Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 June Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 June Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) export in June 2025 reveals extreme market concentration, with India dominating 94.7% of shipments by weight, signaling high dependency risk for both exporters and buyers. The pricing disparity suggests India secures bulk commodity rates at ~$0.97/kg, with negligible grade variations. Secondary markets like Germany and Malaysia show minimal traction, while recent Indonesian policy shifts hint at looming cost volatility. This analysis, covering June 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 June Export Background

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), defined as vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, fuels global food, biofuel, and oleochemical industries due to its versatility and high demand. In mid-2025, Indonesia raised export levies from 7.5% to 10% under Regulation No. 30/2025 to fund domestic biofuel programs like B40, while considering stricter export controls to meet future B50 targets [USDA]. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s June 2025 policies directly impact global supply chains and pricing.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 June Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In June 2025, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151110 surged to $207.45 million in value and 213.33 million kg in volume, marking a sharp rebound from previous months and highlighting significant market activity.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month increase from May to June saw value rise by 192% and volume by 205%, driven by typical seasonal stock cycles and anticipatory export behavior ahead of policy shifts. This volatility aligns with palm oil's industry patterns, where export volumes often spike in response to harvest peaks and pre-regulatory shipment rushes, as seen in the data's fluctuation from a low in January to peaks in February and June.

External Context and Outlook

The export surge correlates directly with Indonesia's mid-2025 policy changes, including raised export levies to 10% in May [USDA] and potential crude palm oil export regulations to meet domestic biodiesel demand (USDA). These measures aim to fund biofuel programs, suggesting continued volatility as exporters adapt to evolving trade dynamics and supply prioritization for initiatives like B50 blending.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 June Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In June 2025, Indonesia's exports under HS Code 151110 are completely concentrated in crude palm oil, specifically the sub-code for crude, not chemically modified palm oil. This product accounts for all export value, weight, and shipments, with a unit price of 0.97 USD per kilogram, indicating a uniform, bulk commodity trade without significant price variations or anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With no other sub-codes present, the export structure for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 in 2025 June consists solely of raw, unprocessed material. This lack of diversification confirms that the trade is focused on fungible bulk commodities, tied to global price indices like palm oil benchmarks, rather than value-added or graded products.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The high concentration in crude palm oil limits Indonesia's pricing power, as exports are susceptible to global commodity fluctuations. Recent policy changes, such as increased export levies to 10% in mid-2025 [USDA], aim to fund domestic biofuel programs but may constrain export competitiveness. For market players, this underscores a strategic need to monitor regulatory shifts and hedge against price volatility in bulk trades.

Check Detailed HS 151110 Breakdown

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 June Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In June 2025, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 export was overwhelmingly dominated by India, which accounted for 94.7% of the weight and 94.48% of the value, indicating a near-total market concentration. The slight disparity between value ratio (94.48) and weight ratio (94.70) suggests that India likely purchases at a standard bulk commodity price, around 0.97 USD per kilogram, reflecting typical pricing for crude palm oil without significant grade variations.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form three clear clusters: India as the primary bulk buyer due to high domestic demand for edible oils; a secondary group including Germany, Malaysia, and Netherlands with moderate volumes, possibly for refining or re-export within regional supply chains; and minor buyers like Kenya, China, and Spain with negligible shares, likely serving niche or trial markets without substantial impact.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prepare for potential cost increases and supply constraints due to Indonesia's raised export levies and possible regulations, as noted in recent policy changes [USDA]. Importers, especially in India, may face higher prices and should consider diversifying sources or locking in contracts to mitigate volatility, while smaller buyers might explore alternative suppliers to avoid dependency on Indonesia's shifting policies (USDA).

Get Complete Partner Countries Profile

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 June Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 June under HS Code 151110 reveals a classic bulk commodity trade structure. Price is driven by global benchmark indices and Indonesia’s domestic policy shifts, such as the 10% export levy increase in mid-2025. The supply chain implication is high exposure to geopolitical and regulatory risks, with extreme concentration in both buyers (one group dominates 78% of value) and destinations (India accounts for 95% of volume). This creates vulnerability to supply disruptions and price volatility, limiting Indonesia’s pricing power.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Track real-time shipment data to India. Monitor volume and frequency shifts to anticipate demand changes and adjust pricing strategies, because India’s bulk purchases dominate revenue and any slowdown impacts cash flow.
• Diversify buyer portfolios using transaction frequency analysis. Target low-frequency, high-value buyers in Europe or Asia to reduce reliance on a few bulk clients, as this mitigates risk from policy changes or demand drops in key markets.
• Use HS Code 151110 sub-component detail to explore value-added opportunities. Investigate refining or semi-processed exports to capture higher margins, since crude-only focus leaves earnings tied to volatile commodity prices.
• Leverage shipment timing data to optimize inventory and logistics. Align storage and shipping schedules with peak purchase cycles from dominant buyers, preventing overstock costs and ensuring timely fulfillment amid regulatory constraints.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 June?

The surge in exports (192% value increase from May) reflects anticipatory shipments ahead of Indonesia's 10% export levy hike in mid-2025, coupled with seasonal stock cycles typical for palm oil trade.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 June?

India dominates with 94.5% of export value, followed by minor shares from Germany, Malaysia, and Netherlands, which collectively handle refining or regional re-exports.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 June partner countries?

Prices are uniform (0.97 USD/kg) as exports consist solely of unmodified crude palm oil (HS 151110), a bulk commodity traded at benchmark rates without grade variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant high-value buyers (78% of trade) while diversifying to mitigate over-reliance on India and policy-driven volatility.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Indian buyers face supply risks due to Indonesia’s export concentration; smaller importers may need alternative sources to offset potential price hikes from levy impacts.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Exclusively traded as raw, unprocessed material for downstream refining into edible oils or biofuels, with no value-added processing at export stage.