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2025 Indonesia LNG (HS 271111) Export: Volume Surge & Drop

Indonesia's Liquefied Natural Gas exports (hs code 271111) surged 53% before a 59% drop, per yTrade data. Key Asian markets absorb 89% of volume, signaling demand vulnerability.

Key Takeaways

Liquefied Natural Gas, classified under HS Code 271111 (Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons; liquefied, natural gas), exhibited robust volume growth with sharp corrections from January to October 2025.

  • Market Pulse: Export weight surged 53% through September, peaking at 1.38 billion kg, before a 59% contraction in October—indicating a temporary surge followed by rebalancing.
  • Structural Shift: Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas exports face high geographic concentration, with Japan, China, and South Korea absorbing 89% of value, exposing vulnerability to regional demand shocks.
  • Product Logic: HS Code 271111 trade data reveals a pure commodity market, with uniform pricing at ~$0.50/kg and 93.5% of volume tied to a single sub-code, leaving no room for premium differentiation.

This overview covers the period from January to October 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas (HS Code 271111) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas export trend from January to October 2025 shows robust volume growth despite price volatility. Total export weight climbed 53% from January to September, peaking at 1.38 billion kg, though October saw a sharp 59% contraction. Value held relatively stable around $450 million monthly until September’s volume surge, but collapsed to $291 million in October as volumes normalized.

Drivers & Industry Context

The sustained export volume aligns with Indonesia’s stable policy environment for LNG. Recent regulations like [Permendag 8/2025] and MOT Regulation 9/2025 focused on mineral restrictions, explicitly exempting oil and gas products from new constraints. This regulatory clarity supported consistent shipments, particularly to key buyers like Japan. The hs code 271111 value remained resilient despite September’s anomalous price drop, reflecting strong underlying demand rather than policy disruption. October’s volume correction suggests a market rebalance after a temporary surge, with no evidence of structural export barriers.

Table: Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

DateValueWeightUnit PriceValue MoMWeight MoMUnit Price MoM
2025-01-01421.39M USD824.18M kg$0.51/kgN/AN/AN/A
2025-02-01473.94M USD909.61M kg$0.52/kg+12.47%+10.37%+1.91%
2025-03-01499.09M USD962.01M kg$0.52/kg+5.31%+5.76%-0.43%
2025-04-01480.10M USD887.71M kg$0.54/kg-3.81%-7.72%+4.25%
2025-05-01476.72M USD961.33M kg$0.50/kg-0.70%+8.29%-8.31%
2025-06-01472.70M USD879.49M kg$0.54/kg-0.84%-8.51%+8.38%
2025-07-01433.79M USD842.11M kg$0.52/kg-8.23%-4.25%-4.16%
2025-08-01458.70M USD898.54M kg$0.51/kg+5.74%+6.70%-0.90%
2025-09-01443.75M USD1.38B kg$0.32/kg-3.26%+53.82%-37.11%
2025-10-01291.00M USD561.40M kg$0.52/kg-34.42%-59.38%+61.45%

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Indonesia HS Code 271111 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The Indonesia HS Code 271111 export market is overwhelmingly dominated by a single category of Liquefied Natural Gas, which accounts for 93.5% of the total volume. According to yTrade data, this single sub-code represented 93.5% of the total weight shipped from January to October 2025. The remaining exports consist of a minor sub-code with nearly identical product description, indicating a highly concentrated trade flow with minimal categorical diversification.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The unit price for all exported LNG under this HS Code breakdown is tightly clustered around $0.50 USD per kilogram, showing negligible price differentiation. This uniform pricing confirms a pure commodity market where products are traded based on volume and contract terms rather than quality or specialization. The trade structure is typical of bulk energy exports, with price sensitivity driven by global benchmarks and logistical costs rather than product attributes.

