Indonesia Lignite Coal HS2702 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) exports in October 2025 reveal extreme buyer concentration, with China Mainland dominating 99% of shipments, signaling high market risk. The slight premium in value over weight suggests China secures marginally better-grade coal, while minor buyers like Pakistan likely take lower-quality volumes. This geographic reliance demands diversification to mitigate supply chain vulnerabilities, especially under Indonesia’s new export regulations. Based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, this analysis covers October 2025.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702), covering lignite whether or not agglomerated (excluding jet), fuels power generation and industrial heating due to its low-cost energy output, maintaining steady global demand. Recent updates like Permendag 8/2025 [Permitindo] refine Indonesia’s export policies, emphasizing downstream processing, while MOF Reg. 25/2025 [SSEK] tightens customs documentation for transferred goods. As a key exporter, Indonesia’s 2025 October shipments hinge on balancing regulatory compliance with competitive pricing in Asia’s energy markets.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In October 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 experienced a notable drop in both value and volume compared to September, with unit prices holding steady at $0.04 per kg. This decline marks a continuation of the volatility seen throughout the year, driven primarily by regulatory shifts rather than price movements.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly data shows unit prices stabilized at $0.04 per kg from February onward, indicating no significant price pressure. However, export volume fell from 11.45 billion kg in September to 9.65 billion kg in October, while value decreased from $477.32 million to $404.86 million. This pattern reflects typical mineral export cycles where policy changes, rather than seasonal demand, dictate trade flows. The consistency in price suggests that supply and demand fundamentals remained balanced, with fluctuations in volume pointing to administrative or regulatory adjustments impacting shipment schedules.

External Context and Outlook

The observed volatility aligns with Indonesia's new export regulations, specifically [Permendag 8/2025] and Permendag 9/2025, which emphasize downstream mineral processing and revised export prohibitions effective from March 2025. These policies, aimed at boosting domestic value addition, likely caused temporary disruptions in lignite coal shipments as exporters adapted to compliance requirements. Additionally, rules on export proceeds retention under GR 8/2025 may have influenced cash flow decisions, further affecting export volumes. Looking ahead, continued regulatory implementation is expected to maintain some instability in Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export 2025 October trends, though stable prices may cushion broader market impacts.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal export under HS Code 2702 is entirely concentrated in a single sub-code, 2702100000, which covers lignite that is not agglomerated. This sub-code represents all export activity, with a unit price of 0.04 USD per kilogram, confirming its role as a low-value bulk commodity without significant specialization or anomalies.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

With no other sub-codes present, the export structure is monolithic, focused solely on raw or pulverized lignite. This indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are undifferentiated and likely priced based on weight, tied to global energy indices rather than value-added processing or grade variations.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Exporters face limited pricing power due to the commodity nature of lignite, with prices driven by market demand and weight. Recent regulations, such as Permendag 8/2025 [Permitindo], push for downstream mineral processing, suggesting a strategic shift towards higher-value products could emerge, but current exports remain centered on raw materials.

Check Detailed HS 2702 Breakdown

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In October 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 show extreme geographic concentration, with CHINA MAINLAND accounting for 99.19% of export value and 99.00% of weight, indicating its dominant role as the primary buyer. The slight disparity where value ratio exceeds weight ratio suggests that China may be receiving a marginally higher unit price, possibly due to better coal grade or negotiated terms, typical for commodity trades like energy resources.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export partners form two clusters: China Mainland as the massive primary cluster driven by its high energy demand and proximity, and a minor cluster including China Taiwan and Pakistan, each with less than 1% share. China Taiwan's involvement likely stems from regional trade ties, while Pakistan's lower value ratio relative to weight implies cheaper, lower-grade coal purchases, possibly for specific industrial needs or cost-saving strategies.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia Lignite Coal exporters, heavy reliance on China poses risks, urging diversification to other Asian markets to stabilize demand. Compliance with new Indonesian regulations like Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025 is critical, as they require export proceeds retention in local banks and promote downstream processing, impacting cash flow and encouraging value-added exports [Permitindo]. Adapting to these rules will be key for sustaining Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export 2025 October operations.

