Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) exports in September 2025 reveal a bulk commodity trade dominated by India, which captured 81.4% of volume and 80.92% of value, confirming its pricing power. The market shows a stark divide between bulk buyers (India, Netherlands) and niche premium buyers (Germany, Singapore), urging exporters to diversify toward higher-margin EU markets. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia’s Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), classified as Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, fuels global food, biodiesel, and cosmetics industries due to its versatility and stable demand. Recent policy shifts, like the May 2025 levy hike to 10% for crude exports [USDA] and August’s temporary tax increase [Global Trade Alert], reflect Indonesia’s strategy to balance domestic biodiesel needs with export revenue. As the world’s top palm oil producer, Indonesia’s HS Code 151110 exports in September 2025 remain critical to global supply chains amid tightening regulations.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 exports in September 2025 totaled $47.35 million in value and 43.00 million kg in volume, marking a significant contraction from previous months.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The September figures show a sharp month-over-month decline, with value dropping 82.7% from August's $273.58 million and volume falling 83.3% from 257.85 million kg. This steep drop aligns with typical seasonal patterns in palm oil, where export volumes often dip post-peak production periods in mid-year, but it was exacerbated by policy-driven disruptions. The data reflects a return to lower export levels similar to early 2025, indicating that the high summer volumes were an outlier rather than a sustained trend.

External Context and Outlook

The export slump in September 2025 was directly influenced by Indonesia's recent policy shifts, including a temporary increase in export taxes and tariffs on crude palm oil effective August 1, 2025 [Global Trade Alert], which raised costs and dampened shipment incentives. Combined with earlier levy hikes in May (USDA Indonesia), these measures prioritized domestic biodiesel programs over exports, contributing to the volatility. Looking ahead, export recovery may hinge on policy adjustments and global demand cycles, but continued regulatory focus on domestic value-addition could sustain pressure on outward flows.

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In September 2025, Indonesia's export of Crude Palm Oil under HS Code 151110 is entirely concentrated in a single sub-code, 15111000, for crude palm oil not chemically modified. This sub-code represents 100% of the export value, weight, and quantity, with a unit price of 1.10 USD per kilogram, confirming a market focused solely on undifferentiated bulk commodity trade.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With no other sub-codes present, the export consists exclusively of crude, unprocessed palm oil. This uniform structure indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, directly tied to global price indices like those for raw materials, without any value-added or graded variations.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The monolithic export base means Indonesia's pricing power for Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 is vulnerable to global market fluctuations and domestic policy shifts. Recent increases in export levies, such as the raise to 10% for crude products in May 2025 [USDA] and temporary adjustments in July 2025 (USDA), aim to boost domestic processing but could squeeze export margins, reinforcing the need for cost efficiency in this commodity-driven trade.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 September shows heavy reliance on India, which took 81.4% of volume and 80.92% of value. The nearly identical ratios confirm this is a bulk commodity trade with standard pricing, as India's massive volume share directly matches its value share.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear buyer groups emerge. India and the Netherlands form the bulk commodity cluster, together taking all measurable volume with closely aligned value-weight ratios. Germany and Singapore represent a tiny but distinct cluster of minimal-volume, high-value-ratio buyers, likely purchasing specialized or premium-grade CPO for niche applications rather than bulk refining.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should expect continued price pressure from India's dominant bargaining position. Recent Indonesian levy hikes [USDA] and tax changes [Global Trade Alert] add cost, making diversification toward premium EU buyers more urgent to protect margins against India's volume-driven pricing power.

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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 September under HS Code 151110 operates as a pure bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global index fluctuations and Indonesian policy changes like export levies. Supply chain implications focus on raw material security and cost-efficient processing for major buyers. High reliance on India creates vulnerability to volume-based pricing pressure.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution

• Analyze bulk buyer purchase cycles using transaction frequency data to align production schedules and avoid oversupply. This maintains inventory efficiency and reduces storage costs.
• Monitor real-time policy updates on export levies and adjust pricing models immediately. This protects profit margins against sudden cost increases.
• Identify and target premium buyers in the EU using value-per-weight ratios to diversify away from bulk-dependent markets. This builds higher-margin revenue streams.
• Use shipment data to negotiate long-term contracts with key volume buyers, locking in stable demand. This reduces exposure to spot market volatility.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 September?

The sharp 82.7% drop in export value from August to September 2025 was caused by seasonal patterns and policy disruptions, including higher export taxes and levies prioritizing domestic biodiesel programs.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 September?

India dominated with 81.4% of volume and 80.92% of value, followed by the Netherlands, while Germany and Singapore had minimal but higher-value niche purchases.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 September partner countries?

All exports were uniformly priced at 1.10 USD/kg for unprocessed bulk crude palm oil (HS 15111000), with minor deviations likely reflecting logistics or niche buyer premiums.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with dominant bulk buyers (70.83% of transactions) while exploring premium EU markets to offset India’s pricing pressure and policy-driven cost hikes.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

India’s bulk buyers benefit from stable pricing, while niche EU buyers face limited supply opportunities due to Indonesia’s heavy reliance on high-volume trade.

Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The exports consist entirely of unprocessed bulk crude palm oil, primarily for refining into food products or biofuels in destination markets.