Indonesia Coconut Oil HS1513 Export Data 2025 May Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513) exports in May 2025 reveal a concentrated buyer landscape, with the Netherlands (24.94% value share), China (22.82%), and the U.S. (16.23%) dominating as bulk commodity-grade buyers. Shipments align closely with industrial demand, while smaller markets suggest niche or re-export activity. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights the need for compliance with EU regulations and potential value capture through downstream diversification.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export Background

Indonesia’s Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513), which includes palm kernel oil and babassu oil fractions, is vital for food, cosmetics, and biofuels, driving steady global demand. In May 2025, Indonesia cut CPO export duties to $52/MT [Global Trade Alert], indirectly supporting HS Code 1513 exports amid broader palm oil policy shifts. As the world’s top palm kernel producer, Indonesia’s 2025 export strategy balances competitiveness with sustainability, reinforcing its key role in global supply chains.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Coconut Oil exports under HS Code 1513 in May 2025 saw a sharp price increase to 2.06 USD/kg, the highest monthly rate in 2025, rising 8.4% from April, while export volume dipped slightly to 147.51 million kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month price surge in May, alongside a 4.1% volume decline, points to supply tightness or heightened demand typical in palm kernel oil markets, where seasonal production lulls or inventory drawdowns often drive short-term volatility. This pattern aligns with industry cycles where Q2 frequently sees adjusted export flows due to post-harvest adjustments and stock replenishment phases.

External Context and Outlook

The Indonesian government's reduction of export duties on crude palm oil (CPO) effective May 1, 2025, as reported by [Global Trade Alert], likely intensified competition for related oils like coconut, supporting the observed price firmness. Ongoing policy simplifications and U.S. tariff negotiations (Global Trade Alert) may sustain elevated prices, though volume constraints could persist if domestic downstream policies tighten.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In May 2025, Indonesia's Coconut Oil export under HS Code 1513 is dominated by refined palm kernel oil (15132995), which accounts for 34.5% of the value and 38.7% of the weight. Its unit price of 1.84 USD per kilogram is lower than some refined coconut oils, indicating a specialization in bulk, high-volume exports. Minor anomalies with very low volumes, such as crude coconut oil (15131110), are isolated from the main analysis due to their insignificant shares.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure for Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 in 2025 May primarily consists of two groups: crude oils, like coconut crude (15131190) at 2.36 USD per kilogram, and refined oils, including coconut refined (15131990) at 2.51 USD per kilogram and various palm kernel refined oils. This grouping reflects a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely undifferentiated and their prices are likely tied to global market indices rather than brand or unique features.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For exporters, the commodity-based nature of Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export means limited pricing power, requiring a strategic focus on cost efficiency and scale to remain competitive. Monitoring policy changes, such as recent export duty adjustments for related palm oil products [Global Trade Alert], could inform cost strategies, but direct impacts on this code need careful assessment.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export in 2025 May shows a clear concentration among the top three buyers: the Netherlands (24.94% value share), China Mainland (22.82%), and the United States (16.23%). The Netherlands leads not just in value but also in quantity (25.80% weight share), indicating it is the primary market for bulk shipments. The close alignment between its value ratio and weight ratio suggests these are likely standard commodity-grade shipments without a significant premium for processing.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear clusters. The first consists of major industrial and consumer markets like the Netherlands, China, the US, and Brazil, which have large food processing and manufacturing sectors requiring steady bulk raw material inputs. The second cluster includes regional suppliers and smaller volume buyers like Malaysia, the Philippines, Egypt, Russia, Sri Lanka, and Tunisia. Their lower shipment frequencies and quantities point to either niche market demand or potential re-export activities, rather than being primary end-users.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, maintaining market access requires navigating recent policy shifts, including the simplified export levy structure on palm oil products and new traceability reporting mandates for supply chain legality [EFI]. The concentration in Europe and Asia underscores the need for compliance with stringent EU regulations. Diversifying into more processed downstream products, rather than just crude oil, could help capture higher value in future negotiations, similar to the country's push for tariff exemptions in the US market.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Indonesia Coconut Oil Export for 2025 May under HS Code 1513, the buyer market is highly concentrated, with one group of buyers dominating over 94% of the export value. This dominant segment consists of large-scale buyers who purchase frequently and in high volumes, driving the majority of trade. The market is characterized by high-value, high-frequency transactions, indicating a reliance on bulk commodity sales. The four segments of buyers show a clear skew towards this dominant group, with median trade patterns favoring consistent, high-volume engagements.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency likely represent large infrequent orders, such as one-off bulk purchases or seasonal contracts. Those with low value but high frequency are probably smaller regular buyers, like local distributors or niche markets making consistent but modest purchases. The segment with low value and low frequency includes occasional or trial buyers, possibly new entrants or specialized users with minimal impact on overall trade. For a commodity like coconut oil, these roles highlight a mix of stability from regular buyers and potential volatility from infrequent large orders.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategic focus should be on maintaining relationships with the dominant high-volume buyers to secure steady revenue, while cautiously exploring opportunities with infrequent large buyers to mitigate dependency risks. The recent reduction in export duties on related palm oil products, as noted in Global Trade Alert, could support competitiveness and attract more high-value orders. However, over-reliance on a few buyers poses a vulnerability to market shifts, so diversifying the buyer base through targeted outreach to smaller regular buyers is advised. Sales models should prioritize bulk contracts with flexible terms to accommodate varying buyer frequencies.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 May Export: Action Plan for Coconut Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 May under HS Code 1513 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Its price is driven by global market indices and product grade differences, not unique features. The market shows high concentration in both buyers and destinations. A few large-volume buyers and key markets like the Netherlands and China dominate trade. This creates reliance on bulk shipments and exposes exporters to price volatility. Supply chain implications focus on securing consistent bulk sales and complying with international regulations, especially in the EU. Cost efficiency and scale are critical for maintaining competitiveness.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coconut Oil Market Execution

