Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways
India dominates Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) exports in 2025 Q3, absorbing over 95% of volume and value, reflecting its massive demand for cooking oil and biofuels. The tight weight-value ratio confirms this as a standardized bulk commodity, while minor European and regional Asian buyers hint at niche refining or transshipment markets. Exporters face margin pressure from Indonesia's rising export levies, pushing buyers like India toward long-term contracts for stability. This analysis, covering 2025 Q3, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 Q3 Export Background
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110), classified as Vegetable oils; palm oil and its fractions, crude, not chemically modified, is a staple for food, biofuels, and cosmetics industries, driving steady global demand. In 2025 Q3, Indonesia raised export levies to 10% for crude palm oil [USDA] and adjusted tariffs to balance domestic biodiesel needs with export volumes [Global Trade Alert]. As the world’s top exporter, Indonesia’s policies directly shape supply and pricing for this critical commodity.
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export in 2025 Q3 reached a total value of approximately 687 million USD and volume of 667 million kg, marking a significant quarter driven by robust mid-year performance.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Quarter-over-quarter, exports surged from Q2's 323 million USD value to Q3's 687 million USD, more than doubling, with volume following a similar trend. This spike aligns with palm oil's seasonal production cycle, where mid-year harvests typically boost supply and export availability. However, the sharp decline in September—dropping to 47 million USD from August's 274 million USD—suggests an anomaly, possibly due to policy shifts or market adjustments interrupting the natural cycle.
External Context and Outlook
The volatility in Q3 can be directly linked to Indonesia's regulatory changes, including increased export levies in May 2025 [USDA Report] and temporary duty hikes in July (Global Trade Alert), which raised costs and likely prompted exporters to front-load shipments before stricter measures took effect. Looking ahead, these policies may continue to influence export rhythms, balancing domestic biodiesel mandates with global demand pressures.
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
In 2025 Q3, Indonesia's Crude Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151110 are fully specialized in a single product, crude palm oil not chemically modified, with no other sub-codes present. This sub-code, 15111000, accounts for all export value and weight, with a unit price of 1.03 USD per kilogram, which is characteristic of a bulk commodity trade.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
The export structure for Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 in 2025 Q3 shows no variation, as it consists solely of the crude, unprocessed form. This indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, directly linked to global price indices, without any differentiation in value-add stages or quality grades.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
The commodity nature of this trade limits pricing power for exporters, relying on market indices. However, Indonesian government policies, such as increased export levies in May 2025 [USDA], aim to balance domestic biofuel needs with export volumes, requiring adaptability to regulatory changes that affect costs and competitiveness.
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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
India is the main buyer of Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS Code 151110 Export 2025 Q3, accounting for over 95% of both weight and value. The close match between value ratio (95.91%) and weight ratio (96.21%) for India points to a standardized bulk commodity with stable pricing, typical for raw agricultural products like palm oil.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
Two clear clusters emerge: India alone handles the vast majority of exports, driven by its high demand for cooking oil and biofuels. A second cluster includes European nations like the Netherlands and Germany, which import smaller amounts likely for refining and re-export within the EU market. A third minor cluster with Malaysia and Singapore suggests limited regional trade, possibly for niche processing or transshipment.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Exporters should prepare for potential cost increases due to Indonesia's recent policy changes, such as higher export levies [USDA Indonesia], which could squeeze margins. Buyers, especially in India, may need to secure long-term contracts to ensure stable supply, while European importers could face tighter competition for refined products.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | 659.10M | 641.64M | 336.00 | 641.64M |
| NETHERLANDS | 16.97M | 15.00M | 12.00 | 15.00M |
| GERMANY | 8.46M | 8.00M | 18.00 | 8.00M |
| MALAYSIA | 2.69M | 2.30M | 3.00 | 2.30M |
| SINGAPORE | 2.40 | 0.55 | 3.00 | 0.55 |
| ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS 151110) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Crude Palm Oil Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 151110 operates as a pure bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global market indices and Indonesian government policies, such as export levies. Supply chain implications focus on supply security for major buyers and Indonesia's role as a processing hub for raw materials. High buyer and geographic concentration creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Crude Palm Oil Market Execution
- Use buyer frequency data to negotiate long-term contracts with high-value frequent buyers. This ensures stable revenue and reduces dependency on spot market fluctuations.
- Monitor Indonesian policy updates weekly to anticipate cost changes from export levies. Adjust pricing strategies early to maintain competitiveness in key markets like India.
- Analyze shipment data to identify seasonal demand patterns in buyer clusters. Optimize inventory and logistics to avoid overstock or shortages during peak periods.
- Diversify export destinations by targeting smaller European buyers with tailored offers. This reduces reliance on a single market and spreads risk across multiple regions.
- Track real-time global palm oil price indices to align offers with market trends. Secure margins by pricing dynamically rather than relying on fixed long-term rates.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3?
The surge in Q3 exports (687M USD, up from 323M USD in Q2) was driven by seasonal harvests and policy shifts, including Indonesia's increased export levies in May 2025, which prompted front-loaded shipments before stricter measures took effect.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3?
India dominates with 95.91% of export value, followed by minor clusters like the Netherlands and Germany (EU refining) and Malaysia/Singapore (regional trade).
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Crude Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?
Unit prices are uniform (1.03 USD/kg) as all exports are bulk, unprocessed crude palm oil (HS 15111000), with no quality or value-add differentiation.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Crude Palm Oil export market?
Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-value frequent buyers (91% of revenue) while diversifying to smaller segments to reduce dependency on India’s dominant market share.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Crude Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers in India face stable bulk pricing but should secure long-term contracts due to policy volatility, while EU refiners may compete for limited non-Indian supply.
Q6. How is Crude Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?
It is traded as a fungible bulk commodity, primarily for cooking oil and biofuel feedstock, with no downstream processing in Indonesia’s export structure.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS151110 Export Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) exports in 2025 Q2 were 91% concentrated in India, revealing high buyer risk, per yTrade Customs data.
Indonesia Crude Palm Oil HS151110 Export Data 2025 September Overview
India dominated 81.4% of Indonesia Crude Palm Oil (HS Code 151110) exports in September 2025, with EU premium markets offering diversification potential, per yTrade data.
