2025 Peru Phosphate Chalk (HS 251010) Export: Market Collapse

Key Takeaways

Phosphate Chalk, classified under HS Code 251010 (Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminum calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk), exhibited high volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Volumes fluctuated sharply, with a 56% collapse in November 2025 following U.S. tariff policy shifts, despite stable pricing at $0.09/kg.
• Structural Shift: The Peru Phosphate Chalk Export market is dangerously concentrated, with the U.S. accounting for 64.52% of value and two buyers (MOSAIC and MASSARI) controlling 95.64% of trade.
• Product Logic: HS Code 251010 trade data confirms a monolithic, low-value bulk commodity market, with 100% of exports in unground raw form for further processing.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Peru Phosphate Chalk (HS Code 251010) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Peru Phosphate Chosphate Chalk Export trend from January to November 2025 showed high volatility, with total weight shipped reaching 9.3 billion kg. After a strong start in Q1, volumes fluctuated sharply, dropping 25% in February before surging 72% in March. Trade stabilized through mid-year but collapsed in November, with weight falling 56% month-on-month to just 420 million kg. This pattern reflects inconsistent demand or logistical disruptions rather than steady growth.

Drivers & Industry Context

The November export collapse aligns directly with U.S. tariff policy shifts. A 10% baseline tariff on all imports [implemented on April 5, 2025] likely disrupted trade flows for HS Code 251010, which qualifies for duty-free access under the U.S.-Peru Trade Promotion Agreement. The abrupt November contraction suggests exporters accelerated shipments ahead of expected policy enforcement or faced sudden customs delays. The hs code 251010 value dropped 56% that month, mirroring the weight decline, confirming that price stability ($0.09/kg) couldn't offset volume shocks from trade policy uncertainty (EY Tax News).

Table: Peru Phosphate Chalk Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Peru HS Code 251010 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The Peru HS Code 251010 Export market is entirely dominated by unground natural calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk, accounting for 100% of the value, weight, and shipment frequency. According to yTrade data, this single category represents the entirety of exports under this code, with no other sub-codes contributing significantly. From January to November 2025, all trade activity was concentrated in this raw, unprocessed form, highlighting a monolithic market structure.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

With a unit price of just $0.09 per kilogram, this HS Code 251010 breakdown reveals a low-value, bulk commodity market where pricing is highly sensitive to volume and input costs. The product's unground state indicates it is a raw material, likely exported for further processing elsewhere, rather than a finished good. This trade structure is characteristic of price-driven commodities, where competitive advantage stems from cost efficiency and scale, not product differentiation.

Check Detailed HS Code 251010 Breakdown

Peru Phosphate Chalk Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Peru's Phosphate Chalk exports from January to November 2025 show extreme concentration in the United States, which captured 64.52% of total export value. This creates significant market risk, as any demand shift or trade policy change from this single partner would immediately impact Peru's entire export flow for this product. Brazil and Argentina follow distantly, at 20.29% and 6.89% of value respectively, but their combined share still falls short of the U.S. dominance. This lopsided dependence on one buyer defines Peru Phosphate Chalk export destinations.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

The U.S. market demonstrates a slight premium orientation, with its value share (64.52%) marginally exceeding its weight share (64.21%), indicating quality-conscious demand for higher-value specifications. In contrast, Brazil and Argentina show nearly identical value-to-weight ratios, signaling price-sensitive bulk processing or industrial stockpiling. Their high shipment frequency (37.71% and 33.58% of total trips) further reveals fragmented, high-volume demand, likely for Just-in-Time replenishment. This split defines two distinct trade partners for Phosphate Chalk: the U.S. offers margin potential, while Brazil and Argentina provide volume scale.

Table: Peru Phosphate Chalk (HS Code 251010) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Peru Phosphate Chalk Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, from January to November 2025, the Peru Phosphate Chalk export market is overwhelmingly dominated by high-volume repeat buyers, who represent 95.64% of the total value share. This concentration in loyal, contract-driven accounts like MOSAIC and MASSARI points to a stable supply chain structure, not fragmented spot trading, for Peru Phosphate Chalk buyers.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The heavy reliance on a few key accounts highlights acute concentration risk, where losing one major client could severely impact revenue. Sellers should strengthen long-term contracts with these high-value repeaters while using targeted digital outreach to capture smaller buyers, aligning with HS Code 251010 buyer trends toward diversified, risk-mitigated sourcing.

Table: Peru Phosphate Chalk (HS Code 251010) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Phosphate Chalk Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyer base: Target smaller accounts in Brazil and Argentina to reduce reliance on the U.S. and two dominant buyers, leveraging their high shipment frequency for volume stability.
• Lock in contracts: Renegotiate long-term agreements with MOSAIC and MASSARI to mitigate concentration risk, using the U.S. premium demand as leverage.
• Optimize logistics: Reduce per-unit transport costs for bulk shipments to offset razor-thin margins, given the commodity’s $0.09/kg pricing.
• Monitor policy shifts: Track U.S. tariff enforcement timelines to preempt disruptions, as the November 2025 collapse was directly tied to trade policy uncertainty.
• Explore value-add: Test minor processing (e.g., grading) to capture marginal price premiums in the U.S. market, where value share slightly exceeds weight share.

Take Action Now —— Explore Peru Phosphate Chalk HS Code 251010 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Peru Phosphate Chalk Export in 2025?

The Peru Phosphate Chalk export market saw sharp volatility in 2025, with a 56% drop in November due to U.S. tariff policy shifts, disrupting duty-free access under the U.S.-Peru Trade Promotion Agreement.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Peru Phosphate Chalk (HS Code 251010) in 2025?

The U.S. dominated with 64.52% of export value, followed by Brazil (20.29%) and Argentina (6.89%), reflecting extreme geographic concentration.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Peru Phosphate Chalk Export in 2025?

The U.S. shows a slight premium orientation (value share > weight share), while Brazil and Argentina exhibit price-sensitive bulk demand, maintaining identical value-to-weight ratios.

Q4. What should exporters in Peru focus on in the current Phosphate Chalk export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with high-volume repeat buyers (95.64% of value) while diversifying to mitigate risks from U.S. dependence and tariff volatility.

Q5. What does this Peru Phosphate Chalk export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

U.S. buyers benefit from stable, quality-focused supply, while Brazilian and Argentine buyers rely on high-frequency, bulk shipments for cost-sensitive industrial needs.

Q6. How is Phosphate Chalk typically used in this trade flow?

Unground natural calcium phosphates (100% of exports) are raw materials exported for further processing, not as finished goods, indicating a low-value bulk commodity trade.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Peru HS Code 251010 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

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