Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 May Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 May Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) export in May 2025 reveals extreme buyer concentration, with India dominating 94.3% of volume and value, confirming bulk commodity trade dynamics. Germany emerges as the only secondary buyer (5.7%), while minor shipments to the Netherlands, Malaysia, and Singapore suggest niche demand. Exporters face rising costs due to Indonesia’s 10% export levy hike, pushing for long-term contracts and processed product diversification to offset margins. This analysis, covering May 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 May Export Background

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), classified as "Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified," is a critical feedstock for food, biofuels, and oleochemicals, driving steady global demand. In May 2025, Indonesia raised export levies to 10% for crude palm oil under HS 151110 to fund its B40 biodiesel program, tightening supply dynamics [USDA]. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s policy shifts directly impact 2025 trade flows, with its 21 million metric tons of HS 1511 exports anchoring global markets [GAPKI].

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 May Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In May 2025, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 exports rebounded sharply, with value hitting 71.11 million USD and volume reaching 69.89 million kg, marking a significant recovery from the previous month's lows.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The sequential data shows high volatility from January to May 2025, typical for agricultural commodities like palm oil where export flows often shift with policy anticipation and stock cycles. After a peak in February, values and weights dropped through March and April, likely due to seasonal inventory drawdowns and market caution. The May surge represents a 59% month-over-month increase in value and 73% in volume, indicating a strong rebound driven by exporters accelerating shipments ahead of regulatory changes, rather than pure demand cycles.

External Context and Outlook

This volatility aligns directly with Indonesia's mid-May levy hike on palm oil exports, as reported in the USDA Indonesia Report, which prompted a rush to avoid higher costs. Moving forward, export volumes may normalize as the new levies take full effect, but policy-driven fluctuations will remain a key factor for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 May and beyond.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 May Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In May 2025, Indonesia's export of Crude Palm Oil under HS Code 151110 is completely dominated by a single product: crude palm oil, which accounts for all export value and volume. This product, described as vegetable oils including palm oil and its fractions in crude form without chemical modification, has a unit price of 1.02 USD per kilogram, reflecting its standardized, bulk nature with no price anomalies present in the data.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 in 2025 May consists solely of this crude, unprocessed product, indicating a trade focused on raw materials rather than differentiated goods. This monolithic composition suggests a fungible bulk commodity market, where products are traded based on volume and standard grades rather than value-added features, aligning with typical commodity pricing tied to global indices.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 May, the lack of product diversification limits pricing power, as exports rely on volatile global commodity markets. Recent policy changes, such as Indonesia's increase in export levies for crude palm oil to support domestic biodiesel programs [USDA Indonesia], may further squeeze margins, urging exporters to focus on cost efficiency and market timing rather than product differentiation. (USDA Indonesia)

Check Detailed HS 151110 Breakdown

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 May Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 May shows extreme reliance on one buyer. India accounts for 94.3% of the weight and 94.3% of the value, making it the clear dominant market. The near-identical value and weight ratios confirm this is a bulk commodity trade with consistent pricing, as expected for raw palm oil.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear groups. Germany stands alone as a meaningful secondary buyer, taking 5.7% of volume and value. This likely represents Europe's demand for palm oil for further processing into consumer goods. The remaining countries—Netherlands, Malaysia, and Singapore—form a cluster of minimal, sporadic purchases. These are likely small-scale spot trades or shipments for specialized testing and niche uses, not regular bulk supply.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters must prepare for higher costs. Indonesia raised its crude palm oil export levy to 10% in May 2025 to fund its domestic biodiesel program [USDA]. This policy (USDA) will squeeze margins for all buyers. Companies should lock in long-term contracts with major buyers like India to ensure stable volume, while factoring the increased levy into their final product pricing. Diversifying into more processed palm oil products could also help mitigate the impact of these export taxes.

Get Complete Partner Countries Profile

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 May Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 May under HS Code 151110 operates as a pure commodity market. Price is driven by global bulk indices and Indonesia’s own policy shifts, like the 10% export levy for biodiesel funding. Supply chains face high concentration risk: one product grade, one dominant buyer (India, 94.3% share), and reliance on large-volume contracts. This creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy cost increases.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Use buyer frequency data to secure multi-month contracts with high-volume Indian importers. This ensures stable volume despite policy cost changes.
• Monitor real-time shipping and levy updates to adjust pricing immediately. This protects margins from sudden cost hikes.
• Develop small-batch trial offers for EU buyers like Germany. This diversifies revenue away from single-market dependence.
• Track competitor export volumes to key markets to anticipate price pressure. This allows proactive negotiation with bulk buyers.

Forward Strategy: Leveraging Data for Market Resilience

For Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110, future strategy must balance commodity bulk trade with policy agility. Focus shifts to cost-pass-through contracts and exploring semi-processed exports to offset crude oil levy impacts. Data on buyer order timing will be key to optimizing shipment schedules and reducing inventory risk.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 May?

The May 2025 surge in exports (59% value increase, 73% volume increase) reflects a rush to ship ahead of Indonesia's mid-May levy hike, not pure demand growth. This policy-driven volatility is typical for bulk agricultural commodities like palm oil.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 May?

India dominates with 94.3% of export value and volume, while Germany accounts for 5.7%. The remaining buyers (Netherlands, Malaysia, Singapore) are negligible, forming a cluster of sporadic niche purchases.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 May partner countries?

No price differences exist—the uniform 1.02 USD/kg rate confirms this is a standardized bulk commodity trade. All exports consist of unmodified crude palm oil without value-added grades.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize long-term contracts with India’s high-volume buyers (85.17% of trade value) while factoring in the 10% export levy. Limited diversification options exist due to extreme market concentration.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

India’s dominance makes it the only stable bulk buyer; other markets face supply volatility. All buyers will absorb higher costs from Indonesia’s levy hike, with no pricing power to negotiate discounts.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The exclusively crude, unprocessed form (HS 151110) indicates downstream industrial uses—likely refining into cooking oil or biodiesel feedstock, not direct consumer retail.