Indonesia Fuel Oil HS2710 Export Data 2025 May Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710) exports in May 2025 reveal Singapore as the dominant buyer, absorbing 47% of export value—signaling demand for higher-grade fuel—while Malaysia drives bulk volume, indicating a split between premium and commodity markets. Regional proximity shapes trade flows, with Southeast Asian neighbors dominating, while distant buyers like the Netherlands reflect niche demand. This analysis, covering May 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export Background

Indonesia's Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710), covering petroleum oils and bituminous mineral products, is critical for power generation, shipping, and industrial heating, ensuring steady global demand. While Indonesia raised palm oil export levies in May 2025 [FAS USDA], its Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 remain strategically vital, with the country being a key supplier in Asia due to its refining capacity and trade infrastructure.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 exports in May 2025 saw unit prices drop to 0.53 USD/kg, a 5.4% decrease from April, marking the lowest point in the year amid declining value and volume.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The month-over-month decline from April to May reflects a broader downtrend, with value falling 13.4% and volume down 8.7%. This pattern aligns with typical fuel oil industry cycles, where seasonal demand fluctuations—such as reduced heating needs in tropical regions like Indonesia—often lead to price softening in mid-year. The March spike in volume and value likely represented a temporary inventory build or refinery output surge, but May's data indicates a return to baseline market conditions without extreme volatility.

External Context and Outlook

As noted in [apps.fas.usda.gov], no direct policy changes affected HS code 2710 in May 2025 (apps.fas.usda.gov), which supported market stability despite the downward trend. The outlook for Indonesia Fuel Oil exports remains tied to global crude oil prices and regional demand, with no imminent regulatory shifts expected to disrupt current patterns.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In May 2025, Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 are highly concentrated in a specific product grade. The sub-code 27101979, described as petroleum oils not light oils and preparations, dominates with a value share of 50.73% and a weight share of 60.37%, at a unit price of 0.45 USD per kilogram. A separate sub-code, 27101942, shows an extreme unit price of 241.55 USD per kilogram, which is isolated from the main analysis due to its outlier nature.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two main categories based on grade: standard heavy fuel oils and light fuel oils. Standard heavy oils, like 27101971 and 27101941, have unit prices ranging from 0.61 to 1.04 USD per kilogram, indicating bulk commodity trade tied to global indices. Light oils, such as 27101280 and 27101299, trade at 0.55 to 0.58 USD per kilogram, showing slight differentiation but still fungible characteristics.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export in 2025 May, the bulk nature implies limited pricing power for exporters, requiring focus on cost efficiency and volume scaling to compete in global markets. Strategic efforts should prioritize maintaining grade consistency and accessing stable demand regions.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export in 2025 May shows strong concentration, with Singapore as the dominant importer, accounting for 47% of value and 44% of weight. The higher value ratio compared to weight ratio indicates Singapore imports higher-grade or more processed fuel oil, suggesting it serves as a key hub for quality-sensitive markets. Malaysia follows with significant volume but a lower value-to-weight disparity, pointing to bulk, lower-grade purchases.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two clear clusters: first, Southeast Asian neighbors Singapore and Malaysia, likely due to regional proximity and integrated supply chains for refinery and bunkering needs. Second, a diverse group including Bangladesh, South Korea, and the Netherlands, which may reflect sporadic demand for specific industrial or shipping fuel uses, driven by cost efficiency and existing trade agreements.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, prioritizing high-value markets like Singapore can maximize returns, while maintaining flexible supply for bulk buyers like Malaysia. Ensuring consistent quality and monitoring regional demand shifts will be crucial, as fuel oil is a commodity sensitive to price and logistics. No direct policy changes from the news affect HS Code 2710, so focus remains on operational efficiency and market responsiveness.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Fuel Oil Export market for May 2025, under HS Code 2710, shows high concentration in one segment of buyers. The dominant group consists of high-value, high-frequency buyers, accounting for 78.74% of the total export value. This indicates that the market is heavily reliant on a small number of buyers who make frequent, large purchases. The overall market is characterized by high transaction frequency and substantial value per transaction, with median trends pointing towards consistent, bulk-oriented trade.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other three segments play smaller but distinct roles. High-value, low-frequency buyers contribute 21.23% of the value with very infrequent orders, likely representing large industrial users or distributors who buy in bulk for long-term needs. Low-value, high-frequency buyers make up 15.54% of transactions but only 0.01% of value, suggesting small-scale or spot purchases, possibly by local distributors or smaller end-users. Low-value, low-frequency buyers are minimal in both value and frequency, indicating occasional, niche buyers with minor impact.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategic focus should prioritize maintaining relationships with high-value, frequent buyers to secure steady revenue. The high dependence on this segment poses a risk if key buyers reduce orders, but there is an opportunity to target high-value, infrequent buyers for additional bulk contracts. The sales model should emphasize contract-based deals for large volumes. Regarding policy, no specific changes for Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 were reported in May 2025, as confirmed by [USDA], which discussed palm oil levies instead, so current strategies remain unaffected.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 May Export: Action Plan for Fuel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 May under HS Code 2710 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by product grade consistency and alignment with global fuel indices. Supply chain success depends on secure access to high-volume buyers and efficient processing hubs like Singapore. High buyer concentration creates revenue risk but offers volume stability.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Fuel Oil Market Execution

• Target high-value, infrequent buyers with customized bulk contracts to diversify revenue streams and reduce dependency on frequent buyers.
• Prioritize shipments to Singapore using real-time logistics data to capitalize on higher unit prices and maintain grade-specific demand.
• Monitor HS Code 2710 sub-component pricing weekly to align export mixes with profitable grades like 27101979 and avoid low-margin outliers.
• Develop flexible supply agreements with Southeast Asian partners to quickly respond to regional demand shifts and optimize inventory turnover.
• Use buyer transaction frequency reports to forecast order cycles and prevent stockpile overages, ensuring consistent cash flow.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Fuel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 May?

The unit price dropped 5.4% to 0.53 USD/kg, driven by seasonal demand softening and a 13.4% decline in value. This reflects typical fuel oil cycles, with May marking the lowest point in 2025 after a temporary March surge.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 May?

Singapore dominates with 47% of export value, followed by Malaysia. Singapore’s higher value-to-weight ratio indicates premium-grade imports, while Malaysia focuses on bulk, lower-grade purchases.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 May partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: standard heavy oils (0.61–1.04 USD/kg) and light oils (0.55–0.58 USD/kg). Singapore’s premium imports contrast with Malaysia’s bulk-focused purchases.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Fuel Oil export market?

Prioritize high-value, frequent buyers (78.74% of revenue) and target Singapore for premium returns. Maintain grade consistency and cost efficiency to compete in bulk markets like Malaysia.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Fuel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Singapore benefit from stable high-grade supply, while bulk buyers (e.g., Malaysia) rely on Indonesia’s cost-efficient volumes. Dependence on few exporters may pose supply risks.

Q6. How is Fuel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Fuel oil is primarily traded for industrial energy, shipping bunkering, and regional refinery needs, with grades tailored to bulk commodity or quality-sensitive applications.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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