Indonesia Coconut Oil HS1513 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513) exports in October 2025 reveal a high-value market dominated by China, which pays premium prices for superior grades, while secondary buyers like Brazil and the U.S. drive volume. The market is dangerously concentrated, with China alone accounting for 22% of export value, creating pricing and supply chain risks. Regional hubs like Singapore and the Netherlands show high value-to-weight ratios, indicating re-export of refined products. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database. Exporters must diversify buyers to mitigate reliance on China and prepare for potential policy shifts.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia's Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513), which includes coconut (copra) oil, palm kernel oil, and babassu oil, is vital for food, cosmetics, and biofuel industries due to its versatile applications and stable global demand. Recent policy shifts, like Indonesia's May 2025 export levy hike on palm products [FAS USDA] and July 2025 CPO tax adjustments [Global Trade Alert], signal tighter export controls, positioning Indonesia as a key player in the 2025 October Coconut Oil export market. The country's dominance in palm-derived oils underlines its strategic role in global supply chains.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's coconut oil exports under HS Code 1513 in October 2025 saw a 6.4% month-over-month decline in volume to 119.31 million kg, while unit prices remained elevated at 2.17 USD/kg, reflecting continued market tightness amid broader vegetable oil sector shifts.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The 2025 trend for Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export shows unit prices rising from a low of 1.80 USD/kg in June to a peak of 2.19 USD/kg in September, before a slight dip in October. Volume surged mid-year but dropped sharply from August's 216.76 million kg to October's 119.31 million kg, indicating typical Q4 slowdowns in agricultural exports due to harvest cycles and inventory drawdowns. This pattern suggests exporters capitalized on higher prices earlier in the year, aligning with seasonal stock replenishment phases in global food and biofuel markets.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's palm oil export policy changes, including levy hikes in May and July 2025 [FAS USDA] and potential new restrictions (Global Trade Alert), likely spurred substitution demand for coconut oil, supporting price resilience despite volume declines. These measures, aimed at boosting domestic processing, create spillover effects for competing oils, suggesting sustained price pressures but volatile volumes ahead for Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export in 2025.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's HS Code 1513 exports are dominated by refined palm kernel oil under sub-code 1513299500, which holds a 41% value share and 45% weight share. This product, described as vegetable oils from palm kernel or babassu, not crude but refined, has a unit price of 1.98 USD per kilogram, lower than coconut oil variants. A minor anomaly is sub-code 1513191000 with a higher unit price of 2.93 USD per kilogram but negligible volume, isolated from the main analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes fall into two categories: refined coconut oils like 1513199000 at 2.58 USD per kilogram, and crude coconut oils like 1513119000 at 2.40 USD per kilogram. Unit prices are closely clustered, indicating a market for fungible bulk commodities rather than differentiated goods, with trade likely linked to global price indices.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export 2025 October, the commodity-like structure means limited pricing power for exporters, emphasizing volume-based competition. Strategic focus should remain on cost-efficient bulk production, with potential to explore higher-value processing for better margins.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export in 2025 October shows a highly concentrated market, with China Mainland as the clear leader. China accounts for 22.02% of the total export value but only 21.66% of the weight, indicating it pays a slightly higher unit price (approximately 2.21 USD/kg) than the average, suggesting it imports a better grade of product. Brazil and the United States form a second tier of major buyers, together taking over 29% of the value, with both also paying near-average prices.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form three clear groups. The first is China, acting as the single largest volume and value destination. The second cluster includes large agricultural or resource economies like Brazil, the US, Russia, and South Africa, which likely use the oil for both food and industrial applications. The third group consists of trade hubs and regional processors, such as the Netherlands, Malaysia, and Singapore, which have very high value-to-weight ratios, indicating they are likely re-exporting refined or packaged goods.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For sellers, this concentration on a few large buyers creates pricing and supply chain risk. The news confirms Indonesia is actively adjusting its export levies and considering new restrictions on palm oil [Global Trade Alert], which could easily extend to coconut oil and impact market stability (Global Trade Alert). Exporters must diversify their buyer base away from over-reliance on China and prepare for potential sudden policy changes that could disrupt shipments and affect costs.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In October 2025, the Indonesia Coconut Oil export market for HS Code 1513 shows extreme concentration, with one segment of buyers—those making frequent, high-value purchases—dominating overwhelmingly. This group holds 94.96% of the total export value, defining the market through bulk, regular transactions that characterize commodity trade. The overall buyer behavior is centered on high volume and high frequency, with this dominant segment driving nearly all export activity.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The remaining three segments of buyers have minor but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency likely represent infrequent bulk purchases, such as for special orders or seasonal needs. Those with low value and high frequency are probably small-scale buyers making regular but minor purchases, possibly for local or niche markets. The low value and low frequency group consists of occasional buyers with minimal impact, often for trial orders or irregular demand.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the heavy reliance on dominant buyers requires a strategic focus on securing and maintaining relationships with key high-volume clients. This concentration poses a risk if demand from these buyers fluctuates, highlighting the need to explore opportunities in other segments for diversification. Sales models should prioritize efficiency in handling frequent, large orders, while monitoring broader export policy trends that could affect costs or market access.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Coconut Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 October under HS Code 1513 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by quality grade differences and global index alignment, not product differentiation. China’s premium payments for refined oil confirm this. Supply chains face high concentration risk in both buyers and destinations. Over 94% of value comes from high-volume, frequent buyers. China alone takes 22% of exports. Recent Indonesian levy changes on palm oil may extend to coconut oil, increasing geopolitical supply risk. Exporters must prioritize supply security and cost-efficient bulk handling.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coconut Oil Market Execution

• Use HS Code 1513 shipment data to track China’s order patterns. This helps anticipate demand shifts and avoid over-reliance on one market.
• Monitor Indonesian export policy alerts daily. Early warning of levy changes prevents cost surprises and shipment delays.
• Analyze trade hub partners like the Netherlands for re-export trends. Target similar high-value destinations to improve margins.
• Segment buyer data by purchase frequency and value. Focus sales efforts on retaining high-volume clients while developing smaller, regular buyers to diversify risk.
• Compare unit prices across sub-codes like 1513191000. Identify any premium product opportunities to capture higher value in future contracts.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coconut Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 October?

A1. The 6.4% month-over-month volume decline to 119.31 million kg reflects typical Q4 slowdowns, while elevated unit prices (2.17 USD/kg) indicate sustained market tightness due to Indonesia's palm oil policy shifts and global vegetable oil demand.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 October?

A2. China dominates with 22.02% of export value, followed by Brazil and the US (combined 29% share), while trade hubs like the Netherlands and Malaysia show high value-to-weight ratios for re-export.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 October partner countries?

A3. China pays slightly higher prices (2.21 USD/kg) for refined grades like HS 1513299500, while bulk buyers like Brazil and the US trade near-average rates for crude or semi-refined coconut oil.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coconut Oil export market?

A4. Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-volume buyers (94.96% of value) while diversifying away from over-reliance on China, given policy risks and commodity-like price competition.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coconut Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Bulk buyers (e.g., China, Brazil) benefit from stable supply but face price sensitivity, while trade hubs (e.g., Netherlands) leverage re-export opportunities with higher-margin refined products.

Q6. How is Coconut Oil typically used in this trade flow?

A6. Primarily traded as bulk commodities for food and industrial applications, with minor high-value refined variants (e.g., palm kernel oil) commanding premium prices in niche markets.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

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