Indonesia Palm Oil HS151190 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 in Q2 2025 were dominated by bulk shipments of standard-grade commodity palm oil, with China Mainland as the top importer, accounting for nearly 15% of total volume at competitive prices. Asian markets like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and India drove over 40% of demand, reflecting strong regional reliance for food and biofuels, while non-Asian buyers showed smaller but stable interest for specialized uses. Exporters must navigate policy shifts like Indonesia's May 2025 levy increase while optimizing supply chains to maintain competitiveness in high-volume Asian markets and explore premium opportunities elsewhere. This analysis is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, covering Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export trends for 2025 Q2.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia's Palm Oil (HS Code 151190) includes vegetable oils and refined fractions, vital for food, biofuels, and cosmetics due to its versatility. Global demand remains strong, driven by its cost efficiency and wide applications. In Q2 2025, Indonesia raised export levies to 10% for crude palm oil under HS 151190 to support domestic biodiesel programs and downstream growth [GAPKI]. As the world's top exporter, Indonesia's policy shifts directly impact global supply chains, making its 2025 trade decisions critical for markets reliant on palm oil.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 for Q2 2025 reached 4.78 billion USD in value and 4.87 billion kg in volume, reflecting a quarter of recovery after an initial dip, driven by policy adjustments and seasonal factors.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-over-quarter, value decreased from Q1's 5.21 billion USD to 4.78 billion USD, while volume edged up from 4.74 billion kg to 4.87 billion kg, indicating lower average prices or a shift in product mix. Month-over-month within Q2, exports surged from April's 1.08 billion USD to June's 2.05 billion USD, aligning with typical palm oil production cycles where output often rebounds in mid-year, but was amplified by exporters rushing to ship before and after new levies took effect.

External Context and Outlook

The volatility in Q2 was heavily influenced by Indonesia's export policy changes, particularly the May 2025 levy increase on crude palm oil to 10% [USDA Report], which caused April's slump and May-June's spike as markets adjusted. Looking forward, ongoing US tariff negotiations and domestic biodiesel incentives may continue to shape export trends for Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export 2025 Q2 and beyond.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 in Q2 2025 were heavily concentrated, with sub-code 15119037 dominating the market. This product, described as vegetable oils including palm oil fractions other than crude, held a value share of 53% and a weight share of 54%, shipped in over 1.28 thousand transactions at a unit price of $0.96 per kilogram. The slight unit price disparity compared to other sub-codes indicates its role as a standard bulk commodity without extreme anomalies affecting the analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The non-dominant sub-codes fall into two groups based on unit price: standard refined oils priced between $0.96 and $1.00 per kilogram, and slightly premium grades reaching up to $1.13 per kilogram, such as sub-code 15119036. Despite identical descriptions, the price variations hint at minor differences in refinement or fraction quality. This structure confirms a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are largely undifferentiated and tied to global price indices rather than value-added features.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For exporters, the commodity-driven market limits pricing power, emphasizing cost control and volume efficiency over differentiation. Policy shifts, like the increased export levies for palm oil including HS 151190 implemented in May 2025 [USDA], heighten cost pressures and may squeeze margins, urging players to optimize supply chains and monitor regulatory changes closely.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In Q2 2025, Indonesia's palm oil exports under HS Code 151190 were highly concentrated, with China Mainland as the dominant importer, accounting for 14.93% of the total weight. The value ratio of 14.24% is slightly lower than the weight ratio, indicating a lower unit price around USD 0.94 per kilogram, which points to bulk purchases of standard-grade commodity palm oil by China. This pattern suggests that China is sourcing large volumes for industrial or food processing uses, emphasizing its role as a key market for Indonesia's palm oil exports in 2025 Q2.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The importers form two clear clusters: Asian nations like Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Malaysia, and the Philippines, which together represent over 40% of the weight, driven by regional demand for palm oil in cooking and biofuels. A second cluster includes the United States, Egypt, Russia, and Saudi Arabia, with smaller shares but consistent imports, likely for specialized industrial applications or re-export purposes. These clusters highlight the geographic pull of Asia due to cultural and economic ties, while other regions show diversified but lower-volume engagement.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, maintaining strong ties with Asian partners is crucial due to their high volume demand, but they must adapt to policy shifts like the increased export levies imposed in May 2025 [USDA], which could raise costs and affect competitiveness. Supply chains should focus on efficiency to offset potential price increases, and explore opportunities in non-Asian markets where unit prices are higher, such as in the United States or Russia, to diversify risk and capitalize on Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export 2025 Q2 trends.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q2 under HS Code 151190 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global indices and Indonesian policy shifts, not product differentiation. The May 2025 export levy increase directly raises costs. Supply chains must prioritize volume efficiency and cost control due to slim margins. High buyer concentration in Asia demands stable logistics for large, frequent shipments. This market lacks pricing power, making supply security and processing hub reliability critical.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution

• Track HS Code 151190 sub-codes weekly to spot price shifts between standard and premium grades. This helps optimize sales mix for better margins.
• Monitor high-frequency buyer purchase cycles using trade data. Align production and shipping schedules to their demand patterns to avoid stockouts or overstock.
• Analyze non-Asian import partners like the U.S. or Russia for higher unit prices. Diversify exports to these markets to reduce reliance on Asia and capture value.
• Update cost models monthly with latest levy and policy changes. Adjust pricing strategies quickly to protect margins against regulatory shifts.
• Use buyer transaction data to identify new small-volume clients. Engage them during market dips to build a broader customer base and reduce dependency on major buyers.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q2?

The Q2 2025 volatility was driven by Indonesia's export levy increase in May, which caused a slump in April and a surge in May-June as exporters rushed shipments. Seasonal production cycles and policy adjustments further amplified the fluctuations.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q2?

China dominated imports with 14.93% of total weight, followed by Asian partners like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and India, which collectively accounted for over 40% of demand. The U.S., Egypt, and Russia formed a smaller but consistent secondary cluster.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

Price differences stem from product grades: bulk commodity palm oil (e.g., sub-code 15119037 at $0.96/kg) dominated shipments to China, while premium grades (e.g., 15119036 at $1.13/kg) targeted markets like the U.S.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize high-volume buyers like MUSIM MAS and WILMAR, which drive 92% of trade, while optimizing supply chains to offset cost pressures from May 2025’s levy hike. Diversifying into non-Asian markets with higher unit prices (e.g., U.S., Russia) can mitigate risks.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Asian buyers benefit from stable bulk supply but face competition for standard-grade oil, while non-Asian buyers (e.g., U.S.) access premium grades at slightly higher prices, reflecting specialized industrial demand.

Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Palm oil exports under HS 151190 are primarily fungible bulk commodities for food processing and biofuels, with minor premium fractions used in higher-value industrial applications.

Detailed Monthly Report

Indonesia HS151190 Export Snapshot 2025 APR

Indonesia HS151190 Export Snapshot 2025 MAY

Indonesia HS151190 Export Snapshot 2025 JUN