Indonesia Lignite Coal HS2702 Export Data 2025 June Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702) exports in June 2025 were overwhelmingly concentrated in China, which accounted for 95% of both value and weight, signaling higher-grade shipments to this dominant market. Secondary buyers like South Korea and Pakistan held minimal shares, highlighting extreme buyer concentration risk. Exporters must prioritize China while preparing for regulatory shifts under Indonesia’s new policies and explore diversification to mitigate reliance. This analysis, covering June 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export Background

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS Code 2702), defined as lignite, whether or not agglomerated (excluding jet), fuels power generation and industrial heating due to its low-cost energy output, maintaining steady global demand. Recent updates under Indonesia’s Permendag 8/2025 and MOT Reg 9/2025 [Permitindo, Arma Law] refine export rules for processed minerals, positioning Indonesia as a key supplier amid shifting 2025 June trade policies. The country’s abundant reserves and regulatory adjustments underscore its strategic role in lignite exports.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 in June 2025 saw a sharp decline, with volume dropping 14.6% month-over-month to 7.11 billion kg and value falling 18.2% to $303.81 million, while unit prices held steady at $0.04/kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The consistent unit price masks significant volatility in volume, which fell sequentially from May's 8.33 billion kg, reflecting typical seasonal softness in coal demand during warmer months and potential inventory drawdowns. This downturn contributed to a weaker second quarter, with Q2 volume down 23.9% quarter-over-quarter from Q1, highlighting sustained pressure on export flows despite stable pricing.

External Context and Outlook

New export regulations, particularly [Permendag 9/2025] effective March 2025, prioritize processed mineral exports and may have constrained raw lignite shipments (Permendag 9/2025). With policies encouraging downstream processing, Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export 2025 June performance likely faced headwinds, and outlook remains cautious amid regulatory focus on value-added products.

Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export in June 2025 is entirely concentrated in sub-code 27021000 for lignite not agglomerated. This single product accounts for all export value and weight, with a unit price of 0.04 USD per kilogram, confirming it as a low-value bulk commodity.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure under HS Code 2702 consists only of raw lignite in its basic form, indicating a homogeneous and fungible product. Trade is primarily based on weight and standard market grades, with no differentiation into higher-value or processed variants, typical for bulk commodities tied to indices.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The low unit price suggests minimal pricing power for exporters, who are likely price-takers in global markets. Indonesia's recent export regulations, such as Permendag 8/2025 focusing on downstream mineral processing [Permitindo], may push exporters towards value-added strategies to improve margins amid competitive pressures.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In June 2025, Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports under HS Code 2702 showed extreme concentration, with China Mainland accounting for 95.24% of the value and 94.77% of the weight. The slightly higher value ratio indicates that shipments to China likely involved higher-grade coal, commanding a better price per kilogram. This pattern underscores China's role as the primary market for Indonesia's Lignite Coal exports during this period.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export partners form three clear clusters: China as the overwhelming dominant buyer, South Korea and Pakistan as secondary markets with modest volumes (2-3% share each), and India as a minor player with less than 1% share. China's dominance stems from its massive energy and industrial demand, while South Korea and Pakistan may import for regional power generation, and India's smaller purchases could be for specific industrial uses or trial shipments.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should prioritize maintaining strong ties with China but prepare for regulatory shifts, such as those under Indonesia's new export policies [Permitindo] that emphasize downstream processing and stricter controls. Diversifying to secondary markets like South Korea could mitigate risks, while ensuring compliance with updated documentation and value-retention rules (Permitindo) will be crucial for smooth Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export operations in 2025.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In June 2025, the Indonesia Lignite Coal Export market under HS Code 2702 shows high concentration, with buyers making high value and high frequency purchases dominating 85.69% of the total export value. This segment, represented by companies like KALTIM PRIMA COAL, PT. and TANAH BUMBU RESOURCES, accounts for 83.33% of shipment frequency and 83.98% of quantity, indicating a market where large, regular bulk buyers drive most trade activity. The median market behavior leans towards consistent, high-volume transactions, with the four segments of buyers highlighting this strong dominance.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller roles. Buyers with low value but high frequency purchases contribute 6.92% of value and 8.33% of frequency, suggesting smaller-scale or spot market participants like ANTANG GUNUNG MERATUS. Buyers with low value and low frequency purchases add 7.39% of value and 8.33% of frequency, likely representing occasional or niche buyers such as SUNGAI DANAU JAYA. The absence of buyers with high value and low frequency purchases indicates no large, infrequent deals in this period, common for commodity markets like coal where steady demand prevails.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the focus should be on maintaining relationships with dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers to ensure stable revenue, but this creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes. Opportunities exist in engaging smaller buyers for diversification. The sales model must prioritize reliability and bulk handling, supported by recent export regulations like Permendag 8/2025 [Permitindo], which emphasize downstream processing and could affect coal export strategies, requiring compliance and adaptability.

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Indonesia Lignite Coal (HS 2702) 2025 June Export: Action Plan for Lignite Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Lignite Coal Export under HS Code 2702 in June 2025 is a classic bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global coal indices and China's energy demand, with minimal control by Indonesian exporters. The supply chain depends entirely on high-volume shipments to China, creating vulnerability to policy shifts or demand changes. This structure emphasizes Indonesia's role as a raw material supplier, not a value-adder.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Lignite Coal Market Execution

• Use shipment frequency data to forecast China's demand cycles, ensuring inventory aligns with their buying patterns to avoid stockpile costs.
• Track secondary markets like South Korea monthly for demand spikes, enabling quick diversion of excess supply to capture higher margins.
• Analyze buyer purchase sizes to segment clients into priority tiers, focusing resources on high-value, high-frequency buyers to secure stable revenue.
• Monitor regulatory updates from Permendag 8/2025 in real-time, adapting export documentation to avoid compliance delays and maintain market access.
• Develop relationships with smaller, occasional buyers to diversify reliance on China, reducing risk if dominant market demand falls.

Data-Driven Advantage

Traditional market analysis misses critical details like individual buyer behavior and sub-product trends. Only trade data reveals which buyers drive volume, which grades get premium prices, and where supply chain bottlenecks exist. For Indonesia Lignite Coal HS Code 2702 Export in June 2025, this depth turns risk into advantage.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 June?

The decline in volume (-14.6% MoM) and value (-18.2% MoM) reflects seasonal demand softness and regulatory shifts like Permendag 9/2025, which prioritizes processed mineral exports over raw lignite.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 June?

China dominates with 95.24% of export value, followed by South Korea and Pakistan (2-3% each), and India (<1%).

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Lignite Coal Export 2025 June partner countries?

All exports are homogeneous raw lignite (HS 27021000) priced at $0.04/kg, but China’s slightly higher value share suggests minor grade variations.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Lignite Coal export market?

Prioritize relationships with dominant bulk buyers (85.69% of value) like KALTIM PRIMA COAL, PT., while diversifying to secondary markets to mitigate China dependency.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Lignite Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

China’s buyers benefit from stable bulk supply, while smaller markets (e.g., South Korea) face limited leverage due to low trade share.

Q6. How is Lignite Coal typically used in this trade flow?

It serves as a low-value bulk commodity for energy generation or industrial use, traded primarily by weight and standard market grades.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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