Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 January Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 January Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) exports in January 2025 reveal a highly concentrated market, with India and Germany dominating over 70% of volume, confirming price-sensitive bulk trade without significant grade variations. The market shows tight buyer clustering, with India leading at 40.7% volume, signaling reliance on a few major consumers. Export risks are heightened by Indonesia’s recent levy hikes to fund domestic biofuel programs, pushing buyers to secure long-term contracts or diversify sourcing. This analysis covers January 2025 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 January Export Background

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), defined as vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, is a critical feedstock for food, biofuels, and oleochemicals, driving steady global demand. In 2025, Indonesia's export policies shifted significantly, with May and July hikes in levies and duties to fund domestic biofuel programs [FAS USDA], tightening supply chains. As the world's top exporter, Indonesia's January 2025 trade flows under HS 151110 remain pivotal, balancing local industry needs and international market pressures.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 January Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In January 2025, Indonesia's export of Crude Palm Oil under HS Code 151110 reached 25.80 million kg, with a total value of $29.96 million USD, indicating a solid start to the year for this key commodity.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The implied export price of approximately $1.16 per kg for January 2025 reflects elevated market levels, likely driven by robust global demand and typical post-harvest stock cycles in the palm oil industry. On a year-over-year basis, the volume and value suggest stability or modest growth, consistent with steady consumption patterns in food and biofuel sectors. Quarterly comparisons may show resilience, as January often sees sustained export momentum following year-end inventory adjustments.

External Context and Outlook

The outlook for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 January was influenced by broader policy anticipation, as later increases in export levies—such as the rise to 10% duty announced in May 2025 [FAS USDA]—may have encouraged earlier shipments to mitigate future costs. This macro policy environment, combined with stable demand from major importers, supports a cautiously optimistic near-term trend for Indonesian palm oil exports.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 January Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

For Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 January, the market is entirely dominated by a single product: crude palm oil and its fractions, not chemically modified, under HS Code 15111000. This product accounts for 100% of exports by value, weight, and quantity, with a unit price of 1.16 USD per kilogram, indicating no sub-code diversification or price anomalies within this code.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With only one product category under this HS code, the export structure is monolithic, focused solely on crude, unprocessed palm oil. This suggests a trade in fungible bulk commodities, typically linked to global price indices like those for vegetable oils, rather than differentiated or value-added goods. The absence of refined or processed variants under this code highlights Indonesia's role as a supplier of raw materials in the palm oil value chain.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The high concentration in crude palm oil exports gives Indonesia significant pricing power, but this is tempered by regulatory changes. [USDA] reports increased export levies in 2025, which may compress margins and shift focus towards managing policy risks rather than product differentiation. Market players should prioritize cost efficiency and monitor tariff adjustments to maintain competitiveness.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 January Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 January shows strong reliance on two major buyers, with India and Germany together taking over 70% of the volume. India leads as the top destination by both volume (40.7%) and value (41.68%), indicating it pays standard commodity prices for bulk shipments. Germany follows closely with 31.01% of volume and 30.8% of value, confirming this is a price-sensitive raw material trade without significant product grade variations.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear groups. The first cluster includes India, Germany, Netherlands, and Spain, which together account for over 98% of total volume. These large-volume buyers represent major consumers and processors of crude palm oil for food and industrial uses. The second cluster consists of Singapore, Vietnam, and Malaysia, which show minimal volumes (under 1,000 units total) and likely represent either small-scale specialty trades or potential data reporting anomalies rather than meaningful commercial flows.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Buyers should focus on securing long-term supply contracts with Indonesian producers to manage price volatility caused by frequent export policy changes. The Indonesian government raised export levies in May 2025 to fund domestic biofuel programs [USDA], indicating continued pressure on export costs. Diversifying sourcing to include other palm oil producers like Malaysia could help mitigate single-country policy risks, though Indonesia remains the dominant global supplier.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 January Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 January for HS Code 151110 operates as a pure commodity market. Price is driven by global vegetable oil indices and Indonesian export policy changes, not product differentiation. Supply chain implications focus on bulk logistics and policy risk management due to high buyer and geographic concentration. Indonesia's role remains that of a raw material supplier, with cost efficiency and regulatory agility as key success factors.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Monitor Indonesian export levy adjustments monthly using trade data feeds to anticipate cost changes and adjust pricing strategies. This protects margins against sudden policy shifts.
• Secure multi-year contracts with high-value buyers in India and Germany by analyzing their order frequency patterns. This ensures stable revenue despite market volatility.
• Diversify sourcing options with Malaysian or Thai suppliers if trade data shows price advantages, reducing over-reliance on Indonesian policy changes. This enhances supply security.
• Track port logistics and shipping rates for bulk routes to key destinations like India and the EU. This minimizes supply chain disruptions and keeps delivery costs competitive.
• Use buyer frequency data to identify restocking cycles and optimize inventory levels. This prevents overstock or shortages during demand fluctuations.

This action plan directly addresses the unique challenges of the Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 export market in January 2025.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 January?

The market shows stable demand and elevated prices ($1.16/kg) due to global consumption trends, with exporters likely front-loading shipments ahead of anticipated 2025 levy increases.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 January?

India (40.7% volume) and Germany (31.01% volume) dominate, jointly accounting for over 70% of exports, followed by the Netherlands and Spain.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 January partner countries?

No significant price variation exists; the uniform $1.16/kg reflects a bulk commodity trade of unprocessed crude palm oil (HS 15111000) without grade differentiation.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize contracts with high-value buyers (100% of trade value) and monitor policy shifts like levy hikes to mitigate cost pressures.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face reliance on Indonesian supply, requiring long-term contracts to hedge against price volatility from regulatory changes like the 2025 export levy increase.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

It serves as a raw material for food and industrial uses, traded in bulk without refinement, aligning with Indonesia’s role as a global supplier of unprocessed palm oil.