Indonesia Palm Oil HS151190 Export Data 2025 September Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 September Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 in September 2025 show strong geographic concentration, with Pakistan as the dominant buyer, accounting for 14% of shipments by weight—suggesting bulk purchases at competitive prices. The market displays a clear split between high-frequency regional buyers and low-frequency, high-volume importers like China and the U.S., indicating diversified demand but reliance on Indonesia’s supply chain stability. This analysis, covering September 2025, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 September Export Background

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS Code 151190) includes vegetable oils and fractions, refined but not chemically modified, vital for food, biofuels, and cosmetics due to its versatility and stable global demand. In 2025, Indonesia adjusted export policies, raising levies to 10% for crude palm oil and temporarily tweaking taxes to balance domestic supply and biodiesel goals [GAPKI][FAS USDA]. As the world's top exporter, Indonesia's September 2025 exports hinge on these measures, ensuring competitiveness while meeting local needs.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 September Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In September 2025, Indonesia's palm oil exports under HS Code 151190 totaled 1.34 billion USD in value and 1.25 billion kg in volume, marking a sharp decline from the robust performance in prior months and reflecting heightened policy-driven volatility in the market.

Price and Volume Dynamics

The September figures show a notable month-over-month drop, with value falling 34% from August's 2.03 billion USD and volume decreasing 37% from 1.99 billion kg, indicating a contraction in export activity. This decline aligns with typical palm oil industry cycles where mid-year peaks often give way to lower output or adjusted trade flows due to harvest timing and stock management, but the magnitude here suggests external pressures overriding seasonal norms. Year-over-year comparisons are not provided, but the sequential weakness points to immediate headwinds rather than inherent demand shifts.

External Context and Outlook

The downturn in September 2025 exports can be directly linked to Indonesia's policy adjustments, including the raised export levies in May [USDA] and increased export taxes in July (Global Trade Alert), which dampened trader incentives and disrupted flows. Looking ahead, ongoing negotiations with the U.S. for zero tariffs (Ukragroconsult) could eventually bolster competitiveness, but near-term uncertainty persists amid these regulatory changes.

Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 September Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In September 2025, Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 are highly concentrated, with the sub-code 15119037 for refined palm oil fractions dominating at nearly half the value and weight share. This product, described as vegetable oils including palm oil fractions that are not crude but refined without chemical modification, has a unit price of 1.05 USD per kilogram, showing slight specialization compared to other variants. No extreme price anomalies are present in the data, with all unit prices ranging closely from 1.04 to 1.15 USD per kilogram.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining sub-codes form a cohesive group of refined palm oil products, with minor price variations suggesting different grades or fractions rather than distinct value-add stages. Sub-codes like 15119036 at 1.15 USD/kg and 15119020 at 1.08 USD/kg indicate possible higher and standard quality tiers, but all share similar bulk characteristics. This structure points to a fungible commodity trade, where products are largely interchangeable and likely tied to global palm oil price indices, rather than being differentiated manufactured goods.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

For Indonesia Palm Oil HS Code 151190 Export 2025 September, the commodity-like nature limits individual pricing power, making costs and margins sensitive to external policies. Recent export levies and tariff adjustments, such as those raised in mid-2025 [USDA], increase export costs and may compress profitability. Exporters should focus on cost efficiency and market diversification to mitigate these pressures, while monitoring ongoing trade negotiations (USDA) that could impact tariff structures.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 September Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In September 2025, Indonesia's Palm Oil exports under HS Code 151190 showed strong concentration, with PAKISTAN as the dominant partner, accounting for 13.99% of weight and 13.50% of value. The slight disparity where value ratio is lower than weight ratio suggests PAKISTAN may be receiving slightly lower-priced or bulk shipments, typical for commodity Palm Oil trades where price per kilogram hovers around 1.04 USD based on the data.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top partners form two clear clusters: first, high-frequency buyers like PAKISTAN, PHILIPPINES, and MYANMAR, with frequent shipments likely due to geographic proximity and established trade routes for regular supply. Second, low-frequency but high-volume importers such as CHINA MAINLAND and the UNITED STATES, indicating bulk purchases for large-scale consumption or processing, possibly driven by competitive pricing or strategic stockpiling.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For buyers of Indonesia Palm Oil, the geographic spread calls for diversifying sources to mitigate risks from Indonesia's export policy shifts, such as increased levies [Gapki] and temporary tax changes [Global Trade Alert], which could raise costs. Supply chains should prioritize flexible contracts and monitor policy updates to secure stable Palm Oil HS Code 151190 supplies in 2025.

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Indonesia Palm Oil (HS 151190) 2025 September Export: Action Plan for Palm Oil Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 September under HS Code 151190 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Price is driven by global palm oil indices and Indonesian export policies, like recent levy hikes. Slight price variations reflect minor quality grades, not significant value-add. Supply chain implications focus on high buyer and geographic concentration. This creates vulnerability to policy changes and demand shifts. Exporters must prioritize cost control and supply security to maintain margins.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Palm Oil Market Execution

• Monitor export policy updates weekly using trade data platforms. This helps anticipate cost changes from levies and adjust pricing strategies promptly.
• Diversify buyer portfolios by targeting low-frequency, high-value segments with customized offers. Reducing reliance on dominant buyers mitigates revenue risks from order reductions.
• Analyze shipment frequencies to key destinations like Pakistan and China. Use this to optimize logistics and avoid supply chain bottlenecks during peak periods.
• Track unit price trends across sub-codes under HS Code 151190. Identify slight quality premiums to negotiate better terms with buyers seeking specific grades.
• Engage in direct contract negotiations with large buyers using real-time trade data. Secure long-term agreements to stabilize sales despite policy fluctuations.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Palm Oil Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 September?

The sharp 34% drop in value and 37% in volume from August 2025 is primarily due to Indonesia's policy shifts, including raised export levies and taxes, which disrupted trade flows and dampened trader incentives.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 September?

Pakistan dominates with 13.5% of export value, followed by the Philippines and Myanmar, forming a cluster of high-frequency buyers, while China and the U.S. represent bulk importers with lower shipment frequency.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Palm Oil Export 2025 September partner countries?

Price variations stem from refined palm oil fractions, with sub-code 15119036 priced at 1.15 USD/kg (likely higher grade) versus 15119020 at 1.08 USD/kg, reflecting minor quality or processing differences.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Palm Oil export market?

Exporters must prioritize retaining high-value, high-frequency buyers (81.56% of trade) while diversifying to mitigate reliance on a few dominant clients, alongside monitoring policy-driven cost changes.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Palm Oil export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face supply chain risks from Indonesia's policy volatility; bulk importers like China should secure flexible contracts, while frequent buyers (e.g., Pakistan) may leverage stable trade routes.

Q6. How is Palm Oil typically used in this trade flow?

Refined palm oil fractions (HS 151190) are traded as fungible commodities, primarily for bulk food processing or industrial uses, with prices closely tied to global indices.