2025 Argentina Soybean Oil (HS 1507) Export: Market Volatility

Key Takeaways

Soybean Oil, classified under HS Code 1507 (Soybean oil and its fractions, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified), exhibited high volatility from January to September 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export values swung sharply, peaking at $1.35 billion in April before crashing 55% to $605.62 million in May, driven by policy shifts like Argentina’s export tax cuts.
• Structural Shift: Argentina Soybean Oil Export relies heavily on India (50% of value), creating vulnerability to demand shocks or trade policy changes in this price-sensitive bulk market.
• Product Logic: Crude oil dominates HS Code 1507 trade data (87% value share), with refined variants offering higher margins (16.79 USD/kg vs. 3.15 USD/kg) but minimal volume.

This overview covers the period from January to September 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Argentina Soybean Oil (HS Code 1507) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

Analyzing the Argentina Soybean Oil Export trend from January to September 2025 reveals pronounced volatility, with exports starting strong at $1.07 billion in January, surging 19% month-on-month to $1.28 billion in February, then dropping 21% to $1.01 billion in March. A sharp recovery followed in April, with values jumping 33% to $1.35 billion, before a 55% crash in May to $605.62 million. Subsequent months showed modest fluctuations, with June at $842.37 million, August at $767.36 million, and September at $812.46 million, indicating unstable trade flows throughout the period.

Drivers & Industry Context

The volatility in Argentina's soybean oil exports is largely driven by policy shifts, notably the permanent reduction of export taxes announced on July 27, 2025, which lowered rates for HS Code 1507 products from 31% to 24.5% [USDA GAIN Report]. This change, effective upon publication, likely prompted exporters to adjust shipment timing, contributing to the erratic hs code 1507 value movements, including the April surge ahead of policy clarity and the subdued figures in August and September as markets adapted. Earlier temporary duty removals until October 2025 added further uncertainty, exacerbating monthly swings in export planning.

Table: Argentina Soybean Oil Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Argentina HS Code 1507 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

Crude soybean oil dominates Argentina's HS Code 1507 exports, accounting for 87% of the value share and 95% of the weight shipped throughout the first three quarters of 2025. According to yTrade data, this sub-category is the primary driver, with refined variants making up the remainder but contributing minimally to overall volume. Argentina HS Code 1507 Export is characterized by a heavy reliance on unprocessed, bulk shipments, with minor contributions from other oil fractions.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices range from 3.15 USD/kg for crude oil to 16.79 USD/kg for refined products, highlighting a clear value-add premium for processing. This HS Code 1507 breakdown indicates a commodity market where price sensitivity prevails for bulk crude, but niche refined segments offer higher margins. The trade structure is dominated by low-value exports, with limited but strategic opportunities in specialized, finished goods.

Table: Argentina HS Code 1507) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Argentina Soybean Oil Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

India dominates Argentina's Soybean Oil export destinations, capturing 50% of the total export value from January to September 2025. This heavy reliance on a single market creates significant exposure to any demand shifts or trade policy changes from New Delhi. The next largest partners, Bangladesh and Peru, hold just 10.4% and 6.2% value shares respectively, underscoring a highly concentrated and potentially volatile trade flow.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

India’s trade profile reveals a market driven by volume over premium margins. The weight share (54.7%) slightly outpaces the value share (50%), indicating price-sensitive bulk purchasing, typical for industrial processing or stockpiling. The high shipment frequency (1.08K shipments) relative to its weight share points to a fragmented, Just-in-Time logistics model from numerous buyers. This defines Argentina's key trade partners for Soybean Oil as a volume-scale opportunity, not a margin-rich one.

Table: Argentina Soybean Oil (HS Code 1507) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Soybean Oil Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyers: Reduce reliance on India by targeting secondary markets like Bangladesh and Peru, which show steady demand but lower concentration risk.
• Lock in contracts: Hedge against price volatility by securing short-term agreements during policy-sensitive periods (e.g., post-tax adjustments).
• Optimize logistics: Focus on bulk shipping efficiencies for crude oil (95% weight share) to offset thin margins in commodity-grade exports.
• Explore premium niches: Test refined soybean oil markets where unit prices are 5x higher, despite lower volume potential.
• Monitor policy shifts: Track Argentine tax updates and Indian import regulations to anticipate shipment timing disruptions.

Take Action Now —— Explore Argentina Soybean Oil HS Code 1507 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Argentina Soybean Oil Export in 2025?

Argentina's soybean oil exports faced significant volatility in 2025, driven by policy shifts like the July 2025 reduction of export taxes from 31% to 24.5%. This led to erratic shipment timing, including an April surge ahead of policy clarity and subdued figures later as markets adjusted.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Argentina Soybean Oil (HS Code 1507) in 2025?

India dominates with 50% of Argentina’s soybean oil export value, followed by Bangladesh (10.4%) and Peru (6.2%). This heavy reliance on India creates significant market concentration risk.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Argentina Soybean Oil Export in 2025?

Crude soybean oil (3.15 USD/kg) dominates exports, while refined variants (16.79 USD/kg) command a premium. India’s bulk purchases focus on cheaper crude oil, explaining its lower unit price compared to markets buying refined products.

Q4. What should exporters in Argentina focus on in the current Soybean Oil export market?

Exporters should prioritize diversifying beyond India to mitigate risk, while exploring niche opportunities in refined products for higher margins. The volatile policy environment also demands agile shipment planning.

Q5. What does this Argentina Soybean Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers, especially in India, benefit from stable bulk supply but face competition due to Argentina’s heavy reliance on this market. Refined oil buyers have limited but higher-margin options.

Q6. How is Soybean Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Argentina’s exports are primarily unprocessed crude oil (87% value share), used for industrial processing or stockpiling. Refined variants, though minimal, cater to specialized food or consumer goods applications.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Argentina HS Code 1507 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

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