Indonesia Lignite Coal HS2702 Export Data 2025 January Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 January Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) export market in January 2025 is overwhelmingly concentrated in China, which accounts for over 97% of both volume and value, signaling heavy reliance on a single buyer. The remaining demand is fragmented among small-volume markets like South Korea and India, suggesting limited diversification. This high buyer concentration poses significant market risk, though stable pricing indicates consistent bulk demand. Based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, this analysis confirms Indonesia’s Lignite Coal exports remain tightly tied to China’s energy needs in early 2025.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 January Export Background

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702: Lignite, whether or not agglomerated, excluding jet) fuels power generation and industrial processes globally, with steady demand due to its cost-effectiveness. Under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, Indonesia tightened export rules for processed minerals, though raw lignite exports remain unaffected as of January 2025 [Permitindo]. As a key supplier, Indonesia’s Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export 2025 January flows hinge on balancing domestic energy needs and international market opportunities.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 January Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 in January 2025 saw a significant volume of 10.83 billion kg, but the unit price remained low at $0.05 per kg, resulting in a total value of $499.24 million, indicating potential pressure on pricing despite high export activity.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The low unit price for January 2025 Lignite Coal exports contrasts with typical seasonal demand peaks, such as winter heating needs in key markets, which often drive prices higher. This anomaly suggests that industry dynamics, like oversupply or shifts toward lower-quality coal due to domestic processing policies, may be influencing the trend. The high volume of 10.83 billion kg points to robust export flows, possibly fueled by anticipatory moves ahead of regulatory changes, rather than pure seasonal or cyclical factors.

External Context and Outlook

The observed trends align with Indonesia's recent export policy updates, such as [Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025], which emphasize downstream mineral processing and could be pushing exporters to clear raw coal inventories, explaining the high volume and depressed prices. Looking ahead, continued policy enforcement might sustain volume but keep prices subdued, requiring monitoring of further regulatory shifts for Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export 2025 January outcomes.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 January Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In January 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 are heavily concentrated in unagglomerated lignite, specifically the sub-code for "Lignite; whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated," which accounts for nearly all export value and weight. This product has a unit price of 0.05 USD per kilogram, reflecting its role as a low-value raw material. A minor variant for agglomerated lignite exists but is isolated from the main analysis due to its negligible share in trade volumes.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The market structure consists primarily of raw, unprocessed lignite, indicating a trade in fungible bulk commodities tied to weight-based pricing rather than differentiated grades. With no significant sub-codes beyond the dominant one, the export profile lacks variety in value-add stages or quality tiers, suggesting that Indonesia's Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 exports in 2025 January are homogenous and likely driven by volume rather than specialized processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 January, the concentration in raw materials implies limited pricing power, as bulk commodities often compete on cost and scale. Recent regulations, such as [Permendag 8/2025] supporting downstream mineral processing, suggest a potential strategic shift toward value-added products in the future, but current exports under HS Code 2702 remain focused on low-margin, high-volume trade.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 January Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export in 2025 January shows extreme concentration, with China Mainland accounting for 97.55% of total weight and 97.58% of total value. The near-identical ratios indicate China pays standard market prices for this bulk commodity, confirming its role as the primary bulk energy buyer with consistent grade requirements.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two distinct clusters emerge beyond China. South Korea, Romania and Singapore form a medium-volume group (1.38%-0.33% weight share) with value ratios closely matching weight shares, suggesting routine industrial purchases at market rates. India and Philippines represent minimal-volume transactions with negligible values, likely representing either small test shipments or irregular spot purchases for specialized needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Suppliers should prioritize maintaining China's bulk supply chains while developing secondary markets in Korea and Southeast Asia for stability. Recent regulations like [Permendag 8/2025] focusing on mineral processing (Permendag 8/2025) suggest Indonesia may eventually extend downstream requirements to coal, making value-added processing a future consideration for maintaining market access under evolving trade policies.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 January Export: Action Plan for Lignite Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 January under HS Code 2702 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global energy demand and China’s industrial consumption patterns. The extreme buyer concentration in China creates high volume but also high dependency risk. Supply chains must prioritize reliable bulk logistics and cost-efficient shipping to maintain competitiveness. Future regulations may push for domestic processing, adding complexity to current raw material export models.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Lignite Coal Market Execution

• Monitor China’s monthly import volume trends to anticipate demand shifts and adjust production schedules, avoiding oversupply or missed opportunities.
• Develop secondary buyer profiles in South Korea and Southeast Asia using trade data to diversify client base and reduce dependency on a single market.
• Track regulatory updates like Permendag 8/2025 for early signals of processing requirements, enabling proactive investment in value-added infrastructure.
• Analyze shipping and freight cost patterns from Indonesian ports to key destinations to optimize logistics and protect margin in a low-price commodity trade.

Forward-Looking Strategy

Suppliers should balance volume commitments to China with targeted growth in secondary markets. Investing in basic sorting or washing could create modest product differentiation. Compliance with evolving local content rules will be essential for long-term market access. Data agility will separate winners from losers in this volatile bulk sector.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Lignite Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 January?

The high export volume (10.83 billion kg) and low unit price ($0.05/kg) suggest oversupply, likely due to anticipatory moves ahead of regulatory shifts like Permendag 8/2025, which emphasizes downstream processing.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 January?

China dominates with 97.55% of weight and 97.58% of value, followed by South Korea, Romania, and Singapore (1.38%-0.33% weight share).

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 January partner countries?

The uniform price of $0.05/kg reflects the homogenous, unprocessed nature of the dominant sub-code ("Lignite; whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated"), leaving no room for grade-based differentiation.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize maintaining bulk supply chains to China while developing secondary markets (e.g., South Korea, Southeast Asia) to mitigate overreliance on a single buyer.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers benefit from stable, low-cost raw material supplies, but future regulatory shifts toward processed coal may require adjustments to sourcing strategies.

Q6. How is Lignite Coal typically used in this trade flow?

The unprocessed bulk exports under HS Code 2702 are primarily used as low-value energy feedstock, likely for industrial or power generation needs.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
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