Indonesia Palm Oil HS151190 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3 (HS Code 151190) shows stable bulk commodity pricing at 1.00 USD/kg, with Pakistan dominating as the top importer (14.99% by weight). Asian neighbors like Bangladesh and Vietnam drive over 25% of volume, while Western markets like the U.S. reflect diversified demand for food and biofuel. Exporters must monitor Indonesia’s policy shifts, including the July 2025 levy hike to 91.09 USD/MT, which could disrupt supply chains. This analysis covers 2025 Q3 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q3 Export Background
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 151190) covers refined palm oil and its fractions, excluding crude or chemically modified variants, and fuels industries like food processing, biofuels, and cosmetics due to its versatility. Global demand remains strong, driven by its cost efficiency and wide applications. In Q3 2025, Indonesia adjusted export duties on palm oil, raising tariffs to $91.09/MT in August [Gapki], reflecting its active role in balancing domestic supply and international trade. As the world’s top palm oil exporter, Indonesia’s 2025 policies directly impact global prices and availability, reinforcing its strategic position in the market.
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 in 2025 Q3 totaled 5.25 billion USD with a volume of 5.17 billion kg, showing a quarterly increase but marked by a sharp decline in September.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Quarter-over-quarter, exports rose by approximately 10% in value and 6% in volume from Q2, reflecting typical mid-year production surges in the palm oil industry as harvesting peaks. However, monthly data revealed volatility, with a significant drop in September to 1.34 billion USD, indicating potential market adjustments ahead of seasonal slowdowns or policy impacts.
External Context and Outlook
The September downturn aligns with Indonesia's July 2025 increase in export duties on crude palm oil [Global Trade Alert], which likely raised costs and dampened shipment volumes. Looking forward, ongoing efforts to secure lower US tariffs could enhance export competitiveness and stabilize trends into 2026.
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
In 2025 Q3, the Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export is heavily concentrated in sub-code 15119037, which represents over 50% of both value and weight shares. This sub-code, for refined palm oil fractions not chemically modified, has a unit price of 1.00 USD per kilogram, indicating a standardized, bulk commodity focus. Note that sub-codes 15119049 and 15119041 are isolated due to their very low quantities and slightly lower unit prices, which do not significantly impact the overall market structure.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
The non-anomalous sub-codes can be grouped into two categories based on unit price: standard grades with prices around 1.00-1.02 USD/kg (e.g., 15119020 and 15119032) and slightly higher-grade options at 1.09-1.11 USD/kg (e.g., 15119036 and 15119039). Despite these minor variations, the consistent product descriptions and close price range suggest a trade in fungible bulk commodities, likely tied to global market indices rather than highly differentiated goods.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
For market players, the commodity nature of these exports implies limited pricing power, with costs and revenues heavily influenced by international price fluctuations and policy changes. [USDA] reports that Indonesia raised export levies on refined palm products in May 2025, increasing cost pressures and potentially reducing competitiveness in key markets like the U.S., where tariff negotiations are ongoing (USDA). Strategies should focus on cost efficiency and monitoring policy shifts to maintain export viability.
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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export 2025 Q3 shows Pakistan as the dominant importer, with a 14.99% share by weight and 14.76% by value, indicating stable pricing around 1.00 USD/kg for standard commodity grade. The close match between value and weight ratios across top importers like China and the United States confirms uniform pricing typical for bulk agricultural exports.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
The importers form two clear clusters: Asian neighbors like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Vietnam account for over 25% of volume, driven by regional demand for cooking oil and short supply chains. Western markets such as the United States and Egypt represent smaller but steady shares, likely for food processing and biofuel use, reflecting diversified global demand.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Exporters should monitor Indonesia's frequent policy shifts, like the July 2025 levy increase to 91.09 USD/MT [FAS USDA], which may raise costs. Diversifying to less volatile markets like Russia or Malaysia could mitigate risks from tariff changes and ensure stable supply chains.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAKISTAN | 775.31M | 773.34M | 992.00 | 773.42M |
| CHINA MAINLAND | 587.36M | 598.21M | 144.00 | 598.21M |
| UNITED STATES | 412.98M | 400.94M | 169.00 | 400.94M |
| BANGLADESH | 359.35M | 357.00M | 141.00 | 357.00M |
| EGYPT | 259.79M | 265.90M | 110.00 | 265.90M |
| MALAYSIA | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
The Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3 for HS Code 151190 operates as a bulk commodity market. Its price drivers are global palm oil indices and Indonesian policy shifts, like the mid-2025 export levy hikes. This creates uniform pricing near 1.00 USD/kg. The supply chain implication is high exposure to geopolitical risks and reliance on key Asian buyers. Indonesia’s role is as a volume-driven processing hub, with limited power to differentiate products or control costs amid international competition.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution
- Use transaction frequency data to lock in long-term contracts with top buyers, securing stable revenue despite market volatility.
- Monitor Indonesian policy updates monthly via USDA/FAS reports to anticipate cost changes and adjust pricing strategies proactively.
- Diversify export destinations by targeting growth markets like Russia with tailored offers, reducing over-reliance on concentrated Asian partners.
- Analyze buyer segment data to identify and nurture smaller, frequent clients, building a more resilient customer base over time.
- Track sub-code unit prices to spot premium product opportunities, potentially increasing margins beyond standard bulk sales.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Oil Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3?
The Q3 export surge (+10% value, +6% volume) reflects seasonal production peaks, but a sharp September drop to 1.34 billion USD aligns with Indonesia's July 2025 export duty increase, raising costs and dampening shipments.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3?
Pakistan dominates with 14.99% of volume, followed by China and the United States, all showing uniform pricing near 1.00 USD/kg for bulk commodity-grade palm oil.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?
Minor price variations (1.00–1.11 USD/kg) stem from sub-code differentiation, with higher-grade options like 15119036 (1.09–1.11 USD/kg) slightly exceeding standard bulk commodity prices.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?
Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-value, high-frequency buyers (90.06% of trade) while diversifying to mitigate risks from policy shifts like levy hikes.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers face stable bulk pricing but must monitor Indonesia’s policy volatility, as duty increases may raise costs for key markets like the U.S. and Pakistan.
Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?
The exports are primarily fungible bulk commodities, used for cooking oil in Asian markets and food processing/biofuel in Western destinations.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS151190 Export Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia Palm Oil HS151190 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 151190) Export in Q2 2025 saw China Mainland as top buyer (15% share), with Asian markets driving 40% demand. Data from yTrade reveals levy impacts and regional trade dynamics.
Indonesia Palm Oil HS151190 Export Data 2025 September Overview
Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 151190) Export in September 2025 shows Pakistan as top buyer (14% by weight), with high-volume imports from China and the U.S., per yTrade data.
