Indonesia Leather Shoes HS6403 Export Data 2025 Q1 Overview

Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Leather Shoes Export (HS Code 6403) in 2025 Q1 shows strong demand from the US, which dominates with 31.90% of export value, reflecting volume-driven bulk purchases. The market remains stable, with developed economies like Italy and the Netherlands forming key clusters, while China and Japan serve as regional hubs. This analysis, covering 2025 Q1, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export Background

Indonesia’s leather shoes (HS Code 6403—footwear with outer soles of rubber, plastics, or leather) are a staple in global fashion and retail, with stable demand from brands and consumers. In early 2025, Indonesia updated its export policies under MOF Decree No. 6/KM.4/2025, though leather shoes remained unrestricted, securing its position as a top-three global exporter alongside Vietnam and India [SSEK]. The country’s Q1 2025 exports of HS Code 6403 continue to thrive, backed by strong US demand, where it accounts for 20% of leather footwear imports [Ballast Markets].

Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Leather Shoes exports under HS Code 6403 experienced a sharp unit price increase in March 2025, culminating in a strong Q1 performance with overall value growth driven by this late-quarter surge.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Unit prices held steady around $19.15/kg in January and February but spiked to $23.02/kg in March, a 20% month-over-month rise, while volume increased by 7.5% from February to March. This pattern reflects typical seasonal stock replenishment for footwear, as Q1 often sees manufacturers accelerating exports to meet spring and summer retail demand, explaining the volume uptick and price firmness.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's recent export policy updates [SSEK] excluded footwear from restrictions, but tariff increases on competitors like Vietnam in segments including HS6403 (SSEK) likely bolstered demand for Indonesian products, contributing to March's price volatility. Looking ahead, sustained export momentum will depend on global trade dynamics and seasonal cycles.

Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Q1 2025, Indonesia's export of Leather Shoes under HS Code 6403 is dominated by non-ankle-covering footwear with leather uppers, specifically the sub-code 64039990, which holds over 40 percent of both export value and weight. The unit price for this key product is about 20 US dollars per kilogram, pointing to a mid-range value focus. Extreme price outliers exist, such as ankle-covering leather footwear at over 300 US dollars per kilogram and strap footwear at just over 2 US dollars per kilogram, which are set aside from the core analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The other sub-codes fall into two groups: sports footwear and general leather footwear. Sports footwear, like HS 64031990 and 64031910, has unit prices between 17 and 24 US dollars per kilogram, showing higher value addition. General footwear covers types with unit prices from 11 to 27 US dollars per kilogram, reflecting a mix of quality grades. This setup indicates trade in differentiated manufactured goods, not bulk commodities linked to price indices.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Indonesia's varied export mix for Leather Shoes HS Code 6403 in Q1 2025 grants solid pricing power, particularly in mid to high-value areas. The country's role as a major exporter [Ballast Markets] backs this strength, guiding players to prioritize value-added segments for better returns. (Ballast Markets)

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Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

The United States is the dominant importer of Indonesia Leather Shoes HS Code 6403 Export in 2025 Q1, accounting for 31.90% of the total export value. The value ratio of 31.90 is slightly lower than the weight ratio of 34.95, suggesting a lower unit price around USD per kg for mass-market or bulk purchases, which aligns with the manufactured nature of leather shoes often targeting volume-driven markets.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two main clusters emerge among the top importers. The first cluster includes the United States, Italy, and the Netherlands, with high value and weight ratios, indicating strong demand for finished leather shoes in developed markets due to established retail networks and consumer spending. The second cluster consists of China Mainland and Japan, showing balanced ratios that may point to regional distribution hubs or re-export points within Asia, leveraging Indonesia's proximity and supply chain efficiency for footwear.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, maintaining strong ties with the US market is crucial due to its volume dominance, while exploring growth in clusters like Italy and the Netherlands can diversify risk. Given Indonesia's position as a top global exporter of HS Code 6403 products [ballastmarkets.com], focusing on quality consistency and logistics optimization will help capitalize on existing trade flows without significant policy disruptions, as Leather Shoes are not among the export-banned commodities [ssek.com].

