Indonesia Coconut Oil HS1513 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Coconut Oil exports (HS Code 1513) in September 2025 show strong geographic concentration, with the US dominating as the top importer at 26.21% of export value, signaling stable demand for standard-grade product. The market remains steady, with key clusters including China and Netherlands, while emerging buyers like the Philippines and Russia offer diversification potential. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513), which includes coconut, palm kernel, and babassu oil fractions, is a key ingredient for food, cosmetics, and biofuels, driving steady global demand. In 2025, Indonesia's export policies for palm oil derivatives—like higher levies and stricter reporting—indirectly impact HS 1513 trade, as the government pushes downstream processing and domestic biodiesel use [PwC]. As a top global supplier, Indonesia's September 2025 exports of Coconut Oil remain critical for buyers despite regulatory shifts.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export 2025 September saw a sharp 41% month-over-month volume contraction, despite unit prices surging to a yearly high of $2.19/kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The significant Q3 volume decline, particularly the 41% drop from August to September, indicates that high prices are suppressing export demand. This is typical for vegetable oils like coconut oil, where buyers often seek cheaper substitutes or delay purchases when prices spike. The overall 2025 trend shows resilient demand in the first half, but the third quarter’s soaring prices clearly eroded volume momentum.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia’s broader vegetable oil policy environment is contributing to this volatility. [PwC Indonesia] and the [USDA GAIN Report] confirm raised export levies on palm oil, which tightened global supply and supported competing oils like coconut. Furthermore, the government's push for more downstream processing [Bappenas Journal] may be shifting export composition toward higher-value products. These factors suggest continued price support but also potential volume pressure ahead.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Indonesia's Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 export structure for September 2025 is dominated by refined palm kernel or babassu oil (HS 15132995), which holds a 39% value share despite a moderate unit price of $2.00/kg. This product moves the largest volume at 54.6 million kg, indicating its role as a high-volume, mid-value export stream. One extreme price anomaly (HS 15132110 at $3.44/kg) is present but represents negligible volume and is excluded from the main analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining non-anomalous exports fall into two clear groups based on processing stage. Crude coconut oils (HS 15131190 and 15131110) average $2.48/kg, while refined versions (HS 15131990 and 15131910) command a premium at $2.60/kg. Similarly, refined palm kernel/babassu oils (HS 15132994, 15132991) cluster around $1.87–$2.05/kg. This narrow price band and bulk volume nature (millions of kg per shipment) confirm these are fungible commodity trades, not differentiated finished goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 exporters in September 2025, pricing power remains limited due to commodity characteristics, though slight premiums exist for refined products. The market structure aligns with Indonesia's broader policy push for downstream processing [PwC Indonesia], as seen in refined products' higher value share. Exporters should focus on cost-efficient refining to capture marginal gains, while monitoring potential policy shifts like export levies [USDA] that may affect competitiveness.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In September 2025, Indonesia's coconut oil exports under HS Code 1513 show strong geographic concentration, with the UNITED STATES as the dominant importer by value, accounting for 26.21% of export value. The nearly equal value ratio and weight ratio for the US indicates a consistent product grade, likely standard coconut oil, with an estimated unit price of approximately USD 2.17 per kilogram.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form three clear clusters. The first cluster includes the US, China, and Netherlands, which are major economies with high demand for edible oils, explaining their large import volumes. The second cluster consists of Philippines and Russia, with solid import shares possibly due to regional proximity and increasing domestic consumption. The third cluster, such as Malaysia with a higher value-to-weight ratio, may import more refined coconut oil products, reflecting varied end-use requirements.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prioritize securing supply chains to key markets like the US and China to maintain stability. Exploring growth in medium-sized markets like Philippines or Russia could diversify risk. While no direct policies affect coconut oil, monitoring broader Indonesian agricultural export regulations, as seen in palm oil sectors, may help anticipate changes.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 September market under HS Code 1513 is extremely concentrated. A single group of large-scale, regular buyers dominates, accounting for 98.82% of the total export value. This group also handles nearly all the volume (99.13%), making a few frequent, high-volume transactions the market's defining characteristic. The median trade involves large, recurring shipments from a handful of major players.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The remaining three segments of buyers play minor roles. A set of infrequent but large-quantity buyers contributes a small share of value (0.47%), likely representing occasional bulk purchases. Another group consists of frequent but low-volume buyers, contributing minimal value (0.36%) and possibly acting as small-scale distributors. The final cluster of infrequent, small-quantity buyers has the smallest impact (0.35%), which could include spot market participants or trial orders.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian exporters, the strategy must focus on maintaining relationships with the dominant large-scale buyers. The high dependency on this single cluster creates significant risk if any major buyer changes suppliers or if new policies disrupt trade. [PwC Indonesia] notes recent regulatory changes, including increased export levies, which could impact cost structures and buyer behavior. The sales model should prioritize securing long-term contracts with key partners while monitoring for any new export restrictions that may arise from domestic policy shifts, as indicated by ongoing government considerations (PwC Indonesia).

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Coconut Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 September under HS Code 1513 is a commodity market. Price is driven by product grade, with refined oils commanding a slight premium over crude. Geopolitical risks, like export levy policies, also influence costs. Supply chain implications include high dependency on a few large buyers, requiring strong relationship management. Geographic concentration in markets like the US demands secure logistics. Indonesia serves as a processing hub, emphasizing cost-efficient refining to maintain competitiveness.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coconut Oil Market Execution

• Use buyer concentration data to negotiate long-term contracts with top clients. This secures stable demand and reduces vulnerability to shifts.
• Analyze geographic trade patterns to expand into secondary markets like the Philippines. It diversifies risk and taps into growth opportunities.
• Monitor policy updates through trade databases for early warning on levy changes. This allows proactive cost adjustments and pricing strategies.
• Leverage HS Code 1513 detail to optimize refining processes for higher-value products. It captures marginal price premiums and supports downstream goals.
• Implement shipment frequency analysis to align inventory with buyer cycles. It prevents overstock and improves cash flow management.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coconut Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 September?

A sharp 41% month-over-month volume contraction occurred due to surging prices ($2.19/kg), suppressing demand as buyers sought substitutes. Regulatory shifts like higher export levies and Indonesia’s downstream processing push further contributed to volatility.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 September?

The UNITED STATES dominates with 26.21% of export value, followed by China and the Netherlands. These three major economies form the top cluster, driven by high edible oil demand.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 September partner countries?

Prices vary by processing stage: crude coconut oils average $2.48/kg, while refined versions command $2.60/kg. Malaysia’s higher value-to-weight ratio suggests imports of pricier refined products.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coconut Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize long-term contracts with dominant large-scale buyers (98.82% of value) and monitor policy risks like export levies. Cost-efficient refining can capture marginal premiums.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coconut Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face reliance on Indonesia’s concentrated supply, with price volatility likely. The US and China benefit from stable grade consistency, while niche markets like Malaysia access refined products.

Q6. How is Coconut Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The bulk volume and narrow price bands indicate fungible commodity trades, primarily for edible oil or industrial uses, with refined products targeting higher-value applications.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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