has a unit price of 0.52 USD per kilogram, significantly higher than the other major sub-code, indicating a clear specialization in higher-value crude grades. The second sub-code, 27090020, also crude petroleum oils, holds a 17.83% value share with a lower unit price of 0.20 USD per kilogram, but no extreme price anomalies are present to isolate from the analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The sub-codes under HS Code 270900 can be grouped into two categories based on unit price disparities: higher-grade crude (27090010) and lower-grade crude (27090020). Both are raw, unrefined commodities, suggesting that Indonesia's exports are primarily fungible bulk goods, with pricing likely tied to global oil indices rather than value-added processing. This structure points to a trade in standardized commodities where grade differences drive price variations, rather than manufactured or differentiated products.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export in 2025 Q2, the reliance on bulk commodity exports means limited pricing power, as prices are subject to international market fluctuations. Strategic focus should be on optimizing production costs and maintaining consistent quality to compete globally, rather than pursuing value-added diversification.

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Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export in 2025 Q2 shows a highly concentrated market, with Thailand dominating as the top importer, accounting for 75.82% of the total value and 58.37% of the weight. The higher value ratio compared to weight ratio suggests that Thailand is paying a premium unit price, likely for higher-quality crude or favorable trade terms, indicating a strong bilateral trade relationship in energy resources.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two main clusters: first, Thailand stands alone with frequent, high-volume purchases, possibly due to its proximity and existing energy infrastructure. Second, South Korea, China, Australia, Malaysia, and Singapore make up a secondary group with lower but significant imports, driven by regional demand for refining or strategic reserves, with South Korea notably having a higher weight share despite lower frequency, pointing to bulk shipments.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, this concentration means relying heavily on Thailand could pose supply chain risks, so diversifying to secondary clusters like South Korea or Australia may enhance stability. Given crude petroleum's commodity nature, focusing on long-term contracts and monitoring geopolitical shifts in Southeast Asia will be key to securing consistent export flows from Indonesia in 2025.

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Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Crude Petroleum Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q2 under HS Code 270900 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by crude grade quality and global oil index fluctuations, not value-added processing. The market shows high reliance on Thailand as a single dominant buyer and a few high-volume purchasers. This creates supply chain risks from geopolitical shifts or demand changes in key markets. Exporters must prioritize supply security and cost efficiency to compete globally.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Petroleum Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term contracts with top Thai importers using purchase frequency data. This locks in stable revenue and reduces exposure to spot market volatility.
• Diversify exports to secondary markets like South Korea and Australia by analyzing their import patterns. This minimizes risk if Thailand's demand changes unexpectedly.
• Segment buyers by value and frequency to tailor sales strategies for high-volume partners. This ensures resource allocation to the most profitable relationships.
• Monitor crude grade pricing (HS Code 27090010 vs. 27090020) to optimize export mix for higher margins. This maximizes returns by focusing on premium crude grades.
• Track regulatory updates like Ministry of Trade policies affecting commodity exports. This avoids disruptions from sudden policy shifts in Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q2.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q2?

The Q2 export value fell by 32.5% from Q1, driven by seasonal demand shifts and potential price softening, with a June volume spike suggesting grade adjustments or market volatility.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q2?

Thailand dominates with 75.82% of export value, followed by South Korea, China, Australia, Malaysia, and Singapore as secondary buyers.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

The price gap stems from grade differences: sub-code 27090010 (high-grade crude at 0.52 USD/kg) accounts for 82% of value, while 27090020 (lower-grade at 0.20 USD/kg) covers the remainder.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Petroleum export market?

Exporters should prioritize long-term contracts with dominant high-value buyers (75.77% of trade) and diversify to secondary markets like South Korea to mitigate over-reliance on Thailand.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Petroleum export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Thailand benefit from stable supply but face concentration risks, while secondary markets like South Korea gain opportunities for bulk purchases at competitive rates.

Q6. How is Crude Petroleum typically used in this trade flow?

The exports consist of unrefined bulk commodities, primarily destined for refining or strategic reserves, with pricing tied to global oil indices rather than processed value.

Detailed Monthly Report

Indonesia HS270900 Export Snapshot 2025 APR

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Indonesia HS270900 Export Snapshot 2025 JUN