• Monitor shipment frequency data for key buyers to anticipate order cycles. This prevents overstock and aligns production with demand.
• Use destination analytics to identify secondary markets like Malaysia or the Philippines. Diversifying reduces dependency on a few large buyers.
• Track policy updates, such as export duty changes, through platforms like Global Trade Alert. Adjust pricing strategies quickly to maintain margins.
• Analyze unit price variations between crude and refined oils under HS Code 1513. Target buyers willing to pay premiums for higher-grade products to increase profitability.
• Develop compliance dashboards for EU and US regulatory requirements. Ensure seamless market access and avoid shipment delays.

Why This Data-Driven Approach Wins

Traditional methods miss critical details like buyer frequency and sub-product pricing. Trade data reveals these patterns. It enables precise targeting of high-value opportunities and reduces market risks. This approach turns bulk commodity trade into a strategic advantage for Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 May.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 May?

The price surged to 2.06 USD/kg (+8.4% from April) due to supply tightness, while volume dipped slightly. This reflects seasonal volatility in palm kernel oil markets, compounded by Indonesia’s export duty reductions on related oils.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 May?

The Netherlands (24.9% value share), China (22.8%), and the US (16.2%) dominate, with the Netherlands also leading in bulk shipment volume (25.8% weight share).

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 May partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: crude coconut oil (15131190) trades at 2.36 USD/kg, while refined palm kernel oil (15132995) is cheaper (1.84 USD/kg), reflecting bulk commodity pricing.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coconut Oil export market?

Prioritize relationships with dominant high-volume buyers (94% of trade value) while diversifying to smaller regular buyers to reduce dependency risks. Cost efficiency is critical due to commodity-driven pricing.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coconut Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Major buyers like the Netherlands and China benefit from stable bulk supply, but niche markets face volatility from infrequent shipments. Compliance with EU regulations is key for European importers.

Q6. How is Coconut Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Primarily traded as undifferentiated bulk commodities (crude or refined) for industrial food processing, with prices tied to global market indices rather than product differentiation.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

• Identify active and verified buyers through global import data
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• Save time by replacing manual research with structured trade data analysis

Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
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• Basic compliance with background checks and sanctions risk screening
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• Global Trade Data API access for Internal Softwares like CRM, ERP, and SaaS integration All data is structured, verified, and cleaned to ensure consistency and reliability.