Indonesia Fuel Oil HS2710 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports (HS Code 2710) in 2025 Q3 reveal Singapore as the dominant buyer, absorbing 58% of export value and 66% of weight, signaling heavy reliance on a single market for bulk-grade shipments. The product is primarily standard fuel oil, with higher-value refined grades targeting niche buyers like the Netherlands and South Korea. Buyer concentration remains high, posing supply chain risks, while regional hubs like Malaysia and Singapore drive volume stability. This analysis is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, covering 2025 Q3.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export Background

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710), covering petroleum oils and bituminous mineral products, is vital for energy, shipping, and industrial sectors, ensuring steady global demand. While Indonesia's 2025 export policies have focused on palm oil, its Fuel Oil exports under HS 2710 remain stable, with no major regulatory changes reported for Q3 2025 [Global Trade Alert]. As a key regional supplier, Indonesia's Fuel Oil trade supports energy markets, especially in Asia, where refining and logistics rely on consistent flows.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 for 2025 Q3 experienced a sharp quarterly decline, with total value dropping approximately 42% and volume falling around 43% compared to Q2, while unit prices held steady with a slight increase to an average of $0.563 per kg.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The Q3 downturn in Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export 2025 Q3 reflects typical seasonal patterns in the energy sector, where summer months often see reduced industrial demand and inventory drawdowns in key markets. Quarter-over-quarter, export volumes plummeted from 1.75 billion kg in Q2 to 990 million kg in Q3, driving the value decrease despite stable pricing, indicating a supply-side adjustment rather than price-driven volatility.

External Context and Outlook

Globally, oil market fluctuations and currency dynamics likely contributed to the export slowdown, as no specific policy changes targeted HS 2710 in Q3 [Global Trade Alert]. Looking ahead, a rebound in Q4 is plausible with anticipated winter demand increases and potential stabilization in global energy trade flows.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Indonesia's Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export for 2025 Q3, the market is dominated by HS 27101979, a heavy petroleum oil product not classified as light oils, which accounted for 64.65% of the export value and 73.68% of the weight, with a unit price of 0.49 USD per kilogram. This high concentration indicates a specialized focus on bulk, lower-value fuel oil. An extreme price anomaly is present in HS 27101944, with a unit price of 3.55 USD per kilogram, which is isolated from the main analysis due to its insignificant share and distinct nature.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes can be grouped into two categories: heavy oils (like HS 27101941 and 27101990) with unit prices around 0.49 to 0.98 USD per kilogram, and light oils (like HS 27101280 and 27101299) with slightly higher unit prices up to 0.70 USD per kilogram. This structure suggests a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and likely linked to global oil indices, with minor variations in grade rather than significant value-added differentiation.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia's Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export in 2025 Q3, the high concentration in low-unit-price heavy oils implies limited pricing power for exporters, as they compete in a commodity-driven market. Strategic focus should be on cost efficiency and volume management, rather than product differentiation, to maintain competitiveness in global energy exports.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In 2025 Q3, Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 were heavily concentrated, with Singapore as the dominant importer, accounting for 58.21% of export value and 65.78% of weight. Singapore's lower value ratio compared to weight ratio indicates that the fuel oil shipped there is primarily a standard, bulk commodity grade with a relatively low unit price per kilogram.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form three clear clusters: Singapore and Malaysia handle high-volume, bulk fuel oil with similar value-weight ratios, likely due to regional proximity and established maritime trade routes. Netherlands, South Korea, and Oman show higher value per weight, suggesting purchases of refined or premium-grade fuel oil for specific industrial needs. Australia, China, and others have lower overall shares but varied patterns, such as Australia's high shipment frequency indicating smaller, regular consignments for niche markets.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports, maintaining reliable bulk supply chains to key hubs like Singapore and Malaysia is crucial for stability. Diversifying into higher-value markets like Netherlands and South Korea could involve upgrading product quality or targeting specific industrial buyers. Supply chain efforts should prioritize cost-effective logistics for bulk shipments and explore partnerships for premium product development.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

In the Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 2710, the buyer market shows extreme concentration, with one group of high-value, high-frequency buyers accounting for 87.54% of the total export value. This segment, representing large-scale, regular importers, dominates the trade with 92.56% of the quantity and 82.98% of transaction frequency, indicating a market centered on bulk commodity purchases. The median transaction value is high, driven by this core segment, highlighting a reliance on few key players in the four segments of buyers.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer groups play smaller but distinct roles. High-value, low-frequency buyers contribute 12.44% of value with very few transactions, likely representing occasional large orders or spot purchases for fuel oil. Low-value, high-frequency buyers account for a small share of value but 12.25% of transactions, suggesting regular small-scale buyers, possibly local distributors or minor users. Low-value, low-frequency buyers have minimal impact, indicating infrequent, small purchases that might be for testing or niche needs.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategy should focus on maintaining strong relationships with the dominant bulk buyers to secure steady revenue, while exploring opportunities in the high-value, low-frequency segment for additional large orders. The high dependence on a few buyers poses a risk if demand shifts, but the stable policy environment, with no new export restrictions for HS Code 2710 as noted in [Global Trade Alert], supports continued bulk sales. Sales models should prioritize volume-based agreements and monitor smaller buyers for potential growth.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Fuel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 2710 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global oil indices and product grade. Heavy oils dominate with low unit prices. Supply chain implications focus on volume security and cost-efficient logistics to key hubs like Singapore. High buyer concentration creates reliance on few large importers. This structure limits pricing power but benefits from stable policy.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Fuel Oil Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term volume contracts with top bulk buyers in Singapore and Malaysia. This secures stable revenue and reduces market volatility risk.
• Analyze unit price data to identify premium-grade opportunities in markets like Netherlands and South Korea. This allows targeting higher-value segments without major supply chain changes.
• Monitor transaction frequency of smaller buyers to spot emerging demand patterns. This helps anticipate niche market shifts and adjust small-batch logistics.
• Use HS Code 2710 sub-category data to track heavy vs. light oil sales ratios. This optimizes production mix toward most profitable grades each quarter.
• Audit shipping costs per kilogram for all destination clusters. This identifies logistics savings for bulk routes to maintain competitiveness.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Fuel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q3?

The sharp 42% quarterly decline in value and 43% in volume reflects seasonal demand drops in key markets, with stable unit prices indicating a supply-side adjustment rather than price volatility.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q3?

Singapore dominates with 58.21% of export value, followed by Malaysia and others like the Netherlands and South Korea, which import higher-value refined grades.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grade: bulk heavy oils (e.g., HS 27101979 at 0.49 USD/kg) ship to Singapore/Malaysia, while premium light oils (e.g., HS 27101299 at 0.70 USD/kg) target niche markets.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Fuel Oil export market?

Prioritize cost-efficient bulk sales to dominant buyers (87.54% of value) while exploring premium-grade opportunities in higher-value markets like the Netherlands.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Fuel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Bulk buyers (e.g., Singapore) benefit from stable supply, while niche buyers (e.g., South Korea) can leverage Indonesia’s capacity for specialized fuel oil grades.

Q6. How is Fuel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Exported fuel oil serves as a standardized bulk commodity for industrial energy needs, with minor premium-grade variants for specific refining or maritime applications.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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