Indonesia Fuel Oil HS2710 Export Data 2025 October Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export in 2025 October reveals a premium product strategy, with Singapore and Malaysia absorbing 87% of export value, confirming high-grade shipments. The extreme buyer concentration in these regional hubs poses supply chain risks, offset only by smaller, consistent buyers like Australia. This analysis, covering October 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export Background

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS Code 2710) covers petroleum oils and bituminous mineral derivatives, critical for power generation, shipping, and industrial heating due to their high energy density. Global demand remains steady, driven by infrastructure and manufacturing needs. In 2025, Indonesia adjusted export policies for related oil products, including palm oil levies, indirectly impacting fuel oil trade dynamics [FAS USDA]. As a key exporter, Indonesia’s October 2025 shipments of HS Code 2710 fuel oil will reflect both domestic refining capacity and international market shifts.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export 2025 October hit a yearly low in both value and volume, with unit prices dropping to $0.52/kg—the lowest point of the year and a 9% decline from September.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The 2025 data reveals a clear downtrend accelerating into Q4, with October's volume down 13% month-on-month and 55% lower than the March peak. This erosion aligns with typical refinery output cycles, where year-end inventory drawdowns and maintenance reduce export availability. The consistent price pressure since May—barring a minor July uptick—signals oversupply or competitive discounting, likely exacerbated by high global stockpiles and muted industrial demand heading into the closing quarter.

External Context and Outlook

Indonesia's mid-2025 policy shifts on palm oil exports [USDA] and July's crude palm oil duty hikes (Global Trade Alert) indirectly pressured energy-related exports like fuel oil, as overlapping supply chains and regulatory uncertainty dampened trader sentiment. With the EU also scrutinizing petroleum tariffs (CATTS), exporters face narrowed margins and volatile demand. Expect continued pressure on Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export 2025 October volumes until policy clarity emerges or seasonal demand rebounds.

Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In October 2025, Indonesia's Fuel Oil exports under HS Code 2710 are heavily concentrated in a single product: the sub-code 2710197900, described as petroleum oils not containing biodiesel, not crude, and not light oils, with a value share of 80% and a unit price of 0.47 USD per kilogram. This dominance indicates a specialized focus on lower-grade, bulk fuel oil for mass export. An extreme price anomaly is present in sub-code 2710194200, with a unit price of 11.52 USD per kilogram, which is isolated from the main analysis due to its outlier nature.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two clear groups based on unit price and product description. The first group includes low-priced oils around 0.47 to 0.63 USD per kilogram, such as 2710197900 and 2710196000, representing standard fuel oil grades. The second group consists of medium-priced oils from 1.03 to 2.37 USD per kilogram, like 2710194100 and 2710194600, which are likely higher-quality or processed variants. This structure shows a trade in fungible bulk commodities, with price differences reflecting simple grade variations rather than complex value-added stages.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export 2025 October, the market structure suggests limited pricing power for exporters, as bulk commodity trade ties prices to global indices and grade specifications. Strategic focus should prioritize cost efficiency and volume scaling for the dominant low-grade products, while exploring niche opportunities in higher-grade segments. No relevant policy changes from the news context directly impact this analysis, reinforcing a stable but competitive export environment.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Fuel Oil HS Code 2710 Export in 2025 October shows a heavy reliance on Singapore and Malaysia. Singapore leads with 55.57% of total export value but only 64.25% of weight, while Malaysia follows with 31.56% of value from 29.89% of weight. This value-to-weight disparity confirms these shipments are higher-grade, premium-priced fuel oil, not cheap bulk commodity.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The trade forms three clear clusters. The first is Singapore and Malaysia, which act as regional refining and trading hubs, taking in large volumes for processing and re-export. The second is Australia, which stands out with a very high shipment frequency (24.82%) for its low volume and value, indicating a pattern of small, regular deliveries likely for specific industrial or remote power generation needs. The remaining countries, like South Korea and China, form a third group of smaller, diversified buyers taking much smaller consignments.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Suppliers should focus on maintaining premium product quality and pricing to uphold the current value advantage with key hubs. However, the extreme concentration in just two nearby countries creates significant supply chain risk from regional political or economic shifts. Diversifying the buyer base, particularly by growing relationships with consistent smaller buyers like Australia, would build a more resilient export strategy for Indonesia Fuel Oil.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The buyer market for Indonesia Fuel Oil Export in October 2025 under HS Code 2710 shows high concentration, with one segment of buyers dominating both value and frequency. Buyers who make large, frequent purchases represent over 70% of the export value and nearly 70% of transaction frequency, defining the market as driven by high-volume, regular transactions. This dominance indicates that the export flow is heavily reliant on a core group of consistent, high-volume buyers.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other three segments play distinct roles. Buyers with high value but low frequency likely engage in bulk purchases for strategic stockpiling or large-scale deals, contributing significantly to value but with fewer transactions. Those with low value but high frequency are probably smaller distributors or end-users making frequent, small purchases, adding to transaction count but minimal value. The segment with low value and low frequency consists of infrequent, small buyers, possibly for niche markets or trial orders, with negligible impact on overall trade.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the strategy should focus on maintaining strong relationships with the dominant buyers to ensure stable revenue, while cautiously exploring opportunities in other segments to reduce dependency risks. The high concentration makes the export vulnerable to demand shifts from a few key buyers. In light of recent export policy changes, such as increased levies on related oil products [USDA], monitoring for similar measures affecting Fuel Oil under HS 2710 is advised to mitigate potential impacts.

