Vietnam Coffee Beans HS090111 Export Data 2025 Q1 Overview

Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS 090111) 2025 Q1 Export: Key Takeaways

Vietnam Coffee Beans Export 2025 Q1 (HS Code 090111) saw Switzerland dominate as the top buyer, capturing 34.55% of total value, signaling high-grade demand and geographic concentration risk. Premium markets like Germany and France paid higher unit prices, while bulk buyers like the Netherlands prioritized cost efficiency. The sudden 46% U.S. tariff shift demands urgent market diversification. Based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, this analysis covers 2025 Q1.

Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS 090111) 2025 Q1 Export Background

Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS Code 090111: Coffee, not roasted, not decaffeinated) fuel global demand as a key input for roasters and retailers, with stable consumption trends. In Q1 2025, new U.S. tariffs of 46% on Vietnamese green coffee [Freight and duty to export Coffee from Vietnam – HP Global] reshaped trade dynamics, though Vietnam remains a top exporter due to its cost-efficient production and 0% export duty. The 2025 policy shift highlights Vietnam’s strategic role in balancing supply amid tightening global markets.

Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS 090111) 2025 Q1 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Vietnam's coffee bean exports under HS Code 090111 in 2025 Q1 demonstrated robust growth, with total value reaching approximately 2.585 billion USD. Volume data is not detailed in the provided trend information, but the value surge indicates heightened export activity during this period.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The monthly value trend within Q1 2025 shows a sharp increase from January (671.53 million USD) to February (934.27 million USD), representing a 39% month-over-month rise, followed by a more modest 4.8% growth to March (979.59 million USD). This pattern aligns with typical seasonal cycles for Vietnam's coffee industry, where Q1 often sees elevated exports due to the Robusta harvest period from October to January. The accelerated February spike suggests anticipatory shipping ahead of external policy changes, reflecting industry stock cycle behaviors rather than pure price or volume shifts alone.

External Context and Outlook

The Q1 export surge is largely attributed to anticipatory moves before the U.S. imposed a 46% ad valorem tariff on Vietnamese coffee under HS 090111 starting April 2025 [Freight and duty to export Coffee from Vietnam]. This policy shift, aimed at addressing trade imbalances, prompted exporters to accelerate shipments to avoid higher costs. With Vietnam's export duty remaining at 0% (Freight and duty), competitiveness in other markets may sustain exports, but Q2 outlook is cautious due to reduced U.S. access.

Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS 090111) 2025 Q1 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Vietnam Coffee Beans HS Code 090111 Export in 2025 Q1 is highly concentrated, with sub-code 09011130 ("Coffee; not roasted or decaffeinated") dominating at over 90% of the export value. Its unit price of approximately 19 USD per kilogram indicates a standard grade product. A minor sub-code, 09011190, with a unit price of about 3 USD per kilogram and less than 1% value share, is an outlier isolated from the main analysis due to its low-grade characteristics.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes form two clear categories: a high-volume standard grade (09011130) and a high-value premium grade (09011120, with a unit price of around 57 USD per kilogram). This structure shows that Vietnam's coffee exports under HS Code 090111 involve differentiated products with quality-based pricing, rather than fungible bulk commodities tied to indices.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The premium grade segment offers some pricing power for Vietnamese exporters, but according to [Freight and duty to export Coffee from Vietnam – HP Global], a 46% U.S. tariff imposed in April 2025 threatens cost competitiveness. Exporters must focus on quality maintenance to sustain margins amid tariff pressures in key markets.

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Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS 090111) 2025 Q1 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In 2025 Q1, Vietnam Coffee Beans HS Code 090111 Export was highly concentrated, with Switzerland as the dominant importer, accounting for 34.55% of total value and 34.19% of quantity. The nearly equal value and quantity ratios suggest Switzerland imports a consistent, likely high-grade commodity, with an estimated unit price around 19.75 USD/kg based on the data.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two main clusters emerge: first, Germany, Singapore, France, Italy, and Spain show higher value ratios relative to quantity, indicating imports of premium-grade coffee for direct consumption in developed markets. Second, Netherlands, Japan, United States, and Vietnam itself have lower value ratios, pointing to bulk purchases for processing or re-export, with Netherlands acting as a key trade hub.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

The geographic spread calls for targeted strategies: prioritize quality assurance for premium markets like Germany and Switzerland to maintain margins, while optimizing cost efficiency for bulk buyers. However, the new 46% U.S. tariff on Vietnamese coffee imports in Q1 2025 [GTAIC] demands immediate diversification away from the U.S. and cost absorption measures, though Vietnam's 0% export duty [HP Global] supports competitiveness elsewhere.

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Vietnam Coffee Beans (HS 090111) 2025 Q1 Export: Action Plan for Coffee Beans Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Vietnam Coffee Beans Export 2025 Q1 under HS Code 090111 is driven by two key factors. First, price is determined by product grade. Premium beans command higher margins, while standard grades dominate volume. Second, geopolitical risk from the new 46% U.S. tariff directly threatens cost competitiveness. The supply chain shows Switzerland acts as a major processing and distribution hub. Heavy reliance on a few bulk buyers creates vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coffee Beans Market Execution

• Target premium markets like Germany and Switzerland with quality-certified shipments. This defends margins against tariff pressure by leveraging higher-value segments.
• Diversify buyers by identifying and engaging low-frequency, high-value importers in trade data. This reduces over-reliance on a few bulk purchasers and stabilizes revenue.
• Redirect shipments away from the U.S. to duty-free partners like EU and Asian markets. This avoids the 46% tariff and protects export volume.
• Monitor buyer frequency patterns to anticipate order cycles and optimize inventory. This prevents overstock or shortage, improving cash flow.
• Use HS Code sub-level data to track premium (09011120) versus standard (09011130) demand shifts. This allows dynamic pricing and product mix adjustments.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Vietnam Coffee Beans Export 2025 Q1?

The Q1 2025 export surge (39% month-over-month growth in February) reflects anticipatory shipping ahead of a 46% U.S. tariff starting April, alongside seasonal Robusta harvest cycles.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Vietnam Coffee Beans Export 2025 Q1?

Switzerland dominates with 34.55% of export value, followed by Germany, Singapore, and France, which focus on premium-grade imports.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Vietnam Coffee Beans Export 2025 Q1 partner countries?

Price gaps stem from product differentiation: standard-grade coffee (19 USD/kg, sub-code 09011130) serves bulk buyers, while premium-grade (57 USD/kg, sub-code 09011120) targets direct-consumption markets.

Q4. What should exporters in Vietnam focus on in the current Coffee Beans export market?

Prioritize relationships with dominant high-value, high-frequency buyers (98.48% of trade) and diversify away from tariff-affected markets like the U.S.

Q5. What does this Vietnam Coffee Beans export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Swiss and German buyers benefit from stable, high-grade supply, while U.S. buyers face cost pressures from tariffs, urging alternative sourcing.

Q6. How is Coffee Beans typically used in this trade flow?

Exports under HS 090111 are primarily unroasted beans for further processing or direct consumption, with premium grades targeting specialty markets.

Detailed Monthly Report

Vietnam HS090111 Export Snapshot 2025 JAN

Vietnam HS090111 Export Snapshot 2025 FEB

Vietnam HS090111 Export Snapshot 2025 MAR