2025 Indonesia Coconut oil (HS 1513) Export: Volatile Surge

Key Takeaways

Coconut oil, classified under HS Code 1513 (Coconut oil, palm kernel oil or babassu palm fruit oil and their fractions, whether refined or not, but without chemical modification:), exhibited high volatility from January to September 2025.

• Market Pulse: Exports surged 43.6% in March to $374.3M but collapsed 35.8% in September as volumes dropped over 41%, driven by policy shifts and demand elasticity.
• Structural Shift: Indonesia Coconut oil Export reliance on China (nearly 25% of value) creates single-point risk, with minor diversification from the US and Netherlands.
• Product Logic: HS Code 1513 trade data shows a commodity-driven market, with refined palm kernel oil (46.14% share) and bulk coconut oils (30% combined) dominating at $1.66–2.52/kg.

This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Indonesia Coconut oil Export trend from January to September 2025 showed pronounced volatility, with a strong first-half performance giving way to a sharp third-quarter reversal. Exports surged in Q1, climbing 43.6% in March to $374.3M, but momentum faltered mid-year as volumes contracted. Prices peaked at $2.19/kg in September, yet total value collapsed 35.8% that month as shipment weights dropped over 41%.

Drivers & Industry Context

This volatility stemmed from policy shifts and global demand pressures. The May 2025 export levy hike [USDA] and July tariff adjustments [Global Trade Alert] inflated costs, pushing prices upward but suppressing volumes. The hs code 1513 value reflects these crosscurrents: higher levies boosted per-kg returns temporarily, but demand elasticity triggered the September volume crash (ytrade).

Table: Indonesia Coconut Oil Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Indonesia HS Code 1513 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The dominant export under Indonesia HS Code 1513 is refined palm kernel or babassu oil, capturing 46.14% of the total value share. According to yTrade data, refined and crude coconut oil variants collectively contribute over 30% of exports, with refined coconut oil at 16.88% and crude at 14.69%. The remaining Indonesia HS Code 1513 export volume consists of minor specialty oils, including a small fraction of high-unit-price products.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices for the core products cluster between 1.66 and 2.52 USD per kilogram, reflecting a commodity market driven by price sensitivity rather than quality differentiation. This HS Code 1513 breakdown confirms a trade structure centered on bulk, minimally processed oils, where cost efficiency dictates competitiveness. Exporters should prioritize scale and supply chain optimization to maintain margins in this volatile segment.

Table: Indonesia HS Code 1513) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Indonesia Coconut Oil Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Indonesia's coconut oil exports in the first three quarters of 2025 show extreme concentration, with China accounting for nearly a quarter of all value. This heavy reliance on a single market for Indonesia Coconut oil export destinations creates significant supply chain vulnerability to any demand shifts or trade policy changes from Beijing. The United States and Netherlands, while the next largest partners, do not provide sufficient diversification to mitigate this single-point risk.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

China's nearly identical value and weight ratios indicate a commodity market focused on volume scale, not margin potential. This pattern suggests price-sensitive bulk processing for industrial use or stockpiling, not premium consumer demand. The high frequency of shipments to Malaysia and Sri Lanka, relative to their volume share, points to fragmented, high-frequency demand from these trade partners for Coconut oil, likely for regional distribution or JIT manufacturing needs.

Table: Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Indonesia Coconut Oil Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the market for Indonesia Coconut oil buyers is overwhelmingly dominated by a core group of loyal, high-volume partners. This segment, representing 96.51% of total export value, operates on stable, contract-based supply chains, as evidenced by their immense purchase frequency and quantity. Key accounts like PACIFIC INTER-LINK SDN BHD drive this concentrated, predictable demand structure.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

This extreme concentration on a few key accounts creates significant risk; losing even one major buyer would severely impact revenue. Sellers should prioritize deepening relationships with these high-volume repeaters through long-term contracts and value-added services to ensure retention. For diversification, targeted efforts to attract the smaller, infrequent buyers noted in the data could mitigate over-reliance, aligning with broader HS Code 1513 buyer trends favoring stable supply partnerships.

Table: Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Coconut Oil Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyer base: Target smaller, infrequent buyers to reduce reliance on the 96.51% concentrated high-volume segment.
• Lock in contracts: Secure long-term agreements with key accounts like PACIFIC INTER-LINK SDN BHD to stabilize revenue amid volatility.
• Optimize logistics: Cut costs in bulk oil shipments to maintain margins in the price-sensitive $1.66–2.52/kg range.
• Monitor China policy: Track trade levies and tariffs (e.g., May 2025 hike) to anticipate demand shocks in this critical market.
• Shift to premium niches: Explore higher-margin specialty oils within HS Code 1513 to offset commodity price pressures.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coconut oil HS Code 1513 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coconut oil Export in 2025?

The volatility stems from policy shifts like export levy hikes and tariff adjustments, which temporarily raised prices but triggered a demand crash by Q3 2025, with September volumes dropping over 41%.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Indonesia Coconut oil (HS Code 1513) in 2025?

China dominates with nearly 25% of export value, followed by the United States and Netherlands, though these secondary markets lack sufficient diversification to offset reliance on China.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Indonesia Coconut oil Export in 2025?

Prices cluster between 1.66–2.52 USD/kg, reflecting a commodity-driven market where bulk refined palm kernel or coconut oils (46.14% share) dictate pricing, with minimal premium differentiation.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coconut oil export market?

Prioritize retaining high-volume buyers (96.51% of value) through long-term contracts while targeting smaller, infrequent buyers to mitigate over-reliance on a few key accounts.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coconut oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

China’s bulk-focused purchases signal price-sensitive industrial demand, while frequent shipments to Malaysia/Sri Lanka suggest JIT regional distribution needs, offering stability but limited margin upside.

Q6. How is Coconut oil typically used in this trade flow?

The data indicates industrial-scale processing or stockpiling, given the dominance of minimally processed bulk oils (e.g., refined palm kernel oil) and commodity-level pricing.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Indonesia HS Code 1513 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

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