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Indonesia Fuel Oil (HS 2710) 2025 October Export: Action Plan for Fuel Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 October under HS Code 2710 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Core price drivers are product grade quality and alignment with global fuel indices. The market shows heavy reliance on Singapore and Malaysia as regional processing hubs. This creates supply chain implications centered on hub dependency and volume-driven logistics. High buyer concentration adds vulnerability to demand shifts from a few key clients.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Fuel Oil Market Execution

• Monitor HS Code 2710 sub-codes daily to track grade-specific price shifts. This allows real-time alignment with premium product opportunities.
• Use buyer frequency data to identify core high-volume clients and secure long-term contracts. This ensures stable revenue and reduces churn risk.
• Analyze geographic shipment patterns to diversify beyond Singapore and Malaysia. This builds resilience against regional economic disruptions.
• Track policy updates for levies or export rules affecting fuel oil. This prevents cost surprises and maintains compliance.
• Engage with high-frequency, low-value buyers like Australia to explore consistent small-order growth. This balances the customer portfolio without major resource drain.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Fuel Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 October?

A1. October 2025 saw yearly lows in value and volume, with unit prices dropping 9% from September due to oversupply, competitive discounting, and refinery output cycles. Policy shifts on palm oil exports also indirectly pressured fuel oil trade.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 October?

A2. Singapore (55.57% of value) and Malaysia (31.56% of value) dominate, serving as regional refining hubs. Australia stands out for high shipment frequency despite low volume.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Fuel Oil Export 2025 October partner countries?

A3. Price differences reflect grade variations: bulk low-grade oils (e.g., sub-code 2710197900 at 0.47 USD/kg) dominate, while higher-grade variants (e.g., 2710194100 at 1.03–2.37 USD/kg) target premium markets like Singapore.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Fuel Oil export market?

A4. Prioritize cost efficiency for low-grade bulk products (70% of trade) while nurturing relationships with high-volume buyers. Diversify beyond Singapore/Malaysia to mitigate regional concentration risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Fuel Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Buyers in Singapore/Malaysia access premium grades for re-export, while Australia’s frequent small shipments suggest stable niche demand. High buyer concentration implies reliability but exposes partners to supply chain volatility.

Q6. How is Fuel Oil typically used in this trade flow?

A6. Dominant low-grade exports (e.g., 2710197900) suggest mass industrial or power generation use, while higher grades likely feed specialized refining or niche applications.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

yTrade helps businesses:

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

yTrade provides practical, trade-focused tools including:

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