Indonesia Lignite Coal HS2702 Export Data 2025 May Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) exports in May 2025 reveal a market dominated by China, which accounts for over 98% of both volume and value, reflecting stable bulk pricing and extreme buyer concentration. The near-total reliance on a single market heightens supply chain risks, especially as Indonesia tightens export regulations to prioritize downstream processing. This analysis, covering May 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export Background

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702: Lignite, whether or not agglomerated, excluding jet) fuels power plants and industrial heating, maintaining steady global demand due to its cost-effective energy output. Under Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, Indonesia tightened export controls to prioritize domestic processing, requiring exporters to comply with stricter licensing via the National Single Window system [Permitindo]. As a key player in the 2025 May export market, Indonesia balances resource sustainability with trade opportunities for HS Code 2702 Lignite Coal.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In May 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 showed a modest recovery, with value rising to $371.64 million and volume to 8.33 billion kg, marking a month-over-month increase from April's lows.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The unit price held steady at $0.04/kg throughout 2025, but volume and value declined sharply from January to April, likely due to typical post-holiday demand lulls and stock drawdowns in key markets. The uptick in May suggests initial market adjustments to new regulatory frameworks, with exporters possibly rushing shipments ahead of tighter controls, though the overall trend remains subdued compared to early-year levels.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's export regulations, specifically Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, tightened controls on raw mineral exports like lignite coal to boost domestic processing, effective from March 2025 [Permitindo]. This policy shift explains the volatility in export volumes, and with ongoing enforcement, future exports may face continued pressure unless downstream capacity expands or exemptions are clarified (Permitindo).

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In May 2025, Indonesia's export of Lignite Coal under HS Code 2702 is entirely concentrated in a single product: Lignite; whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated, excluding jet. This sub-code accounts for 100% of the export value, weight, and frequency, with a unit price of 0.04 USD per kilogram, indicating a low-value, bulk commodity trade without any price anomalies or diversification.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure for Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 in May 2025 consists solely of raw, unprocessed lignite, categorized as a basic mineral product. This monolithic focus underscores a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and typically priced against global indices, with no evidence of value-added stages or quality grades within the sub-code breakdown.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 in May 2025, the lack of product differentiation limits pricing power, tying it closely to commodity market fluctuations. Recent regulations, such as Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025, emphasize restrictions on raw mineral exports to promote downstream processing [Permitindo], suggesting that exporters may face increased compliance costs and should focus on adapting to value-added strategies to maintain competitiveness. (Permitindo)

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export 2025 May shows extreme concentration, with China Mainland dominating at 98.45% of weight and 98.10% of value, indicating near-uniform pricing typical for bulk commodities. The close match between value and weight ratios suggests stable unit costs around USD per kilogram, reinforcing China's role as the primary energy market due to its massive industrial demand and geographic proximity.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two clusters emerge: China as the overwhelming bulk buyer, and smaller partners like South Korea and Cambodia with minimal shares under 1%. South Korea's slightly higher value ratio hints at potential niche uses or blended imports, while Cambodia's presence may stem from regional energy agreements or trial shipments. Malaysia's negligible data points to insignificant trade, possibly due to domestic coal sufficiency or regulatory barriers.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Buyers must prioritize securing long-term contracts with Indonesia, as new export regulations like Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025 [Permitindo] emphasize licensing and downstream processing, risking supply constraints. Diversifying sources is critical to mitigate disruptions from Indonesia's policy shifts toward value-added exports (Permitindo). Exporters should streamline compliance via Indonesia's Single Window system to maintain market access.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Lignite Coal Export for May 2025 under HS Code 2702 shows a highly concentrated buyer market, dominated by one segment of buyers who make large, frequent purchases. This group accounts for 90.60% of the total export value and 88.61% of transaction frequency, indicating that the market is driven by consistent, high-volume trade. The median buyer behavior centers on regular, substantial orders, with the overall market characterized by strong reliance on a few key players for both value and volume.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other three segments of buyers play minor roles. There are no buyers making large but infrequent purchases in this period. A small group of buyers engages in frequent but lower-value transactions, representing spot market or smaller regular consumers. Another segment consists of infrequent, lower-value buyers, likely occasional or niche market participants. For a commodity like lignite coal, these clusters reflect secondary market activities with less strategic impact.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the sales strategy should prioritize nurturing relationships with the dominant high-value frequent buyers to maintain stability. The high concentration poses a risk of over-dependence, but also offers efficiency in logistics and forecasting. However, regulatory changes, such as those in [Permendag 8/2025] which restrict raw mineral exports to promote domestic processing, could introduce vulnerabilities by potentially altering export dynamics for HS Code 2702. Adapting to these policies is crucial for long-term resilience.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 May Export: Action Plan for Lignite Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 May under HS Code 2702 is a classic bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global energy demand indices and the low-grade, unprocessed nature of the product. Supply chain implications center on extreme reliance on China for volume, creating vulnerability to shifts in Chinese industrial policy or Indonesian export regulations aimed at promoting domestic processing.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Lignite Coal Market Execution

• Use transaction frequency data to forecast demand cycles from dominant buyers and optimize shipping schedules, reducing demurrage costs and improving capital turnover.
• Monitor regulatory updates like Permendag 8/2025 via Indonesia’s National Single Window to pre-empt compliance hurdles, ensuring uninterrupted export licensing and avoiding shipment delays.
• Analyze minor buyer clusters for niche market opportunities, targeting buyers with slightly higher value ratios to diversify revenue streams away from bulk dependence.
• Leverage HS Code 2702 shipment data to negotiate long-term contracts with key Chinese importers, securing stable pricing and volume commitments amid market volatility.
• Develop a contingency plan using trade flow analytics to identify alternative export destinations, mitigating risks from geopolitical or regulatory disruptions to primary markets.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Lignite Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 May?

The modest recovery in May 2025 follows a sharp decline earlier in the year, likely due to post-holiday demand lulls and stock drawdowns. New export regulations (Permendag 8/2025 and 9/2025) tightening raw mineral controls may have prompted exporters to rush shipments ahead of tighter restrictions.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 May?

China dominates with 98.45% of export weight and 98.10% of value, while South Korea and Cambodia account for less than 1% combined.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 May partner countries?

The uniform unit price of $0.04/kg reflects standardized bulk commodity pricing, with minor deviations in smaller markets like South Korea hinting at niche uses or blended imports.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize nurturing relationships with dominant high-volume buyers (90.6% of value) and adapt to regulatory shifts promoting downstream processing to mitigate compliance risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face over-reliance on Indonesia, necessitating long-term contracts and diversification to counter potential supply disruptions from policy changes favoring domestic processing.

Q6. How is Lignite Coal typically used in this trade flow?

The exports consist entirely of raw, unprocessed lignite, indicating its use as a low-value bulk commodity, likely for industrial energy generation in high-demand markets like China.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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