Indonesia Fuel Oil HS2710 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710) exports in Q2 2025 were dominated by Singapore and Malaysia, which accounted for 87% of total value, highlighting heavy reliance on regional buyers. Singapore led with 52.6% of export value, reflecting stable bulk trade dynamics, while niche buyers like the Marshall Islands signaled occasional high-volume demand. This analysis, covering 2025 Q2, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710) covers petroleum oils and bituminous mineral derivatives, critical for shipping, power generation, and industrial heating due to their high energy density. Global demand remains steady, driven by infrastructure and manufacturing needs. In 2025 Q2, Indonesia raised export levies on related palm oil products, signaling tighter trade controls [FAS USDA], while EU anti-dumping updates targeted HS 2710 sub-codes [CATTS]. As a major exporter, Indonesia’s policies directly influence regional fuel oil supply chains.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710) exports in 2025 Q2 saw a significant quarter-on-quarter volume decline of 25%, alongside volatile but generally softer pricing, with the average unit price dropping to a quarterly low of $0.53/kg in May.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarterly volume fell from 965.85M kg in March to 455.05M kg in June, while the average price fluctuated between $0.53–0.56/kg. This pattern suggests industry anticipation of policy shifts, as exporters likely front-loaded shipments early in the quarter ahead of expected duty changes, followed by a contraction as new costs took effect. The overall Q2 performance reflects a market adjusting to regulatory signals rather than pure demand fundamentals.

External Context and Outlook

The volume pullback aligns directly with Indonesia’s regulatory moves, including the [Ministry of Finance] raising export levies on palm oil derivatives in May and further adjustments in July (GlobalTradeAlert). These measures increased export costs for products under HS 2710, discouraging Q2 shipments. Looking ahead, trade flows may remain subdued until markets absorb these new fiscal conditions, though EU anti-dumping scrutiny (CATTS) adds further complexity to the export outlook for Indonesia Fuel Oil.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In 2025 Q2, Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 were heavily concentrated in sub-code 27101979, which represents petroleum oils not light oils and preparations, accounting for over half of the total export value. This product has a low unit price of 0.47 USD per kilogram, confirming its role as a bulk commodity. An extreme price anomaly exists in sub-code 27101942, with a unit price of 586.59 USD per kilogram, but it is isolated from the main analysis due to its minimal trade volume.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two groups: bulk heavy oils like 27101971 and 27101990 with unit prices under 0.65 USD per kilogram, and light oils such as 27101299 and 27101280 with unit prices around 0.60 to 0.63 USD per kilogram. A higher-value segment includes 27101946 at 1.97 USD per kilogram. This mix indicates that Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports are largely fungible bulk commodities, with minor differentiation based on oil grade rather than advanced processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export 2025 Q2, the bulk commodity nature means limited pricing power, with values closely linked to global oil markets. However, ongoing anti-dumping measures on certain sub-codes [CATTS] may add regulatory complexity, urging exporters to focus on volume stability and cost efficiency in a competitive environment.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export 2025 Q2 was highly concentrated, with Singapore and Malaysia together accounting for over 87% of total export value. Singapore was the dominant buyer, responsible for 52.64% of the value but only 54.33% of the weight, indicating it paid a slightly lower average unit price. This small value-to-weight disparity is typical for a bulk commodity like fuel oil, where trade is driven by volume and proximity rather than product differentiation.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The trade flow forms three clear clusters. The first is the core regional buyers, Singapore and Malaysia, whose high frequency and massive volume point to regular, large-scale shipments, likely for refining or bunkering due to their strategic maritime locations. The second cluster consists of single large-volume buyers like the Marshall Islands and Bangladesh; their infrequent but massive purchases suggest these are likely fuel deliveries for specific vessels or projects. A third group includes countries like the Netherlands and South Korea, which have moderate value but very low quantity, implying they are purchasing smaller amounts of potentially specialized fuel oil blends.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, this pattern means the business is stable but reliant on a few key regional partners. The strategy should be to secure long-term supply contracts with major buyers in Singapore and Malaysia to ensure consistent offtake. The presence of niche buyers offers an opportunity to develop higher-margin specialized products, but the core business will remain high-volume, low-margin bulk fuel oil sales. The export policy changes on palm oil [USDA] do not directly impact fuel oil under HS 2710, confirming this segment operates under different market dynamics.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q2 market for HS Code 2710 is highly concentrated among four segments of buyers. One group, consisting of large-scale, frequent purchasers, dominates with 94.23% of the total export value. This indicates that the market is primarily driven by high-volume, regular transactions, with median characteristics skewed towards substantial and consistent orders.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other buyer segments play distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency likely represent bulk or project-based orders, making significant but irregular purchases. Those with low value and high frequency are probably smaller entities requiring steady, small-quantity supplies for ongoing operations. The segment with low value and low frequency consists of infrequent, minor buyers, possibly new market entrants or occasional users.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategic focus must be on nurturing relationships with the dominant high-value buyers to secure steady revenue. However, this reliance poses a risk if demand shifts or policies change. Opportunities exist in diversifying to engage other segments for growth. The recent anti-dumping updates affecting HS Code 2710, as noted by [CATTS], highlight vulnerability to international trade disputes, urging closer monitoring of regulatory changes (CATTS).

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Fuel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q2 under HS Code 2710 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global oil benchmarks and basic product grade differentiation, not advanced processing. Supply chains are anchored in high-volume flows to regional hubs like Singapore and Malaysia for refining and bunkering. This creates a stable but low-margin business model, with inherent exposure to oil price volatility and anti-dumping trade policies.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Fuel Oil Market Execution

• Negotiate long-term volume contracts with core buyers in Singapore and Malaysia. This secures stable revenue and optimizes logistics for bulk shipments.
• Analyze buyer purchase frequency to forecast demand cycles and adjust inventory. This prevents overstock or shortages, aligning with the dominant high-volume, regular order pattern.
• Develop specialized fuel blends for niche buyers like the Netherlands or South Korea. This diversifies revenue streams and captures higher margins beyond bulk sales.
• Monitor regulatory updates from sources like CATTS for anti-dumping measures on HS Code 2710. This mitigates legal risks and avoids sudden compliance costs.

Forward-Looking Risk Mitigation

Market reliance on few buyers and regions poses concentration risk. Oil price swings or trade disputes could disrupt revenue. Diversify into new geographic markets and product grades to build resilience. Use trade data to identify emerging demand clusters early.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Fuel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q2?

Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports in Q2 2025 saw a 25% volume decline and softer pricing due to regulatory shifts, including higher export levies and anti-dumping measures, which disrupted trade flows.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q2?

Singapore and Malaysia dominate, accounting for 87% of export value, with Singapore alone representing 52.64%. Smaller buyers include the Marshall Islands and Bangladesh for project-based orders.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grade: bulk heavy oils (e.g., 27101971) trade below $0.65/kg, while light oils (e.g., 27101299) and niche blends (e.g., 27101946 at $1.97/kg) command higher prices.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Fuel Oil export market?

Prioritize long-term contracts with high-volume buyers in Singapore and Malaysia, while exploring niche markets for specialized blends to mitigate reliance on bulk commodity trade.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Fuel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Major buyers like Singapore benefit from stable, high-volume supply, while niche buyers (e.g., Netherlands) access specialized blends, though all face price volatility linked to global oil markets.

Q6. How is Fuel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Most exports are bulk heavy oils for refining or bunkering in maritime hubs, with smaller volumes of light oils likely used for regional energy or industrial needs.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

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