2025 Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) Export: Volatility Surge
Key Takeaways
Crude Palm Oil, classified under HS Code 151110 (Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified), exhibited high volatility from January to October 2025.
- Market Pulse: Volumes surged 428% month-on-month to 136.3M kg in February, peaked at 366.1M kg in July, then collapsed 83% by September due to regulatory shifts.
- Structural Shift: Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export reliance on India (91.6% of value) creates extreme geographic risk, with minimal diversification to secondary markets like the Netherlands and Germany.
- Product Logic: HS Code 151110 trade data shows a pure commodity market, with 96% of exports as bulk crude palm oil at uniform prices (1.04–1.13 USD/kg), offering no premium differentiation.
This overview covers the period from January to October 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) Key Metrics Trend
Market Trend Summary
The Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export trend for HS Code 151110 exhibited pronounced volatility from January to October 2025, defined by two major surges followed by sharp contractions. Shipments opened weakly in January at 25.8M kg before exploding 428% month-on-month to 136.3M kg in February. After a correction, volumes built steadily through mid-year, peaking at 366.1M kg in July—the highest monthly volume in the period—before collapsing 83% by September to just 43.0M kg. This pattern created a steep, asymmetric curve with strong H1 momentum and a severe H2 pullback.
Drivers & Industry Context
The mid-year surge aligns directly with Indonesia's regulatory tightening. The May 2025 levy increase under Ministry of Finance Regulation No. 30/2025 [FAS USDA] incentivized accelerated shipments ahead of higher costs, boosting June-July volumes. Subsequently, the July export tax hike to $74/MT and plantation fund tariff to $91.09/MT (FAS USDA) compressed margins and disrupted flows, causing August-September exports to plummet. This policy-driven volatility directly impacted the hs code 151110 value, as exporters rushed to clear inventories before new duties took effect, then withdrew on reduced profitability. Domestic biofuel priorities and price stabilization goals further constrained late-year availability.
Table: Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export Trend (Source: yTrade)
| Date | Value | Weight | Unit Price | Value MoM | Weight MoM | Unit Price MoM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 | 29.96M USD | 25.80M kg | $1.16/kg | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-02-01 | 154.69M USD | 136.32M kg | $1.13/kg | +416.35% | +428.36% | -2.27% |
| 2025-03-01 | 82.00M USD | 72.15M kg | $1.14/kg | -46.99% | -47.07% | +0.15% |
| 2025-04-01 | 44.68M USD | 40.51M kg | $1.10/kg | -45.51% | -43.86% | -2.94% |
| 2025-05-01 | 71.11M USD | 69.89M kg | $1.02/kg | +59.16% | +72.55% | -7.76% |
| 2025-06-01 | 207.45M USD | 213.33M kg | $0.97/kg | +191.72% | +205.22% | -4.42% |
| 2025-07-01 | 366.30M USD | 366.09M kg | $1.00/kg | +76.57% | +71.61% | +2.89% |
| 2025-08-01 | 273.58M USD | 257.85M kg | $1.06/kg | -25.31% | -29.57% | +6.04% |
| 2025-09-01 | 47.35M USD | 43.00M kg | $1.10/kg | -82.69% | -83.32% | +3.76% |
| 2025-10-01 | 46.72M USD | 41.46M kg | $1.13/kg | -1.31% | -3.59% | +2.36% |
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Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Breakdown
Market Composition & Top Categories
Throughout the first ten months of 2025, according to yTrade data, Indonesia's HS Code 151110 Export is almost entirely composed of crude palm oil, with the primary sub-code holding over 96% share by value and weight. The remaining exports are a minor variant with negligible differentiation in product form. This Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export market shows extreme concentration in a single category.
Value Chain & Strategic Insights
Unit prices cluster tightly around 1.04 to 1.13 USD/kg, indicating low value-add and uniform quality across sub-codes. This HS Code 151110 breakdown points to a pure commodity market, driven by price sensitivity rather than specialization. The trade structure is optimized for high-volume, low-margin bulk exports, with minimal strategic complexity.
Check Detailed HS Code 151110 Breakdown
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Destination Countries
Geographic Concentration & Market Risk
Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil exports from January to October 2025 show extreme concentration, with India accounting for 91.6% of total export value. This overwhelming dependence on a single market for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export destinations introduces significant supply chain risk. The next largest partners, the Netherlands and Germany, each represent less than 3% of total value, highlighting India's market dominance.
Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation
India's nearly identical value and weight ratios (91.60 vs 92.17) confirm purely commodity-driven purchasing for bulk processing and industrial stockpiling. The high frequency of shipments (81.36 ratio) supports consistent bulk demand rather than fragmented retail distribution. This profile defines Indonesia's key trade partners for Crude Palm Oil as volume-focused, offering scale but limited margin potential due to the absence of premium product differentiation.
Table: Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | 1.21B | 1.17B | 585.00 | 1.17B |
| NETHERLANDS | 36.87M | 33.00M | 34.00 | 33.00M |
| GERMANY | 30.08M | 28.00M | 49.00 | 28.00M |
| ITALY | 15.92M | 13.00M | 4.00 | 13.00M |
| MALAYSIA | 15.01M | 13.40M | 24.00 | 13.40M |
| SPAIN | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
Get Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) Complete Destination Countries Profile
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Buyer Companies Analysis
Buyer Concentration & Market Structure
According to yTrade data, Indonesia Crude Palm Oil buyers are overwhelmingly dominated by high-volume repeaters, who account for 95.56% of export value from January to October 2025. This indicates a market built on stable, contract-based supply chains, with key accounts like CHINA-BASE RESOURCE SINGAPORE PTE LTD driving consistent bulk purchases. The extreme value concentration highlights a reliance on a narrow set of loyal partners for nearly all revenue.
Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy
The purchasing patterns for HS Code 151100 show that sellers must prioritize relationship management with these key accounts to secure long-term contracts and mitigate concentration risks. Given the high dependency on a few buyers, strategies should include diversifying the client base gradually while ensuring service reliability for existing high-value partners. Monitoring regulatory changes, such as those hinted in industry reports, could also inform adaptive pricing or contract terms to maintain competitiveness.
Table: Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)
| Buyer Company | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLAM GLOBAL AGRI PTE LTD | 176.71M | 169.24M | 140.00 | 169.24M |
| SG GLOBAL ENTERPRISE PTE LTD | 161.77M | 151.51M | 28.00 | 151.51M |
| CARGILL INTERNATIONAL TRADING PTE LTD | 125.20M | 117.39M | 44.00 | 117.39M |
| G3 RESOURCES PTE LTD | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
Check Full Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Buyers list
Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Operation and Expansion
- Diversify buyers: Reduce dependence on India by targeting secondary markets like the EU, where demand exists but share is under 3%.
- Lock in contracts: Secure long-term agreements with high-volume repeat buyers (95.56% of value) to stabilize revenue amid regulatory volatility.
- Optimize logistics: Cut costs by streamlining bulk shipments, as HS Code 151110’s uniform product allows for standardized transport.
- Monitor policy shifts: Track Indonesian levy and tax changes to preempt volume swings, like the July 2025 export tax hike that triggered an 83% drop.
- Audit risk exposure: Assess supply chain fragility from over-reliance on a single product (crude palm oil) and single market (India).
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export in 2025?
The volatility in Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil exports is driven by regulatory changes, including levy increases and export tax hikes in mid-2025, which prompted a surge in shipments ahead of higher costs, followed by a sharp decline due to reduced profitability.
Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) in 2025?
India dominates Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil exports, accounting for 91.6% of total export value, with the Netherlands and Germany each representing less than 3%.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export in 2025?
Unit prices remain tightly clustered (1.04–1.13 USD/kg) due to the market's commodity nature, with no significant differentiation in product grades or value-add across sub-codes.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?
Exporters should prioritize maintaining relationships with high-volume repeat buyers (95.56% of export value) while gradually diversifying their client base to mitigate concentration risks.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers, particularly in India, benefit from stable bulk supply but face risks tied to Indonesia's regulatory shifts and limited product differentiation, which constrain pricing flexibility.
Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?
Crude Palm Oil is primarily exported as a bulk commodity for industrial processing, stockpiling, and biofuel production, with minimal specialization or premium-grade segmentation.
Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAR
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAY
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUN
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 AUG
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 SEP
Indonesia HS Code 151110 Export Data Snapshot 2025 OCT
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