Indonesia Coconut Oil HS1513 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Coconut Oil exports under HS Code 1513 in 2025 Q2 reveal a commodity-driven market, with China dominating as the top buyer—handling 27.93% of volume but at lower unit prices, signaling bulk industrial demand. The market shows strong geographic concentration, with China, the US, and the Netherlands absorbing over 58% of shipments, while niche buyers like Brazil pay premium rates for refined grades. This analysis, covering 2025 Q2, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS Code 1513), which includes palm kernel oil and babassu oil fractions, is vital for food processing, cosmetics, and biofuels due to its versatility and stable global demand. In Q2 2025, Indonesia raised export levies under Ministry of Finance Regulation No. 30/2025, pushing rates to 10% for crude products and 9.5% for refined oils [FAS USDA], aiming to boost domestic processing. As the world's top palm kernel oil exporter, Indonesia’s policy shifts directly impact global supply chains, making its 2025 Export trends critical for traders.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Coconut Oil exports under HS Code 1513 in Q2 2025 saw a 5% increase in average unit price to 1.92 USD/kg compared to Q1, while export volume dipped slightly, indicating a shift toward higher-value shipments amid policy-driven market adjustments.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-over-quarter, the average unit price rose from 1.83 USD/kg in Q1 to 1.92 USD/kg in Q2, with total value climbing marginally to 925 million USD from 887 million, and volume decreasing to 483 million kg from 485 million. This trend reflects typical commodity behavior where price hikes, possibly due to seasonal demand peaks or policy anticipation, can compress volumes. The sharp price spike in May to 2.06 USD/kg highlights short-term volatility, likely driven by industry stock cycles or external factors.

External Context and Outlook

The price instability in Q2 aligns with Indonesia's broader vegetable oil policy shifts, including increased export levies for palm products announced in May [USDA Report], which may have spillover effects on coconut oil under HS 1513 due to shared market dynamics. Ongoing regulatory changes could sustain price pressures, influencing Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export 2025 Q2 performance through continued export cost adjustments and demand fluctuations.

Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Q2 2025, Indonesia's export of Coconut Oil under HS Code 1513 is dominated by semi-processed palm kernel oil (HS 15132995), which holds a 43.54% value share with a unit price of 1.72 USD per kilogram. This focus on bulk exports of a specific grade is evident from its lower price compared to higher-value coconut oil variants.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure splits into coconut oil products, with unit prices from 2.29 to 2.43 USD per kilogram indicating higher value and potential differentiation, and palm kernel oil products, priced between 1.56 and 2.03 USD per kilogram, reflecting a more fungible commodity trade. This suggests a market where coconut oils may be more branded or specialized, while palm kernel oils operate as bulk goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Indonesia commands stronger pricing power in coconut oil exports due to their higher value, whereas palm kernel oils are subject to commodity market pressures. Recent policies, such as increased export levies on palm products [USDA Gain Report], align with efforts to promote downstream processing and value addition, reinforcing the strategic shift towards non-crude exports seen in Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export data for 2025 Q2.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In 2025 Q2, Indonesia's Coconut Oil exports under HS Code 1513 show strong concentration, with CHINA MAINLAND as the dominant buyer, accounting for 27.93% of total weight but only 25.20% of value. This disparity suggests China imports bulk, lower-value coconut oil, likely for industrial use or further processing, reflecting the commodity nature of this product where high volume shipments often come with lower unit prices per kilogram.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top destinations form two clear clusters: first, high-volume importers like China, the United States, and the Netherlands, which together handle over 58% of weight, indicating these large economies source coconut oil for widespread consumption or manufacturing needs. Second, countries like Brazil and the Philippines show moderate volumes but higher value ratios, possibly due to importing more refined or specialty grades for specific markets. This split aligns with common commodity trade patterns, where bulk buyers prioritize cost efficiency, while others seek quality or niche applications.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia Coconut Oil HS Code 1513 Export 2025 Q2, exporters should focus on securing relationships with key markets like China and the US to maintain volume stability, while exploring opportunities in value-added segments to boost margins. Recent policy shifts, such as increased export levies for palm products [USDA], could signal similar future changes for coconut oil, urging players to adapt to potential cost increases and enhance traceability to meet sustainability demands (USDA).

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Indonesia Coconut Oil Export for 2025 Q2 under HS Code 1513, the buyer market is highly concentrated, with one segment of buyers dominating trade. Buyers who purchase large volumes frequently account for 94% of the total export value, showing strong reliance on a few key players. This high value and high frequency group also handles 82% of all transactions, indicating a market driven by regular, bulk purchases. The overall market is characterized by frequent, high-value exchanges, with median transactions leaning towards large-scale deals.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other three segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency make up 6% of value, representing occasional large orders, likely for specific projects or spot market needs. Those with low value and high frequency contribute only 0.1% of value, indicating small but regular purchases, possibly from local distributors or smaller businesses. The low value and low frequency group, at 0.2% of value, consists of infrequent small buyers, such as niche users or market testers.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategic focus must be on maintaining relationships with the dominant bulk buyers to secure revenue. The high dependency on this segment poses a risk if demand shifts, but opportunities exist to diversify into other buyer types. Sales should prioritize bulk contracts and reliable supply chains. Recent policies, like increased export levies [USDA], emphasize downstream processing (USDA), so exporters might need to adapt pricing or value-added offerings to keep high-value buyers engaged.

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Indonesia Coconut Oil (HS 1513) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Coconut Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q2 under HS Code 1513 operates as a dual-market system. Price is driven by product grade and bulk demand. High-value coconut oils command premiums, while palm kernel oils face commodity pressure. Supply chains must prioritize secure, high-volume logistics for dominant buyers. Recent policy shifts, like potential levy increases, add cost risks. Exporters must balance volume stability with value-addition to protect margins.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coconut Oil Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term contracts with high-frequency bulk buyers. This secures stable revenue and reduces market volatility risk.
• Diversify into premium coconut oil grades under HS Code 1513. Higher unit prices boost profitability and reduce dependency on bulk commodity trade.
• Monitor China and US import trends monthly. Adjust production and shipping schedules to align with their large-volume purchase cycles.
• Develop traceability and sustainability certifications for exports. Meet growing buyer demands and mitigate policy-related cost increases.
• Use transaction frequency data to optimize inventory levels. Prevent overstock or shortages by aligning with buyer purchase patterns.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coconut Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q2?

The average unit price rose 5% to 1.92 USD/kg in Q2 due to higher-value shipments, while volume dipped slightly. This reflects policy shifts like increased export levies and potential seasonal demand peaks.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q2?

China dominates with 27.93% of weight, followed by the US and the Netherlands, which together account for over 58% of total export volume.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coconut Oil Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

Prices vary due to product specialization: coconut oil grades (2.29–2.43 USD/kg) command higher value, while palm kernel oils (1.56–2.03 USD/kg) trade as bulk commodities.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coconut Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize bulk contracts with dominant buyers (94% of value) while exploring niche markets like Brazil or the Philippines for higher-margin specialty grades.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coconut Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Bulk buyers (e.g., China) benefit from stable supply but face commodity price volatility, while niche buyers access premium products at higher unit costs.

Q6. How is Coconut Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Higher-value coconut oils likely serve branded or specialized applications, while palm kernel oils are used for industrial processing or commodity trading.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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