Check Detailed HS Code 271111 Breakdown

Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Indonesia's Liquefied Natural Gas export destinations show high dependence on Japan, which accounts for 38.52% of the total export value from January to October 2025. This concentration in a single market increases vulnerability to demand shifts or geopolitical issues in Japan. The top three partners—Japan, China Mainland, and South Korea—collectively represent over 89% of the value, underscoring a narrow market base that requires diversification to mitigate risk.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Japan's weight ratio of 40.06 slightly exceeds its value ratio of 38.52, indicating a focus on price-sensitive bulk processing rather than high-value specifications. The frequency ratio of 33.55, while substantial, does not suggest retail fragmentation, aligning with large-volume industrial purchases. This pattern points to a market driven by Volume Scale, where Indonesia leverages mass production over premium margins.

Table: Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas (HS Code 271111) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
JAPAN1.71B161.46M51.003.65B
CHINA MAINLAND1.61B157.19M56.003.01B
SOUTH KOREA655.31M84.51M29.001.62B
CHINA TAIWAN144.25M13.93M4.00267.00M
THAILAND118.88M11.37M4.00149.34M
BANGLADESH************************

Get Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas (HS Code 271111) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, Indonesia's Liquefied Natural Gas export market is overwhelmingly dominated by a core group of key accounts, representing 90.54% of total value. These buyers, including major players like KOREA GAS CORPORATION, demonstrate consistent, high-volume purchasing patterns throughout 2025. This structure indicates a stable, contract-based supply chain for Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas buyers, built on long-term partnerships rather than spot market volatility.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The heavy reliance on a few major accounts creates significant concentration risk; losing even one partner could impact nearly all export revenue. Sales strategy must focus on securing and expanding these long-term contracts while closely monitoring new regulatory shifts, such as Indonesia's rules on mandatory retention of export proceeds in local banks [permitindo.com]. Understanding these HS Code 271111 buyer trends is essential for navigating compliance and maintaining relationships with high-volume repeaters in a regulated market.

Table: Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas (HS Code 271111) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

Buyer CompanyValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
CNOOC FUJIAN LNG CO1.09B104.16M32.002.00B
JERA CO. INC690.45M66.30M21.001.28B
ENI S.P.A658.52M64.25M21.001.16B
KOREA GAS CORPORATION************************

Check Full Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas Buyers list

Action Plan for Liquefied Natural Gas Market Operation and Expansion

  • Diversify buyer portfolio: Mitigate concentration risk by targeting emerging LNG importers like India or Southeast Asia, reducing reliance on Japan (38.5% of value).
  • Lock in long-term contracts: Secure stable revenue streams with key accounts (e.g., KOREA GAS CORPORATION) to buffer against spot market volatility.
  • Audit regulatory compliance: Align with Indonesia’s export proceeds retention rules (Permendag 8/2025) to avoid disruptions with high-volume buyers.
  • Optimize logistics costs: Leverage bulk shipment efficiencies to offset thin margins in this price-sensitive commodity trade.
  • Monitor Japan’s demand signals: Anticipate geopolitical or economic shifts in the top market, which drives 40% of volume.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas HS Code 271111 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas Export in 2025?

Indonesia's LNG exports surged 53% in volume by September 2025, peaking at 1.38 billion kg, before a sharp 59% contraction in October. This volatility reflects market rebalancing after a temporary surge, supported by stable regulatory policies exempting LNG from new mineral restrictions.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas (HS Code 271111) in 2025?

Japan dominates with 38.52% of export value, followed by China Mainland and South Korea—the top three collectively account for 89% of shipments, indicating high geographic concentration.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas Export in 2025?

Prices are uniformly clustered around $0.50/kg, confirming a pure commodity market where differentiation stems from volume and contract terms, not product attributes.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Liquefied Natural Gas export market?

Exporters must secure long-term contracts with major buyers like KOREA GAS CORPORATION (90.54% of value) while diversifying away from Japan-dependent revenue to mitigate concentration risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Liquefied Natural Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers benefit from stable, bulk-oriented supply chains but face exposure to Indonesia’s regulatory shifts, such as mandatory export proceeds retention in local banks.

Q6. How is Liquefied Natural Gas typically used in this trade flow?

LNG is traded as a bulk energy commodity, primarily for large-scale industrial processing and power generation in partner countries like Japan and South Korea.

Detailed Monthly and Quarterly Report

Indonesia HS Code 271111 Export Data Snapshot 2025 JAN

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