Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS270900 Export Data 2025 Q1 Overview
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q1 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia’s Crude Petroleum Export (HS Code 270900) in 2025 Q1 reveals Thailand as the dominant buyer, capturing 85.5% of volume and value, signaling stable pricing and uniform product grade. The market shows concentrated risk with Thailand’s overwhelming share, while secondary buyers like China and South Korea suggest regional backup demand. Exporters should prepare for regulatory shifts under Indonesia’s new sustainability-focused trade rules. This analysis, covering 2025 Q1, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q1 Export Background
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) refers to oils from bituminous minerals, crude, a critical feedstock for energy and petrochemical industries, ensuring steady global demand. In early 2025, Indonesia introduced export policy changes under Permendag 8 & 9/2025, tightening controls to prioritize sustainable extraction and domestic processing [Permitindo]. As a key exporter, Indonesia’s 2025 Q1 adjustments reflect its balancing act between revenue and resource management, shaping trade flows for HS Code 270900.
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q1 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
In Q1 2025, Indonesia's Crude Petroleum exports under HS Code 270900 totaled approximately 464 million USD in value and 815 million kg in volume, marking a strong quarter with substantial growth from January to March.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Exports surged month-on-month, with value jumping from 70.84 million USD in January to 190.77 million USD in February and then to 202.53 million USD in March. Volume followed a similar pattern, rising from 128.64 million kg to 355.26 million kg. This sequential increase aligns with typical oil industry cycles, where Q1 often sees production ramp-ups and inventory adjustments as operators capitalize on stable demand periods. The sharp rise suggests exporters were responding to internal stock management rather than seasonal factors alone.
External Context and Outlook
The volatility in exports is directly linked to Indonesia's new trade policies. The Ministry of Trade's Permendag No. 8 and 9 of 2025, effective March 10, introduced stricter export controls for minerals including crude petroleum, aiming to boost domestic processing [Permitindo]. This likely drove the pre-regulation export spike in February and March as firms rushed to ship before restrictions tightened. Moving forward, these policies may sustain export fluctuations while supporting Indonesia's shift toward value-added production.
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q1 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
In Q1 2025, Indonesia's Crude Petroleum exports under HS Code 270900 are highly concentrated in sub-code 27090010 for crude petroleum oils, which accounts for over 72% of the export value and weight at a unit price of 0.57 USD per kilogram. Sub-code 27090090 is an anomaly with a higher unit price of 0.87 USD per kilogram but minimal volume, so it is excluded from further analysis.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
The main sub-codes, 27090010 and 27090020, both involve crude petroleum oils with nearly identical unit prices around 0.58 USD per kilogram. This consistency points to a market for fungible bulk commodities, where products are undifferentiated and prices are closely linked to global crude oil benchmarks rather than value-added processing.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
For Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export in 2025 Q1, the commodity-based structure means limited pricing power for exporters, with revenues driven by international oil price trends. New export regulations under Permendag 8 and 9 of 2025 [Permitindo] may introduce stricter controls, emphasizing the need for compliance and adaptive market strategies to navigate potential supply constraints.
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Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q1 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
Indonesia's Crude Petroleum HS Code 270900 Export in 2025 Q1 shows Thailand as the dominant buyer, with an 85.47% share by weight and 85.67% by value, indicating a consistent product grade with uniform pricing around 0.57 USD/kg. The close match between value and weight ratios suggests stable, high-volume trade without significant quality variations, typical for commodity exports.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
The trade partners form two clusters: Thailand alone as the primary destination, likely due to geographic proximity and established energy supply chains, while China and South Korea represent smaller, secondary markets with similar ratio patterns, possibly driven by regional demand or backup sourcing strategies in Asian energy networks.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Exporters should prepare for potential regulatory shifts, as Indonesia's new export rules under Permendag 8 & 9 of 2025 emphasize sustainability and could tighten crude petroleum flows (Permitindo). Diversifying buyers beyond Thailand may mitigate risks from any future export controls or domestic prioritization.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| THAILAND | 397.61M | 5.37M | 59.00 | 696.92M |
| CHINA MAINLAND | 50.93M | 752.83K | 6.00 | 91.01M |
| SOUTH KOREA | 15.59M | 235.09K | 3.00 | 27.49M |
| ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS 270900) 2025 Q1 Export: Action Plan for Crude Petroleum Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q1 under HS Code 270900 operates as a bulk commodity market. Its price is driven by global crude oil benchmarks, not product differentiation. The supply chain faces high concentration risk. Thailand dominates as a single buyer for over 85% of volume. This creates dependency. New Indonesian regulations (Permendag 8/2025) may tighten export controls. Supply security and processing hub roles are critical implications.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Petroleum Market Execution
- Diversify buyer portfolio using trade data to target secondary markets like China and South Korea. This reduces over-reliance on Thailand and mitigates risk from potential export policy shifts.
- Strengthen contract terms with high-value, high-frequency buyers to lock in stable volumes. This ensures revenue consistency in a volatile global price environment.
- Monitor regulatory updates from Permitindo in real-time to anticipate permit changes or quotas. This allows for agile compliance and avoids supply chain disruptions.
- Analyze shipment frequency data to optimize inventory levels and logistics planning. This prevents overstock or shortages, aligning with buyer purchase cycles.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q1?
The surge in exports (464M USD value, 815M kg volume) reflects pre-regulation stock adjustments, as firms rushed shipments ahead of Indonesia's stricter export controls under Permendag 8 & 9 of 2025.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q1?
Thailand dominates with 85.5% share by value and weight, followed by smaller contributions from China and South Korea.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Petroleum Export 2025 Q1 partner countries?
Sub-code 27090090 (0.87 USD/kg) has a higher price than the bulk commodity 27090010 (0.57 USD/kg), but its minimal volume makes it an outlier.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Petroleum export market?
Maintain ties with dominant high-value/high-frequency buyers (70.6% of exports) but diversify to mitigate over-reliance on Thailand and regulatory shifts.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Petroleum export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Thailand’s buyers enjoy stable bulk supply, while secondary markets (China, South Korea) may face tighter access due to Indonesia’s domestic processing push.
Q6. How is Crude Petroleum typically used in this trade flow?
It serves as a fungible bulk commodity for energy production or refining, with undifferentiated grades tied to global oil benchmarks.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS270900 Export Snapshot 2025 JAN
Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS270900 Export Data 2025 October Overview
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Export to Thailand hit 100% in Oct 2025, revealing extreme supply chain risk at 0.53 USD/kg, per yTrade data.
Indonesia Crude Petroleum HS270900 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia Crude Petroleum (HS Code 270900) Export in 2025 Q2 shows 75.82% reliance on Thailand, with yTrade data revealing diversification potential in South Korea, China, and Australia.
