Indonesia Palm Oil HS151190 Export Data 2025 July Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 July Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export in 2025 July shows Pakistan as the dominant buyer, capturing 17% of shipments by weight and value, reflecting stable demand for refined palm oil. The market remains concentrated in Asia, with Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Myanmar forming a high-volume cluster, while the U.S. and UAE represent balanced trade partners. This analysis, covering July 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 July Export Background

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 151190) covers refined palm oil and its fractions, a staple in food processing, biofuels, and cosmetics due to its versatility and cost efficiency. Global demand remains strong, driven by its use in everyday products. In July 2025, Indonesia raised export taxes and plantation fund tariffs on palm oil under HS 151190 to stabilize domestic supply and support biofuel mandates, reflecting its role as the world’s top exporter [Gapki]. These adjustments highlight Indonesia’s strategic influence on global palm oil trade flows.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 July Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 in July 2025 reached $1.88 billion in value and 1.93 billion kg in volume, marking a decline from the previous month's performance.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Month-over-month, July's exports fell from June's $2.05 billion and 2.19 billion kg, reflecting a typical mid-year slowdown in palm oil shipments due to seasonal harvest cycles and stock adjustments. This drop aligns with industry patterns where export volumes often peak in the second quarter before easing, though policy changes may have intensified the decline.

External Context and Outlook

The decrease correlates with Indonesia's hike in export taxes and plantation fund tariffs on palm oil products, including HS Code 151190, implemented in late July 2025 as per [Global Trade Alert]. These measures increased export costs, likely dampening shipment volumes. Looking ahead, further policy adjustments, such as those noted in earlier regulations (apps.fas.usda.gov), could continue to influence export trends amid domestic biofuel priorities and global demand shifts.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 July Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In July 2025, Indonesia's export of HS Code 151190 palm oil is heavily concentrated in sub-code 15119037, which represents over half of the total value and weight. This sub-code, described as vegetable oils including palm oil and its fractions that are not crude but may be refined yet not chemically modified, has a unit price of 0.96 USD per kilogram, slightly lower than some variants, suggesting it serves as the standard bulk grade for mass export. No extreme price anomalies are present in the data, with all sub-codes maintaining unit prices between 0.90 and 1.08 USD per kilogram, indicating a relatively stable market structure for analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes can be grouped into two categories based on unit price and volume: first, high-volume standard grades like 15119020 with a unit price of 0.98 USD per kilogram, similar to the dominant sub-code, and second, lower-volume potentially higher-grade options such as 15119036 at 1.08 USD per kilogram, which might indicate refined fractions with slight premium characteristics. The narrow range of unit prices and high volume shares point to a market trading largely in fungible bulk commodities, where products are minimally differentiated and likely tied to global palm oil indices rather than branded or highly specialized goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

This concentration in standard bulk grades limits pricing power for exporters, as margins are thin and competition is high, necessitating focus on cost efficiency and volume scaling. The recent increase in export duties and tariffs in July 2025, as reported by [Global Trade Alert], could further pressure profitability, urging players to diversify into higher-value sub-codes or optimize supply chains to absorb additional costs. For Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export in 2025 July, strategic priorities should include monitoring policy changes and exploring premium market segments to enhance resilience.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 July Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export in 2025 July shows a clear geographic concentration, with Pakistan serving as the dominant buyer by capturing 17.31% of total shipment frequency and 17.07% of weight. The higher value share (17.00%) compared to its weight share indicates Pakistan purchases a slightly higher-value product mix, consistent with refined palm oil exports where product grade influences price. This pattern confirms the commodity nature of palm oil trade, where bulk shipments to key partners drive volume.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The import partners form three clear clusters based on trade patterns. The first cluster includes Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Myanmar, all regional neighbors with high volume shares, reflecting consistent demand for cooking oil and food ingredients. The second cluster contains the United States and United Arab Emirates, showing balanced value-weight ratios, indicating stable contracts for standard refined palm oil. The third cluster comprises Egypt, Vietnam, and the Philippines, with moderate volumes but lower shipment frequency, suggesting periodic bulk purchases for industrial or food processing needs.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For palm oil exporters, maintaining strong relationships with Pakistan and Bangladesh is critical due to their consistent high-volume demand. However, Indonesia's recent export tariff increases [GAPKI] and higher levies [USDA] mean exporters must factor in these additional costs when pricing contracts. The diversified buyer base provides some buffer against market shocks, but the concentration in Asia requires careful monitoring of regional demand shifts and trade policies affecting Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export in 2025 July.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 July Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 July under HS Code 151190 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global palm oil indices and standard grade quality, with minimal product differentiation. Recent export duty increases add cost pressure. Supply chains must prioritize high-volume efficiency and policy risk mitigation due to heavy reliance on key Asian buyers like Pakistan.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution

• Analyze HS Code 151190 sub-component data monthly to identify premium-priced variants like 15119036. This unlocks higher margins in a bulk-dominated market.
• Track shipment frequency of top buyers like Pakistan to anticipate demand cycles and optimize inventory. This prevents overstock and ensures contract fulfillment.
• Monitor real-time policy alerts for export duty changes using platforms like Global Trade Alert. This allows rapid price adjustment to protect profitability.
• Use trade flow data to diversify into less concentrated markets like Egypt or Vietnam. This reduces over-reliance on a few high-volume partners.
• Benchmark unit prices against competitor origins for each sub-code. This ensures Indonesia remains cost-competitive despite rising levies.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 July?

The decline in July 2025 exports to $1.88 billion (1.93 billion kg) reflects seasonal slowdowns and Indonesia's increased export taxes, which raised costs and dampened demand.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 July?

Pakistan dominates with 17% of shipments by value, followed by Bangladesh and Myanmar, which form a high-volume regional cluster for cooking oil and food ingredients.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 July partner countries?

Prices vary slightly (0.90–1.08 USD/kg) due to sub-code differentiation, with higher grades like 15119036 (1.08 USD/kg) likely serving refined niche markets versus bulk-standardized options.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize high-volume buyers (80.85% of value) while diversifying into premium sub-codes to offset thin margins from policy-driven cost increases.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Pakistan and Bangladesh benefit from stable bulk supply, but must anticipate price adjustments due to Indonesia’s export levy hikes.

Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

It primarily serves as a bulk commodity for food processing (cooking oil, ingredients) and industrial applications, with minimal product differentiation.