2025 Indonesia Lignite (HS 2702) Export: Volatile Swings
Key Takeaways
Lignite, classified under HS Code 2702 (Lignite, whether shaped or not, but excluding black jade:), exhibited high volatility from January to September 2025.
- Market Pulse: Volatile weight and value swings, peaking in August (12.75B kg, $500.11M) after a mid-year slump, reflecting policy-driven disruptions and recovery.
- Structural Shift: Indonesia Lignite Export reliance on China Mainland (98.26% of value) creates acute concentration risk, with minimal buyer diversification.
- Product Logic: HS Code 2702 trade data confirms a bulk-commodity market, with raw lignite (27021000) dominating at $0.04/kg versus agglomerated ($0.17/kg).
This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Lignite (HS Code 2702) Key Metrics Trend
Market Trend Summary
The Indonesia Lignite Export trend from January to September 2025 displayed pronounced volatility, opening with a robust 10.83 billion kg in weight and $499.24 million in value during January, then entering a sustained decline through June with lows of 7.11 billion kg and $303.81 million. A sharp recovery followed in July and August, peaking at 12.75 billion kg and $500.11 million, before moderating to 11.45 billion kg and $477.32 million in September, reflecting a turbulent yet net-positive trajectory over the period.
Drivers & Industry Context
This volatility aligns with Indonesia's export policy shifts under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, effective March 2025, which eased restrictions on mining product exports and reduced administrative burdens, likely causing initial disruptions followed by a surge as adaption occurred [Permitindo]. The hs code 2702 value fluctuations were further influenced by market anticipation of potential export duties on lignite, prompting preemptive shipments before any implementation (Voi.id), while global energy demand cycles amplified the Q3 rebound.
Table: Indonesia Lignite Export Trend (Source: yTrade)
| Date | Value | Weight | Unit Price | Value MoM | Weight MoM | Unit Price MoM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 | 499.24M USD | 10.83B kg | $0.05/kg | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2025-02-01 | 477.37M USD | 10.63B kg | $0.04/kg | -4.38% | -1.82% | -2.61% |
| 2025-03-01 | 458.85M USD | 10.21B kg | $0.04/kg | -3.88% | -3.96% | +0.09% |
| 2025-04-01 | 353.38M USD | 7.90B kg | $0.04/kg | -22.98% | -22.67% | -0.40% |
| 2025-05-01 | 371.64M USD | 8.33B kg | $0.04/kg | +5.17% | +5.45% | -0.27% |
| 2025-06-01 | 303.81M USD | 7.11B kg | $0.04/kg | -18.25% | -14.60% | -4.27% |
| 2025-07-01 | 437.13M USD | 11.18B kg | $0.04/kg | +43.88% | +57.23% | -8.49% |
| 2025-08-01 | 500.11M USD | 12.75B kg | $0.04/kg | +14.41% | +14.06% | +0.30% |
| 2025-09-01 | 477.32M USD | 11.45B kg | $0.04/kg | -4.56% | -10.23% | +6.31% |
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Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Breakdown
Market Composition & Top Categories
Indonesia's HS Code 2702 export market is overwhelmingly dominated by non-agglomerated lignite (HS Code 27021000), which accounts for virtually all shipments by value and weight, with a near-total share. According to yTrade data, this category represents the core of Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export activity. The remaining sub-codes, such as agglomerated lignite, contribute negligibly and are marginal in comparison.
Value Chain & Strategic Insights
The unit price disparity—$0.04 per kg for raw lignite versus $0.17 per kg for agglomerated—highlights a basic value-add stage, though the market remains fundamentally commodity-driven with price sensitivity. This HS Code 2702 breakdown confirms that trade structure revolves around bulk, low-value raw material exports, with minimal specialization. For traders, focus should remain on volume and cost efficiency rather than premium products.
Table: Indonesia HS Code 2702) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)
| HS Code | Product Description | Value | Frequency | Quantity | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270210** | Lignite; whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated, excluding jet | 3.88B | 1.70K | 90.38M | 90.38B |
| 270220** | Lignite; agglomerated, excluding jet | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 6.00 |
| 2702** | ******** | ******** | ******** | ******** | ******** |
Check Detailed HS Code 2702 Breakdown
Indonesia Lignite Destination Countries
Geographic Concentration & Market Risk
From January to September 2025, Indonesia's Lignite exports show extreme geographic concentration, with China Mainland dominating at 98.26% of total export value. This near-total reliance on one market for Indonesia Lignite export destinations introduces high vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes in China. Such dependence underscores a critical market risk, lacking diversification to buffer against external shocks.
Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation
The minimal gap between value ratio (98.26%) and weight ratio (98.16%) signals a commodity-based market, where Indonesia's Lignite trades are driven by bulk volume and standardized pricing rather than premium differentiation. High frequency (96.82%) supports consistent, large-scale industrial demand, not retail fragmentation. This pattern confirms volume scale over margin potential for trade partners in Lignite, aligning with typical bulk energy resource flows.
Table: Indonesia Lignite (HS Code 2702) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHINA MAINLAND | 3.81B | 88.72M | 1.65K | 88.72B |
| SOUTH KOREA | 34.44M | 666.69K | 10.00 | 666.69M |
| PAKISTAN | 11.32M | 384.90K | 13.00 | 384.90M |
| INDIA | 8.47M | 306.32K | 7.00 | 306.32M |
| CHINA TAIWAN | 5.07M | 111.88K | 4.00 | 111.88M |
| CAMBODIA | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
Get Indonesia Lignite (HS Code 2702) Complete Destination Countries Profile
Indonesia Lignite Buyer Companies Analysis
Buyer Concentration & Market Structure
According to yTrade data, the Indonesia Lignite buyers market is overwhelmingly dominated by a core group of Key Accounts, responsible for 85.24% of total export value throughout the first three quarters of 2025. This cluster exhibits both high purchase frequency and high value, indicating stable, contract-based supply chains with loyal repeat customers like GEO COAL INTERNATIONAL PTE. LTD. Such concentration underscores a mature market where long-term relationships and consistent volume commitments define the primary trade flow.
Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy
The dominance of High-Volume Repeaters suggests a sales strategy focused on securing and nurturing long-term contracts, with an emphasis on reliability and consistent quality to retain these anchor clients. However, the significant value share held by this single segment also introduces concentration risk, making account diversification into the smaller but substantial Low-Value/Low-Frequency segment a prudent move. Sellers should note that new customs guidelines under [Indonesia's MOF Reg. 25/2025] emphasize electronic filing and stricter documentation, requiring processes that ensure smooth, compliant transactions for all HS Code 2702 buyer trends.
Table: Indonesia Lignite (HS Code 2702) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)
| Buyer Company | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LX INTERNATIONAL, CORP | 260.42M | 7.90M | 280.00 | 7.90B |
| CENTURY COMMODITIES SOLUTION PTE.LTD | 180.16M | 3.79M | 61.00 | 3.79B |
| GEO COAL INTERNATIONAL HK LIMITED | 168.60M | 3.62M | 68.00 | 3.62B |
| GUANGZHOU ZHUJIANG ELECTRIC POWER FUELLING CO.,LTD | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
Check Full Indonesia Lignite Buyers list
Action Plan for Lignite Market Operation and Expansion
- Diversify buyer base: Target Low-Value/Low-Frequency importers to mitigate reliance on High-Volume Repeaters (85.24% of value).
- Lock in contracts during peaks: Capitalize on Q3 rebound trends to secure favorable terms before potential policy shifts or demand dips.
- Audit logistics costs: Bulk-driven margins demand lean shipping and handling for raw lignite (27021000) to preserve profitability.
- Monitor China policy shifts: Track regulatory changes in China Mainland, the near-exclusive buyer, to preempt supply chain disruptions.
- Prepare for documentation compliance: Align with Indonesia’s MOF Reg. 25/2025 on electronic filing to avoid customs delays.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Lignite HS Code 2702 Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Export in 2025?
The volatility in Indonesia's lignite exports is driven by policy shifts under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, which initially disrupted then boosted shipments, alongside global energy demand cycles and preemptive shipments ahead of potential export duties.
Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Indonesia Lignite (HS Code 2702) in 2025?
China Mainland dominates Indonesia's lignite exports, accounting for 98.26% of total export value, with negligible diversification to other markets.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Indonesia Lignite Export in 2025?
The price disparity stems from the product mix: raw lignite trades at $0.04 per kg, while agglomerated lignite commands $0.17 per kg, though the latter is marginal in volume.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite export market?
Exporters should prioritize securing long-term contracts with high-volume repeat buyers (85.24% of trade value) while diversifying to mitigate over-reliance on China and adapting to stricter customs documentation rules.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers face stable, bulk-driven supply from Indonesia but must account for concentration risks, as any disruption in China’s demand or policy could destabilize trade flows.
Q6. How is Lignite typically used in this trade flow?
Lignite is primarily traded as a low-value bulk commodity for industrial energy use, with minimal processing or premium differentiation.
Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAR
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAY
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUN
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 AUG
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 SEP
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 OCT
Indonesia HS Code 2702 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1
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2025 Indonesia Lignite (HS 270210) Export: High Volatility
Indonesia's lignite exports (HS code 270210) show sharp fluctuations, peaking at 12.75B kg in August 2025. Track trends on yTrade for insights into seasonal demand cycles and market risks.