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Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the first quarter of 2025, the Indonesia Leather Shoes Export market under HS Code 6403 is heavily dominated by one group of buyers within the four segments. This group, which makes frequent and high-value purchases, holds 91.44% of the total export value. The market overall is defined by high transaction frequency and substantial order sizes, with the median export activity centered around regular, large-scale deals. This concentration means that a small number of buyers drive most of the trade value for leather shoes from Indonesia in Q1 2025.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play smaller but distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency account for 6.01% of value, likely representing large, occasional orders such as bulk purchases for seasonal collections or special promotions. Those with low value and high frequency contribute 0.83% of value, suggesting small, regular orders from retailers or niche markets. The segment with low value and low frequency, at 1.72% of value, probably includes one-off or experimental buyers testing the market. For a manufactured product like leather shoes, these patterns indicate a mix of stable supply chains and variable demand sources.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For Indonesian exporters, the strategic focus should remain on nurturing relationships with the dominant high-value, frequent buyers to maintain revenue stability. However, reliance on this group poses a risk if their demand shifts, highlighting the need to diversify into other segments for growth. The sales model should prioritize efficiency in handling frequent orders while exploring opportunities in infrequent but high-value deals. Supported by Indonesia's export policies that do not restrict footwear [SSEK], this approach can leverage the country's position as a top global exporter (SSEK) to mitigate vulnerabilities and capitalize on steady demand.

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Indonesia Leather Shoes (HS 6403) 2025 Q1 Export: Action Plan for Leather Shoes Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Leather Shoes Export 2025 Q1 under HS Code 6403 is driven by product differentiation and OEM contract volumes, not commodity indices. The core price driver is the mix of mid to high-value footwear types, particularly non-ankle styles (e.g., 64039990) and sports footwear, which command unit prices of USD 17–27/kg. This reflects Indonesia’s role as an assembly hub for manufactured goods, with pricing power stemming from specialization in finished products. Supply chain implications include a need for efficient SKD (Semi-Knock-Down) logistics and strong technology partnerships to maintain quality and delivery consistency for major buyers. Heavy reliance on the US market (31.9% of value) and dominant high-frequency buyers (91.44% of value) introduces vulnerability to demand shifts, underscoring the importance of diversification and operational resilience.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Leather Shoes Market Execution

• Analyze buyer frequency data monthly to anticipate order cycles and adjust production schedules. This prevents overstock or shortages, ensuring consistent fulfillment for high-value clients.
• Segment export offers by HS sub-codes like 64039990 and 64031990 to target premium price segments. Focusing on higher-value products maximizes margin potential in competitive markets.
• Diversify buyer portfolios by targeting low-frequency but high-value segments (6.01% of value) with tailored bulk offers. This reduces dependency on a few large buyers and stabilizes revenue streams.
• Optimize logistics for key geographic clusters (e.g., US, Italy) using real-time shipping data to cut lead times. Faster delivery enhances competitiveness in volume-driven markets.
• Leverage Indonesia’s non-restricted export status for footwear to explore new markets in the EU and Asia. Expanding geographically mitigates risks from over-concentration in single regions.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Leather Shoes Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Leather Shoes Export 2025 Q1?

A sharp unit price surge in March 2025 (up 20% to $23.02/kg) drove Q1 growth, likely due to seasonal demand for spring/summer retail and tariff advantages over competitors like Vietnam.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Leather Shoes Export 2025 Q1?

The United States dominates with 31.9% of export value, followed by Italy and the Netherlands, forming a cluster of high-volume developed markets.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Leather Shoes Export 2025 Q1 partner countries?

Price gaps stem from product specialization: non-ankle leather footwear (64039990) averages $20/kg, while ankle-covering types exceed $300/kg and strap footwear drops to ~$2/kg.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Leather Shoes export market?

Prioritize high-value, frequent buyers (91.44% of trade value) but diversify into occasional bulk purchasers (6.01%) to mitigate over-reliance on one segment.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Leather Shoes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

US buyers benefit from bulk pricing, while EU hubs (Italy/Netherlands) and Asian re-exporters (China/Japan) gain from stable mid-range quality and supply chain efficiency.

Q6. How is Leather Shoes typically used in this trade flow?

Exports focus on finished consumer footwear, primarily non-ankle leather shoes (64039990) for retail markets, with sports and general-purpose designs driving mid-tier value.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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