Get Complete Partner Countries Profile

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In October 2025, the Indonesia Lignite Coal Export market under HS Code 2702 shows extreme concentration, with one group of buyers dominating over 88% of the export value through large, frequent purchases. This segment handles nearly 88% of the volume and 87% of the transactions, defining the market as high-volume and high-frequency. The analysis of four buyer segments reveals that this key group is the core driver for October 2025.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The remaining buyers split into two types: those making small but regular purchases account for about 3% of value, while occasional buyers of small volumes contribute nearly 9%. There are no buyers focusing solely on large, infrequent orders in this period. For a commodity like lignite coal, the regular small buyers likely represent spot market or secondary demand, and the infrequent ones may be testing or niche users.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

Exporters in Indonesia should prioritize maintaining strong ties with the dominant high-volume buyers to secure steady revenue, but this reliance poses a risk if demand shifts. The high frequency of trade suggests a stable sales model, yet new regulations like export proceeds retention requirements [Permitindo] could impact cash flow, making compliance essential for mitigating vulnerabilities.

Check Full Lignite Coal Buyer lists

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Lignite Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 October under HS Code 2702 is a pure commodity trade. Price is driven by global energy demand and bulk weight, not product differentiation. China’s dominance as a buyer creates both stability and vulnerability. New regulations like Permendag 8/2025 push for downstream processing, but current exports remain low-value. The supply chain is built for high-volume, low-margin bulk shipping with minimal processing.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Lignite Coal Market Execution

• Use HS Code 2702 transaction data to track China’s purchase cycles. This helps plan production and avoid oversupply.
• Analyze buyer frequency to identify secondary markets in Asia. This reduces dependency on a single dominant buyer.
• Monitor unit price changes by destination. This reveals opportunities to negotiate better terms for higher-grade shipments.
• Track regulatory updates like export proceeds rules. This ensures compliance and protects cash flow.
• Develop a strategy for value-added products under new regulations. This future-proofs against commodity price volatility.

Risk Mitigation and Forward Strategy

Over-reliance on China is a major risk. Diversify buyers using trade data to find new partners in Southeast Asia. Comply strictly with Indonesia’s new export rules to avoid penalties. Prepare for a shift to processed lignite products to capture higher margins. Adapt now to secure the future of Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 exports.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Lignite Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 October?

The decline in volume and value is primarily due to regulatory shifts, including Indonesia's new export policies promoting downstream processing, rather than price fluctuations.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 October?

China Mainland dominates with 99.19% of export value, followed by China Taiwan and Pakistan, each accounting for less than 1%.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 October partner countries?

The uniform unit price of $0.04/kg reflects lignite's bulk commodity nature, with minor variations likely tied to negotiated terms rather than product differentiation.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize maintaining relationships with high-volume buyers (88% of trade) while diversifying markets to reduce reliance on China.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

China's dominance ensures stable supply, but niche buyers may face limited bargaining power due to the market's high concentration.

Q6. How is Lignite Coal typically used in this trade flow?

It is traded as a low-value, undifferentiated bulk commodity, primarily for energy generation or industrial fuel needs.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

• Identify active and verified buyers through global import data
• Discover reliable suppliers with real shipment history
• Monitor competitor previous trade activity
• Reduce sourcing and compliance risk with worldwide export data
• Support data-driven sales, procurement, and market expansion decisions
• Save time by replacing manual research with structured trade data analysis

Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

• Global shipment search by HS code, product, company name, port, or country
• Detailed company trade profiles with ownership and relationship mapping
• Buyer and supplier discovery with real transaction trade records
• Basic compliance with background checks and sanctions risk screening
• Competitor's shipment tracking and selling/buying behaviour analysis
• Trade Trends to identify market demand and trade flow monitoring
• Big-Data Search engine with percised filters to generate accurate data reports
• Global Trade Data API access for Internal Softwares like CRM, ERP, and SaaS integration All data is structured, verified, and cleaned to ensure consistency and reliability.