Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) export in July 2025 reveals extreme buyer concentration, with India absorbing 98.91% of total volume, creating significant supply chain risk. The trade is dominated by bulk commodity flows, with minimal secondary demand from Germany and negligible spot purchases elsewhere. This analysis covers July 2025 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 July Export Background

Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), defined as Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, is a staple for food, biofuels, and cosmetics, driving steady global demand. In July 2025, Indonesia raised export levies and adjusted tariffs under HS 151110, tightening supply chains [Global Trade Alert]. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s policy shifts directly impact Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 markets, balancing domestic biodiesel needs with international trade.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In July 2025, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151110 reached 366.30 million USD in value and 366.09 million kg in volume, representing a sharp monthly surge.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month increase from June to July saw value jump by 76.6% and weight by 71.6%, driven by seasonal harvest cycles and stock buildup ahead of policy shifts. This pattern echoes earlier volatility, such as the February peak, highlighting the industry's reliance on production timing and export scheduling.

External Context and Outlook

The export spike correlates with Indonesia's July 2025 duty hikes [Global Trade Alert], which incentivized accelerated shipments to mitigate cost impacts. Ongoing policy reviews may sustain volatility, influencing global supply chains for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 July.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, Indonesia's exports under HS Code 151110 for crude palm oil are entirely concentrated in a single product: crude palm oil not chemically modified, with a unit price of 1.00 USD per kilogram. This represents 100% of the export value and weight, indicating no variation or anomalies in the product mix for this period.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With only one sub-code present, the trade structure is uniform, consisting solely of crude, unprocessed palm oil. This suggests a fungible bulk commodity trade, where products are standardized and likely linked to global price indices, without differentiation by quality grade or value-add stages.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia's crude palm oil exports, the homogeneous nature limits individual pricing power, making it sensitive to global market fluctuations and government policies. Recent increases in export levies [USDA] may further constrain exporter margins, emphasizing the need for cost management and compliance with regulatory changes.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 July shows extreme concentration, with India taking 98.91% of the total weight. The near-identical weight and value ratios confirm this is a bulk commodity trade, with India acting as the dominant volume buyer.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The trade splits into three clear groups. India forms the bulk cluster, importing massive volumes as a price-sensitive raw material buyer. Germany is a smaller secondary cluster, paying a slightly higher unit price for possible specialty needs. The remaining countries (Netherlands, Malaysia, Singapore) form a minimal cluster with negligible volumes, likely representing small spot purchases or transshipments.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

This heavy reliance on one buyer creates major risk. Indonesia's recent export levy increases and policy changes aim to manage this dependence and support domestic biodiesel demand [USDA]. Suppliers must diversify buyers and prepare for more policy shifts that could quickly redirect global flows (USDA).

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 July under HS Code 151110 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global palm oil index prices and Indonesian government policy shifts like export levies. Supply chain implications are high risk due to extreme buyer and geographic concentration. Over 80% of value comes from one buyer type and 99% of volume goes to India. This creates vulnerability to demand shifts or new trade policies. Recent levy increases aim to support domestic biodiesel, potentially redirecting global flows.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term contracts with high-frequency buyers using purchase pattern data. This locks in stable volume despite price volatility.
• Diversify export destinations by targeting secondary markets like Germany showing premium willingness. This reduces over-dependence on India.
• Monitor real-time policy alerts for levy changes and adjust pricing immediately. This protects margins from sudden cost increases.
• Analyze shipment data to optimize logistics costs for bulk buyers. This maintains competitiveness despite rising export costs.
• Develop smaller batch options for low-frequency but high-value buyers. This captures niche demand without major infrastructure change.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 July?

The surge in exports (76.6% value increase from June) reflects accelerated shipments ahead of Indonesia's July 2025 duty hikes, combined with seasonal harvest cycles.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 July?

India dominates with 98.91% of total volume, followed by Germany as a minor secondary buyer, and negligible shares to the Netherlands, Malaysia, and Singapore.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 July partner countries?

Germany pays slightly higher prices for potential specialty needs, while India’s bulk purchases align with the standardized 1.00 USD/kg rate for unmodified crude palm oil.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize contracts with high-value frequent buyers (82.51% of trade) while diversifying to smaller purchasers to reduce reliance on India’s near-total dominance.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

India’s bulk purchases ensure stable supply but expose buyers to policy-driven volatility, while niche buyers like Germany may face limited flexibility due to low alternative sourcing.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The homogeneous, unprocessed product is traded as a fungible bulk commodity, primarily for industrial processing or further refining.