Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) exports in October 2025 reveal a high-risk market dominated by INDIA, which accounts for over 90% of both volume and value, signaling extreme buyer concentration. The standardized bulk nature of the product ensures uniform pricing, while regional demand splits between high-volume Asian buyers and niche European importers. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 October Export Background

Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), defined as Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, is a staple for food, biofuels, and cosmetics, with steady global demand due to its versatility. Indonesia, the world’s top exporter, has tightened controls in 2025, raising export levies to 10% in May [USDA] and adjusting duties to prioritize domestic biodiesel needs [Global Trade Alert]. These shifts reflect Indonesia’s strategic role in balancing Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export markets while meeting local demand, especially ahead of October 2025’s B40 biodiesel push.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In October 2025, Indonesia's exports of Crude Palm Oil under HS Code 151110 reached 46.72 million USD in value and 41.46 million kg in volume, marking a period of stabilized, lower output after the typical mid-year seasonal peak.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The 2025 monthly data reveals a strong seasonal pattern, with exports surging to a high of 366.30 million USD in July before declining to September and October's levels. This aligns with palm oil's industry cycle, where production and export volumes typically peak mid-year due to optimal harvest conditions in Indonesia. The month-over-month change from September to October showed a slight decrease in value from 47.35 million to 46.72 million USD, indicating a plateau after the summer volatility, consistent with post-harvest slowdowns.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's export policy shifts, such as the levy increase in May 2025 detailed by USDA Indonesia, and subsequent duty adjustments in July (Global Trade Alert), likely drove exporters to front-load shipments, exacerbating the mid-year spike. With ongoing considerations for new restrictions to meet domestic biodiesel demand, export flows for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 October may face continued uncertainty, influenced by regulatory changes aimed at balancing local and international markets.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil export under HS Code 151110 is fully specialized in a single product type: Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified. This product accounts for all export value and volume, with a unit price of 1.13 USD per kilogram, confirming a uniform market without price anomalies or diversification.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 in 2025 October consists entirely of crude, unprocessed palm oil. This indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, directly tied to global price indices and lacking any value-add stages or quality grades, as no other sub-codes or variations are present.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 October, the monolithic product structure gives Indonesia significant pricing power through supply control, but this is tempered by policy risks. Recent increases in export levies and duties, as noted in USDA reports, aim to support domestic biodiesel programs, potentially squeezing export margins and urging market players to monitor regulatory changes closely.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 exports show strong geographic concentration, with INDIA as the dominant buyer, accounting for 91.07% of the weight and 90.69% of the value. The close match between value and weight ratios indicates uniform pricing, typical for a bulk commodity like crude palm oil, where grade and quality are standardized.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top partners form two clear clusters: first, high-volume Asian importers like INDIA and MALAYSIA, driven by high domestic demand for food and biofuels in densely populated regions. Second, European countries such as GERMANY and the NETHERLANDS, with lower volumes, likely import for specialized uses like oleochemicals or re-export, reflecting niche market needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, Indonesia's frequent policy shifts, including raised export levies and potential new restrictions [USDA Indonesia](USDA Indonesia), require close monitoring to manage supply chain risks. Diversifying sourcing or investing in domestic biodiesel capacity could mitigate impacts of Indonesia's export controls aimed at supporting local demand.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 October under HS Code 151110 operates as a pure bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global indices and Indonesian policy shifts, like recent export levy hikes. Supply chains face high concentration risk. India dominates 91% of volume. Buyers are few but high-value. This creates reliance on stable bulk shipments. Policy changes can disrupt flows overnight. Indonesia's focus on domestic biodiesel may further squeeze export volumes. Supply security is the core challenge.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Monitor Indonesian regulatory updates weekly using trade data platforms. This prevents unexpected cost spikes from new levies or restrictions.
• Diversify buyer portfolios by targeting secondary markets in Europe and Asia. This reduces over-reliance on India and stabilizes revenue.
• Analyze shipment frequency of high-value buyers to forecast demand cycles. This optimizes inventory and avoids stockouts or overstock.
• Track competitor export volumes from Malaysia and Thailand. This identifies market share opportunities or competitive threats early.
• Use real-time logistics data to secure shipping and storage contracts in advance. This mitigates supply chain bottlenecks during peak demand periods.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 October?

The October 2025 export decline follows a mid-year seasonal peak, influenced by Indonesia’s policy shifts like higher export levies, which prompted front-loaded shipments earlier in the year.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 October?

India dominates with 91% of export value, followed by Malaysia and smaller European buyers like Germany and the Netherlands for niche uses.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 October partner countries?

Prices are uniform (1.13 USD/kg) as exports consist solely of unprocessed bulk crude palm oil without quality or grade variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-value buyers (95% of trade) while monitoring policy risks like levy hikes that could squeeze margins.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face reliance on Indonesia’s supply control and policy volatility, necessitating contingency plans for potential disruptions.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The bulk commodity is primarily destined for food and biodiesel production in high-demand markets like India and Malaysia.