Indonesia Coconut Oil HS1513 Export Data 2025 Q1 Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q1 (HS Code 1513) is heavily concentrated in China, which accounts for 21% of volume but signals lower-margin bulk trade, while regional Asian buyers like the Philippines drive smaller, frequent shipments. The market shows a clear split between large-scale agricultural traders and regional refiners, with potential policy shifts favoring higher-value refined products over bulk exports. This analysis covers 2025 Q1 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export Background

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513), covering palm kernel oil and its fractions, is a key ingredient in food, cosmetics, and biofuels, driving steady global demand. Recent policy shifts, like Indonesia's customs modernization under MOF Reg. 25/2025 [SSEK] and higher export taxes on crude palm oil [Global Trade Alert], signal tighter controls, though HS Code 1513 exports remain strategically vital for Indonesia’s 2025 Q1 trade as a top global supplier.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Coconut Oil exports under HS Code 1513 in 2025 Q1 demonstrated robust growth, with a sharp volume surge in March reaching 204.82 million kg, while unit prices held steady around $1.83 per kg, indicating strong market activity without significant price volatility.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The volume of Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export increased sequentially from January to March 2025, with a notable 43% jump in March compared to February, driven by typical seasonal demand cycles in the coconut oil industry, such as heightened consumption in early-year periods for food and industrial uses. Unit prices remained stable at approximately $1.83/kg throughout Q1, reflecting balanced supply conditions and efficient market responses to demand spikes, without the need for price adjustments.

External Context and Outlook

Externally, Indonesia's broader policy environment, including customs modernization under MOF Reg. 25/2025 [SSEK] and export duty changes on related palm oil products (Global Trade Alert), may have indirectly supported export efficiency and stability for HS Code 1513 by streamlining procedures. While no direct restrictions targeted coconut oil, ongoing regulatory shifts suggest a need to monitor for potential impacts on Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export 2025 Q1 trends, with outlook hinging on global demand and local policy adaptations.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Indonesia's Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export for 2025 Q1, the market is heavily concentrated in refined palm kernel oil, specifically the product described as vegetable oils from palm kernel or babassu, other than crude. This sub-code holds nearly 45% of the export value and 47% of the weight, with a unit price of 1.77 USD per kilogram. The high volume and value shares indicate a strong specialization in this refined grade, despite slightly lower unit prices compared to some coconut oil variants.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The exports are divided into two main groups: refined oils and crude oils. Refined oils, including both coconut and palm kernel types, have unit prices ranging from 1.66 to 2.02 USD per kilogram, while crude oils average around 1.80 USD per kilogram. This split shows a clear value-add stage, with refined products commanding slightly higher prices. The trade appears to be in bulk commodities, where prices are likely tied to global indices due to the standardized nature of these oils.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The dominance of refined palm kernel oil gives Indonesian exporters pricing power in that segment. For crude oils, competitiveness is higher, and external factors like increased export duties on similar products such as crude palm oil [Global Trade Alert] could raise costs and encourage a shift towards more processed exports. Businesses should focus on leveraging the refined oil segment while monitoring policy changes that affect crude oil trade.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export 2025 Q1 is heavily concentrated, with China taking a dominant 21% share by volume. China's value share (20.87%) slightly trails its weight share (21.13%), indicating it primarily sources bulk, lower-margin commodity oil.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clear clusters emerge. The first includes major agricultural traders like the United States (14% volume) and Brazil (13% volume), which have the scale for large bulk purchases. The second consists of regional Asian buyers like the Philippines (6% volume) and Malaysia (5% volume), whose proximity supports frequent, smaller shipments for local refining and consumption.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prepare for potential policy shifts aimed at boosting domestic refining, as the government has increased export duties on crude palm oil to encourage more downstream processing [Global Trade Alert]. This could make bulk shipments to large-scale traders like China and Brazil less profitable over time, pushing sellers toward higher-value refined products for markets like South Korea.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q1 analysis for HS Code 1513 shows a highly concentrated buyer market, dominated by a small group of high-value, high-frequency buyers. This segment accounts for 94.92% of the total export value, indicating that most trade comes from regular, large-scale purchasers. The market is characterized by frequent transactions with high monetary value per deal, focusing on bulk shipments. This concentration means that a few key buyers drive the majority of export activity in this period.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other three segments of buyers play smaller but distinct roles. Infrequent but high-value buyers contribute 4.83% of value, likely representing large one-off orders from major importers or processors. Frequent but low-value buyers make up 11.15% of transactions but only 0.09% of value, suggesting small, routine purchases from local or niche markets. Lastly, infrequent and low-value buyers account for minimal shares, possibly indicating occasional or speculative buyers with limited impact.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the focus should be on maintaining relationships with dominant high-value buyers to secure steady revenue, while monitoring regulatory changes that could increase costs. The recent export tax hikes on palm oil products, as noted by globaltradealert.org, may raise risks for bulk shipments, urging a need for cost-efficient sales models. Diversifying into smaller buyer segments could reduce dependency but offers limited growth due to their low value contribution.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q1 Export: Action Plan for Coconut Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q1 for HS Code 1513 reveals a commodity market driven by two core factors. Global price indices and product grade define costs. Bulk shipments to major traders like China and Brazil set baseline prices. Refined oils command slight premiums over crude grades. Recent Indonesian export duty hikes on crude palm oil signal rising policy risks for raw material exports.

Supply chains must prioritize processing over bulk raw exports. Indonesia's role is shifting from a raw supplier to a refined oil hub. High buyer concentration means reliance on few large clients creates volume security but increases vulnerability to policy changes or demand shifts.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coconut Oil Market Execution

• Focus sales on refined palm kernel oil under HS Code 1513. It holds 45% of export value. This leverages existing specialization and captures higher margins compared to crude grades.
• Monitor real-time trade data for policy impacts on key buyers like China and the US. Export duty changes can quickly alter cost structures for bulk shipments, requiring agile pricing adjustments.
• Analyze transaction frequency of high-value buyers to forecast demand cycles. This prevents overstock and aligns production with actual order patterns, reducing storage costs.
• Diversify into regional Asian markets with smaller, frequent orders. Countries like the Philippines offer stable demand for refined products, lowering dependency on large bulk traders.
• Use HS Code sub-category data to track unit price shifts between crude and refined oils. This identifies optimal product mix opportunities to maximize revenue per shipment.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coconut Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q1?

The surge in export volume (43% growth in March) is driven by seasonal demand cycles, while stable unit prices ($1.83/kg) reflect balanced supply conditions. Policy shifts like export duty changes on crude palm oil may indirectly influence trade dynamics.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q1?

China dominates with 21% of volume, followed by the United States (14%) and Brazil (13%). Regional Asian buyers like the Philippines (6%) and Malaysia (5%) also play significant roles.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q1 partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: refined palm kernel oil (45% of export value) averages $1.77/kg, while crude oils hover around $1.80/kg. Bulk shipments to China skew toward lower-margin commodity oil.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coconut Oil export market?

Exporters should prioritize relationships with high-value buyers (95% of export value) and monitor policy risks like export duty hikes. Diversifying into refined oils could offset crude oil vulnerabilities.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coconut Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Major buyers like China and the U.S. benefit from stable bulk supply, while regional Asian buyers rely on frequent, smaller shipments. Refined oil buyers gain pricing power due to Indonesia’s specialization.

Q6. How is Coconut Oil typically used in this trade flow?

The trade focuses on bulk commodity oils, primarily refined palm kernel oil for industrial and food uses, with crude oils serving as feedstock for further processing.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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