Indonesia Lignite Coal HS2702 Export Data 2025 February Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) export market in February 2025 is overwhelmingly dominated by China, which accounts for 98.7% of volume and value, reflecting stable pricing at 0.045 USD/kg for this low-grade bulk commodity. The market shows extreme buyer concentration, with China as the primary destination due to its massive energy demand, while secondary markets like India and South Korea remain marginal. This analysis, covering February 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database. Exporters must prioritize China while monitoring regulatory shifts under Permendag 8/2025, as diversification remains limited given the market’s heavy reliance on a single buyer.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export Background

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) covers lignite, whether or not agglomerated, excluding jet, and fuels power plants and industrial processes globally due to its cost-effectiveness. While global demand remains steady, Indonesia’s export policies saw updates in early 2025 under Permendag No. 8/2025, focusing on downstream mineral processing but leaving coal largely unaffected [Permitindo]. As a key exporter, Indonesia’s Lignite Coal shipments in February 2025 continued under existing rules, maintaining its role in meeting energy needs.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In February 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 experienced a sharp 20% month-over-month decline in unit price, dropping to $0.04 per kg, while volume and total value also saw modest decreases.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The MoM unit price fall from $0.05 to $0.04 per kg aligns with typical post-winter demand softening in coal markets, as reduced heating needs often lead to lower prices and inventory drawdowns. Volume dipped by 1.85% to 10.63 billion kg, reflecting seasonal adjustments in export activity, though lacking YoY data limits broader trend analysis. This pattern suggests routine cyclical behavior rather than structural shifts.

External Context and Outlook

Despite no specific policy changes for coal in February [Permitindo], Indonesia's broader export regulations under Permendag 8 and 9 of 2025 emphasize downstream mineral processing (Permitindo), potentially fostering market uncertainty. Looking ahead, sustained policy focus on value-added exports may continue to influence prices and volumes, though seasonal factors will likely dominate near-term trends.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In February 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal export under HS Code 2702 is fully dominated by a single sub-code, 27021000, which covers raw lignite that is not agglomerated. This sub-code holds a 100% share of both export value and weight, with a unit price of just 0.04 USD per kilogram, confirming its role as a low-value, bulk commodity without any isolated price anomalies in the data.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The entire export consists of this single product form, indicating a uniform market for raw, unprocessed lignite coal. This structure points to a fungible bulk commodity, where trade is driven by volume and basic grade specifications rather than value-added processing or differentiation, typical of commodities linked to weight-based indices.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The low unit price of Indonesia Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 in February 2025 suggests limited pricing power, with competition focused on cost efficiency and volume. Exporters must monitor regulatory changes, such as those under Indonesia's Permendag 8/2025 [Permitindo], which could impact mineral export policies and require adaptations in compliance or market strategy.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export in 2025 February shows extreme concentration, with CHINA MAINLAND dominating at 98.70% of weight and 98.66% of value, indicating nearly uniform pricing around 0.045 USD/kg for this bulk commodity, typical for low-value lignite.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clusters emerge: China alone as the primary destination due to its massive energy demand and geographic proximity, while South Korea and India form a secondary cluster with minor shares (0.67% and 0.52% weight, respectively), likely driven by regional power generation needs. Singapore and the Philippines have negligible presence, possibly due to smaller markets or re-export roles.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prioritize maintaining stable shipments to China while monitoring regulatory shifts, as Indonesia's new rules under [Permendag 8/2025] could impact coal trade flows by emphasizing downstream processing (Permendag). Diversifying to secondary markets like India may mitigate risks, but China's dominance will likely persist for Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export in 2025 February.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Indonesia Lignite Coal Export for February 2025 under HS Code 2702, the buyer market shows strong concentration. The analysis for this period reveals that one group of buyers dominates, accounting for 88.03% of the total export value. These buyers purchase large volumes frequently, making them the core of the market. The typical transaction in this segment involves high value and high frequency, shaping the overall trade dynamics for lignite coal. This four-segment buyer structure highlights a reliance on a few key players.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency represent large, infrequent orders, possibly for specific projects or stockpiling. Those with low value and high frequency are smaller regular purchasers, likely serving local or niche markets. The low value and low frequency group consists of occasional small buyers, perhaps engaging in spot market transactions. For a commodity like lignite coal, these segments reflect varied demand patterns, from bulk contracts to分散ed smaller deals.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategy should focus on maintaining strong ties with the dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to ensure stable revenue. However, this concentration poses a risk if demand shifts or regulations change. Diversifying into the other segments could reduce vulnerability. According to Permitindo, Indonesia's mineral export policies are evolving under Permendag 8 and 9 of 2025, which may impact coal exports by emphasizing compliance and downstream processing. This underscores the need for adaptable sales models that can respond to regulatory updates.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 February Export: Action Plan for Lignite Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 February under HS Code 2702 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by volume and basic grade, not value-added processing. China's dominance (98.7% share) creates high reliance on its energy demand and policy shifts. The supply chain focuses on low-cost, high-volume logistics to serve this single massive buyer. This concentration increases vulnerability to demand changes or new regulations like Indonesia's Permendag 8/2025.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Lignite Coal Market Execution

• Monitor China’s energy and import policies monthly. Use trade data alerts to anticipate demand shifts. This prevents sudden revenue drops from concentrated buyer changes.
• Diversify into secondary markets like India and South Korea. Analyze their import patterns to target growth. This reduces over-reliance on China and spreads market risk.
• Track regulatory updates from Indonesia’s Ministry of Trade. Subscribe to sources like Permitindo for real-time compliance needs. This avoids export disruptions from new rules like Permendag 8/2025.
• Use buyer frequency data to plan inventory cycles. Align production with high-volume purchase rhythms. This optimizes storage costs and ensures timely delivery for key contracts.
• Benchmark lignite quality against regional competitors. Adjust pricing strategies based on grade comparisons. This maintains competitiveness in a low-margin bulk commodity market.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Lignite Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 February?

The 20% month-over-month price drop to $0.04/kg reflects seasonal post-winter demand softening, while volume dipped slightly (1.85%) due to routine cyclical adjustments in coal trade.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 February?

China dominates with 98.7% of exports by weight and value, followed by minor shares from South Korea (0.67%) and India (0.52%).

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 February partner countries?

Uniform pricing (~$0.045/kg) prevails as exports consist solely of unprocessed raw lignite (HS 27021000), a low-value bulk commodity traded by weight.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite Coal export market?

Prioritize maintaining relationships with high-value, high-frequency buyers (88% of trade) while diversifying to secondary markets like India to mitigate China dependency risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

China’s buyers benefit from stable bulk supply, while smaller markets face limited access; all must monitor Indonesia’s evolving export policies on downstream processing.

Q6. How is Lignite Coal typically used in this trade flow?

It serves as a low-grade fuel for power generation, traded in bulk volumes without value-added processing due to its fungible commodity nature.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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