Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 March Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 March Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) export market in March 2025 is dominated by bulk commodity trade, with India accounting for nearly 90% of volume and value, confirming extreme buyer concentration. The Netherlands and Malaysia serve as secondary redistribution hubs, while minor buyers like Germany and Japan handle negligible volumes. This analysis, covering March 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database. Buyers must prepare for tighter supply and higher costs due to Indonesia's export levy hikes and domestic biodiesel expansion. The market shows clear geographic clustering, with India as the dominant bulk importer, while smaller buyers may need alternative sourcing strategies.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 March Export Background

Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), defined as Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, fuels global food, biodiesel, and oleochemical industries due to its versatility and cost efficiency. In Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 March, the government raised export levies to 10% for crude products [USDA] and adjusted benchmark prices to prioritize domestic biodiesel mandates, tightening global supply. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s policy shifts directly impact trade flows and pricing, reinforcing its critical role in meeting steady international demand.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 March Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In March 2025, Indonesia's exports of Crude Palm Oil under HS Code 151110 reached 82.00 million USD in value and 72.15 million kg in volume, marking a significant decline from the previous month's spike but reflecting ongoing adjustments in trade flows.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The sharp volatility in Q1 2025 exports—with value soaring to 154.69 million USD in February before dropping to 82.00 million USD in March—aligns with typical palm oil industry cycles where policy anticipations often trigger preemptive shipment surges. This MoM decline of nearly 47% in value from February to March suggests exporters rushed to clear inventories ahead of expected regulatory changes, followed by a correction as new measures loomed. The overall Q1 performance highlights how Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 March trends are driven by strategic stock movements rather than pure seasonal demand shifts.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's export volatility in early 2025 was directly influenced by policy developments, including the announced increase in export levies to 10% for crude products effective May 2025, aimed at funding domestic biodiesel programs like B40 [USDA Report]. These measures (USDA Report), coupled with temporary duty adjustments in July 2025 (Global Trade Alert), created uncertainty that exacerbated March's export dip. With further restrictions planned for biodiesel expansion, export volumes may face sustained pressure through 2025.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 March Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In March 2025, Indonesia's export of Crude Palm Oil under HS Code 151110 is entirely dominated by a single sub-code, 15111000, for crude palm oil not chemically modified, with a unit price of 1.14 USD per kilogram and a 100% share in both value and weight, indicating a highly specialized and concentrated market for this bulk commodity.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With no other sub-codes present, the export structure is monolithic, consisting solely of crude, unrefined palm oil. This simplicity points to a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and likely priced against global indices rather than being differentiated by quality or processing stage.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 March, the concentrated nature limits producer pricing power, as it relies on commodity markets. Recent policy changes, such as increased export levies [USDA] and adjustments in benchmark prices (USDA), may further squeeze margins by raising export costs, urging players to focus on cost efficiency or domestic value addition.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 March Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 March shows extreme buyer concentration, with India accounting for 89.47% of the weight and 89.29% of the value. The close alignment between weight and value ratios confirms this as a bulk commodity trade, where India's massive volume intake drives the market without significant unit price variation.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Three clear clusters emerge: India as the dominant bulk buyer; the Netherlands (5.54% weight) and Malaysia (4.99% weight) as regional redistribution hubs handling smaller volumes; and a group of minor buyers like Germany, Japan, and Singapore with negligible volumes, likely serving niche or testing purposes rather than regular supply chains.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Buyers must prepare for tighter supply and higher costs. Indonesia's recent export levy hikes [USDA] and domestic biodiesel expansion (USDA) will reduce export volumes and increase prices. Major importers like India should secure long-term contracts, while smaller buyers may need to source through regional hubs or seek alternative oils.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 March Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 March under HS Code 151110 operates as a pure bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global indices and Indonesian policy shifts, like export levies for domestic biodiesel. Supply chain implications focus on supply security for major buyers and Indonesia’s role as a processing hub for crude output. High buyer and geographic concentration increase vulnerability to demand shocks or policy changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Use buyer transaction frequency data to anticipate order cycles and optimize inventory, preventing stockouts or overstock during policy-driven supply tightness.
• Monitor real-time shipping and customs data for Indonesia’s export levy changes, adjusting pricing strategies to protect margins against rising costs.
• Analyze minor buyer clusters for niche opportunities, targeting specific markets with tailored offers to diversify away from over-reliance on dominant importers.
• Track regional hub volumes like the Netherlands and Malaysia for secondary sourcing options, ensuring supply continuity if direct exports from Indonesia fluctuate.
• Leverage HS Code 151110 sub-code detail (though monolithic) to benchmark against alternative oils, maintaining competitiveness in price-sensitive bulk markets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 March?

The sharp 47% month-on-month decline in March 2025 reflects preemptive shipments ahead of Indonesia's export levy hikes, with policy uncertainty causing volatile trade flows.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 March?

India dominates with 89.3% of export value, followed by the Netherlands (5.5%) and Malaysia (5.0%) as regional redistribution hubs.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 March partner countries?

Prices are uniform (1.14 USD/kg) as exports consist solely of unmodified crude palm oil (HS 15111000), traded as a standardized bulk commodity.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Prioritize high-volume buyers (72.6% of value) while adapting to policy-driven cost increases through flexible pricing and domestic value addition.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

India must secure long-term contracts amid tightening supply, while smaller buyers may rely on hubs like the Netherlands for niche needs.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Exported crude palm oil serves as a feedstock for global food and biodiesel industries, with minimal processing before further refinement.