Indonesia Lignite Coal HS2702 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) export in September 2025 is overwhelmingly concentrated in China, which accounts for 99.6% of value and 99.4% of weight, signaling a high-grade product and extreme buyer dependency. The slight premium in unit price suggests China prioritizes quality, while minimal shares to Pakistan and Vietnam highlight unutilized regional diversification potential. New export regulations under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025 may force exporters to adapt to stricter licensing and value-added strategies. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, covers September 2025.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) covers lignite, whether or not agglomerated, excluding jet, and fuels power plants and industrial processes globally due to its cost-effective energy output. In 2025, Indonesia’s export policies under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025 tighten raw mineral shipments, pushing for downstream processing while allowing limited exemptions [Permitindo]. As a key Southeast Asian supplier, Indonesia’s September 2025 lignite exports face stricter proceeds retention rules under GR 8/2025, aligning trade with domestic financial controls [Orrick].

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In September 2025, Indonesia's lignite coal exports under HS Code 2702 experienced a noticeable decline from August's peak, with export value dropping to $477.32 million and volume falling to 11.45 billion kg, reflecting a 4.6% decrease in value month-over-month.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The unit price remained stable at $0.04 per kg throughout 2025, indicating consistent pricing despite volume fluctuations. The sequential decline from August to September aligns with typical inventory drawdown cycles in the mineral fuels sector, where exporters often reduce shipments after peak periods to manage stocks. This pattern suggests a normalization after the mid-year surge, rather than a structural shift in demand or supply.

External Context and Outlook

Recent regulatory changes, such as [Permendag 8/2025] and Permendag 9/2025, which restrict raw mineral exports to promote downstream processing, have introduced volatility in Indonesia's export flows (Permitindo). These policies likely contributed to the August spike as exporters rushed to meet deadlines before tighter controls, with the September pullback indicating adjustment to new norms. Looking ahead, continued regulatory enforcement may sustain subdued export volumes through year-end.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In September 2025, Indonesia's export of Lignite Coal under HS Code 2702 is entirely concentrated in a single product variant, HS Code 27021000, which covers Lignite; whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated, excluding jet. This sub-code accounts for all export value of 477.32 million USD and all weight of 11.45 billion kilograms, with a unit price of 0.04 USD per kilogram, indicating a uniform, low-value bulk export without significant price variations or anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure consists solely of raw, unprocessed lignite, categorizing it as a fungible bulk commodity with no value-added stages or quality grades present. This implies that Indonesia's Lignite Coal trade under HS Code 2702 is driven by volume-based, standardized products, typically linked to global commodity indices rather than differentiated manufactured goods, reflecting a straightforward supply of low-grade thermal coal for energy generation.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

As a bulk commodity, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports face limited pricing power, heavily influenced by international market demand and competition. Recent regulatory changes, such as those under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, emphasize downstream processing and export restrictions for minerals [Permitindo], which may pressure exporters to shift towards value-added products or face constraints, potentially impacting future export volumes and strategies for HS Code 2702 (Permitindo).

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In September 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export is heavily concentrated, with CHINA MAINLAND dominating at 99.63% of value and 99.43% of weight, indicating a slight premium in unit price that suggests higher-grade product for this commodity. The disparity between value and weight ratios points to China paying more per kilogram, likely due to quality or strategic sourcing needs.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clusters emerge: China as the primary buyer, driven by its massive energy demand and proximity, while PAKISTAN and VIETNAM form a secondary cluster with minimal shares (under 1% each), possibly due to smaller-scale or lower-grade purchases, influenced by regional trade dynamics or niche industrial uses.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For market players, reliance on China poses supply chain risks, and diversifying to other Asian markets could mitigate this. Indonesia's new export regulations, such as those under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025 [Permitindo], emphasize downstream processing and export controls (Permitindo), which may require exporters to adapt to stricter licensing and value-added strategies to maintain competitiveness.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 September market is heavily concentrated, with one group of buyers dominating trade. A single segment of high-volume, frequent buyers accounts for 89% of total export value under HS Code 2702. This group also handles 89% of all shipments, indicating a market driven by large, regular purchases. The median trade pattern shows bulk transactions from a small number of key players.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The remaining three segments play minor roles. A set of low-value but frequent buyers contributes 4% of value, suggesting smaller-scale or trial purchases. Another group of low-value, infrequent buyers adds 7% of value, likely representing occasional or spot market participants. Notably, there are no high-value, infrequent buyers active, which eliminates a potential segment for large one-time deals. This structure is typical for bulk commodities like lignite coal, where trade relies on established, high-volume relationships.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian exporters, strategy must focus on maintaining relationships with the dominant bulk buyers. The high dependence on this segment creates vulnerability to demand shifts or contract changes. Sales efforts should prioritize service and reliability for these key accounts, rather than seeking new small buyers. The regulatory environment reinforces this approach, as Indonesia's 2025 export rules [Permitindo] emphasize controlled mineral exports and value retention, favoring larger, compliant traders. Exporters should ensure full adherence to these policies to avoid disruptions with major clients.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Lignite Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 September under HS Code 2702 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global thermal coal indices and China's energy demand. Supply chain implications include high reliance on Chinese buyers and vulnerability to regulatory shifts like Indonesia's export controls. This creates a volume-focused, low-margin business with limited pricing power.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Lignite Coal Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term contracts with key Chinese buyers using shipment frequency data. This secures stable volume and reduces exposure to spot market price volatility.
• Diversify export destinations by targeting secondary Asian markets like Vietnam and Pakistan. This mitigates risk from over-reliance on a single buyer.
• Investigate value-added processing options to comply with Indonesia's 2025 export regulations. This future-proofs your business against stricter export controls.
• Monitor buyer purchase cycles to optimize inventory and logistics planning. This prevents stockpile costs and ensures timely delivery to maintain buyer trust.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Lignite Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 September?

The decline in export value and volume from August to September reflects typical inventory drawdown cycles, compounded by regulatory changes under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, which prompted a pre-deadline surge followed by adjustment to new norms.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 September?

China dominates with 99.63% of export value, while Pakistan and Vietnam form a minor secondary cluster, collectively accounting for less than 1% of trade.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 September partner countries?

China pays a slight premium (0.04 USD/kg) due to its bulk purchases of standardized, unprocessed lignite (HS Code 27021000), while smaller buyers likely procure lower-grade volumes.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize maintaining relationships with dominant high-volume buyers (89% of trade) and ensure compliance with downstream processing regulations to mitigate reliance on China.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

China’s near-total dominance ensures stable supply for its energy needs, while smaller buyers face limited leverage and must align with Indonesia’s regulatory shifts favoring value-added trade.

Q6. How is Lignite Coal typically used in this trade flow?

The exports consist solely of raw, unprocessed lignite, indicating its primary use as low-grade thermal coal for bulk energy generation in importing countries.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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