2025 Argentina Groundnuts (HS 1202) Export: Market Plunge

Key Takeaways

Groundnuts, classified under HS Code 1202 (Ground-nuts, not roasted or otherwise cooked, whether or not shelled or broken), exhibited high volatility from January to September 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export values plunged 59% from January's peak ($266M) to May's low ($65M), with a partial recovery to $157M by September—still 41% below the Q1 high.
• Structural Shift: Argentina Groundnuts Export reliance on the Netherlands (41.36% of total value) creates acute supply chain risk, with minor premium demand in Poland and the UK offering limited diversification.
• Product Logic: HS Code 1202 trade data reveals a commodity-driven market, where raw shelled groundnuts dominate (90% of exports), with thin margins and only niche premium segments ($12/kg vs. bulk $5-6/kg).

This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Argentina Groundnuts (HS Code 1202) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

Argentina's groundnut export trend opened 2025 with strong momentum but shifted sharply into volatility by mid-year. January's exports peaked at $266 million before declining steadily through April, then collapsed to a quarterly low of $65 million in May. A partial recovery emerged in Q3, with September values reaching $157 million—still 41% below January's high. The overall trajectory shows a steep decline from Q1 into Q2, followed by a modest rebound in late summer.

Drivers & Industry Context

The volatility in export value aligns with Argentina's broader agricultural policy shifts. In July and December 2025, the government implemented permanent export duty reductions for major crops like soybeans and wheat [S&P Global], though groundnuts (HS 1202) were not explicitly mentioned. These changes likely redirected trader attention and logistics capacity toward higher-volume commodities, indirectly pressuring groundnut volumes. The hs code 1202 value contraction in Q2 may reflect this competitive diversion, while the Q3 rebound suggests market recalibration. April's 222% year-on-year shipment growth [Volza]—occurring just before the policy announcements—further indicates traders front-loading shipments ahead of anticipated market disruptions.

Table: Argentina Groundnuts Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The dominant sub-code for Argentina HS Code 1202 Export is shelled, raw groundnuts, representing over 40% of the total export value. According to yTrade data, this category, along with two other similar raw product lines, collectively accounts for over 90% of exports by value. The remaining sub-codes include minor variations like seed-grade or less processed forms, but they hold negligible shares in the overall trade volume.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices for the bulk of exports hover around $5-6 per kg, underscoring a commodity market driven by price competition. A niche segment achieves nearly $12 per kg, hinting at premium quality or specific grades, but this is marginal. The trade structure for HS Code 1202 breakdown is fundamentally commodity-oriented, where margins are thin and volume dictates success, with limited high-value differentiation.

Table: Argentina HS Code 1202) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Argentina Groundnuts Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Argentina's Groundnuts export destinations show extreme reliance on the Netherlands, which captured 41.36% of total export value from Jan to Sep 2025. This single-market concentration creates significant supply chain vulnerability, as any Dutch demand shift or trade policy change would immediately impact Argentine exporters. The next largest partners—Poland (7.64%) and the UK (7.15)—collectively represent less than half the Dutch market share, failing to provide meaningful diversification against market shocks.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

The Netherlands' near-parallel value (41.36%) and weight ratios (40.20%) indicate balanced premium bulk trading, but deeper analysis reveals quality-driven markets: Poland and the UK show stronger value-than-weight ratios, suggesting demand for higher-grade nuts. Spain and Australia demonstrate premium segmentation—their minimal quantity shares (0.87% and 0.88%) generate disproportionate value (3.54% each), implying specialized purchasing for food manufacturing or retail. This profile confirms Argentina's trade partners for Groundnuts prioritize margin potential over volume scale, with Europe absorbing quality-conscious demand.

Table: Argentina Groundnuts (HS Code 1202) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Groundnuts Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyer portfolios: Reduce dependence on the Netherlands by targeting premium markets like Spain and Australia, where value-to-weight ratios indicate higher-margin demand.
• Lock in short-term contracts: Capitalize on Q3’s rebound by securing agreements before potential policy-driven volatility resurges in late 2025.
• Optimize logistics for bulk commodities: Focus on cost reduction for raw shelled groundnuts (40% of exports) to protect margins in price-sensitive segments.
• Brand premium-grade products: Isolate and market high-value ($12/kg) niche categories to European food manufacturers, leveraging Poland and the UK’s quality-driven demand.
• Monitor Argentine agricultural policy shifts: Anticipate indirect competition from soy/wheat exporters benefiting from duty cuts, which could divert logistics capacity away from groundnuts.

Take Action Now —— Explore Argentina Groundnuts HS Code 1202 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Argentina Groundnuts Export in 2025?

Argentina's groundnut exports saw sharp volatility in 2025, peaking at $266 million in January before collapsing to $65 million by May. This aligns with agricultural policy shifts redirecting trader focus toward higher-volume crops, though a partial rebound to $157 million in September suggests market recalibration.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Argentina Groundnuts (HS Code 1202) in 2025?

The Netherlands dominates with 41.36% of export value, followed by Poland (7.64%) and the UK (7.15%). This heavy reliance on the Dutch market creates significant supply chain vulnerability.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Argentina Groundnuts Export in 2025?

Bulk exports average $5–6/kg, but niche markets like Spain and Australia pay premiums (reflected in their 3.54% value shares despite minimal volume), indicating demand for higher-grade or specialized products.

Q4. What should exporters in Argentina focus on in the current Groundnuts export market?

Exporters must diversify beyond the Netherlands to mitigate risk, while targeting premium markets (e.g., Spain, Australia) that pay higher unit prices for quality-driven demand.

Q5. What does this Argentina Groundnuts export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Europe (e.g., Poland, UK) benefit from stable bulk supply, while niche markets like Spain can leverage Argentina’s capacity for premium-grade groundnuts.

Q6. How is Groundnuts typically used in this trade flow?

Over 90% of exports are raw, shelled groundnuts sold as commodities, with minor segments catering to seed-grade or food manufacturing niches.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 FEB

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 APR

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 MAY

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JUN

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Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 SEP

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q1

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q2

Argentina HS Code 1202 Export Data Snapshot 2025 Q3