Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia’s Coal Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 270119 reveals stark geographic concentration, with India dominating volume (29.38%) but receiving lower-grade coal at 0.043 USD/kg, while China and premium buyers like South Korea pay higher prices. The market shows clear buyer clusters—high-volume energy giants and regional neighbors—highlighting reliance on key Asian markets. This analysis, covering 2025 Q3, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q3 Export Background
Indonesia’s coal exports under HS Code 270119—covering non-agglomerated coal (excluding anthracite and bituminous)—fuel power generation and industrial sectors globally, maintaining steady demand despite energy transitions. In 2025, new policies like the domestic pricing mandate [S&P Global] disrupted trade, with Indonesia’s Q3 exports facing uncertainty as key buyers hesitated. As the world’s top thermal coal exporter, Indonesia’s HS Code 270119 shipments remain critical to global supply chains, even as production dips [Ember].
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 reached approximately 4.39 billion USD in value and 82.25 billion kg in weight, showing a mixed performance with volume growth amid value pressures.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Quarter-over-quarter, the value of Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export decreased slightly from 4.49 billion USD in Q2 to 4.39 billion USD in Q3 2025, while weight increased from 77.49 billion kg to 82.25 billion kg. This divergence suggests lower average prices, likely driven by typical coal market cycles where oversupply or competitive pricing can pressure values despite steady export volumes. The data indicates resilience in volume but highlights price sensitivity in global thermal coal trade.
External Context and Outlook
The observed price volatility aligns with Indonesia's new coal export regulations, such as the March 2025 mandate requiring thermal coal exports to be priced at the domestic index [S&P Global], which disrupted contracts and likely contributed to lower realized prices. Additionally, coal production declines in early 2025 (Ember) may have influenced supply dynamics, reinforcing cautious market sentiment for Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export in 2025 Q3 and beyond.
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 are entirely dominated by a single product type: 'Coal; (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated'. This sub-code accounts for 100% of the export value, weight, and quantity, with a unit price of approximately $0.05 per kilogram, confirming a highly specialized trade in low-value, bulk commodities. No extreme price anomalies are present in this period.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
With no other sub-codes under HS Code 270119, the export structure is uniform, consisting solely of lower-grade coal excluding anthracite and bituminous varieties. This indicates a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where products are standardized and likely priced against global indices based on weight and basic quality parameters, rather than differentiated by value-add stages or high grades.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
For Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export 2025 Q3, the uniform, low-value nature limits pricing power, making it vulnerable to global market fluctuations. However, recent policy changes, such as Indonesia's mandate for thermal coal exports to be priced at the domestic index [S&P Global], could enhance revenue control but risk reducing trade volumes due to market uncertainty. Strategic focus should prioritize compliance with regulations and cost efficiency to maintain competitiveness.
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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
In Q3 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 were highly concentrated, with India as the dominant importer, accounting for 29.38% of weight but only 23.85% of value. This value-weight disparity suggests India receives lower-unit-price coal, potentially lower-grade, at approximately 0.043 USD/kg, compared to China Mainland's 0.049 USD/kg, indicating varied product grades in the Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export 2025 Q3.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
The top importers form two clusters: high-volume buyers like India and China Mainland, driven by massive energy needs and geographic proximity, and regional neighbors like Philippines and Malaysia, which import moderate volumes for similar power generation demands. South Korea and Japan represent a cluster with higher unit prices, possibly due to preferences for better-quality coal.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Exporters should prioritize stable relationships with key Asian markets but prepare for regulatory shifts, as Indonesia's new coal pricing mandate [SSEK] may disrupt contracts and elevate costs. Diversifying to buyers willing to pay premium prices, like South Korea, could mitigate risks from potential export levies (SSEK).
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | 1.05B | 24.18M | 767.00 | 24.17B |
| CHINA MAINLAND | 770.44M | 15.87M | 304.00 | 15.87B |
| PHILIPPINES | 512.50M | 9.41M | 253.00 | 9.41B |
| MALAYSIA | 481.46M | 6.37M | 234.00 | 6.37B |
| SOUTH KOREA | 395.08M | 7.01M | 131.00 | 7.01B |
| BANGLADESH | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 in 2025 Q3 reveal a market defined by bulk commodity traits. Price is driven by global indices and product grade, with lower-quality coal moving at thin margins. Supply chains face high concentration in key Asian buyers like India and China, creating reliance on steady demand. Recent domestic pricing mandates add regulatory risk, potentially disrupting contracts and shifting trade flows. The uniform, low-value nature of Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q3 limits pricing power but emphasizes volume and cost efficiency.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution
- Track high-frequency buyer purchase cycles to anticipate demand spikes and avoid stockouts. Why: These buyers drive 83.76% of revenue, and timing shipments to their cycles secures cash flow.
- Analyze unit prices by destination to identify premium markets like South Korea and adjust sales focus. Why: This maximizes returns per ton and reduces dependency on low-margin, high-volume buyers.
- Monitor regulatory updates from Indonesian authorities to adapt contract terms swiftly. Why: New pricing rules can disrupt deals, and early compliance prevents trade halts.
- Diversify buyer engagement to include infrequent large purchasers for balance. Why: This reduces vulnerability to demand shifts from top clients and taps into project-based opportunities.
- Benchmark coal grades against global indices to maintain competitive pricing. Why: As a standardized commodity, alignment with indices ensures market relevance and minimizes negotiation friction.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coal Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q3?
The slight decline in export value (-2.2% QoQ) despite higher volumes reflects price pressures from Indonesia's new coal pricing mandate and global oversupply, with bulk-grade coal dominating trade.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q3?
India (23.85% of value) and China Mainland are the top importers, followed by regional buyers like the Philippines and Malaysia, with South Korea and Japan paying premium unit prices.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?
Price gaps stem from grade preferences—India receives lower-grade coal at $0.043/kg, while South Korea/Japan pay up to $0.049/kg, likely for higher-quality standardized bulk commodities.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?
Prioritize high-volume frequent buyers (83.76% of value) but diversify to premium markets like South Korea to offset risks from pricing mandates and overconcentration in India/China.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Buyers face stable bulk supply but must adapt to Indonesia’s pricing regulations, with India benefiting from lower costs and Japan/South Korea securing consistent higher-grade coal.
Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?
Exclusively low-grade, non-agglomerated coal (HS 270119) is traded for power generation, with standardized bulk shipments priced by weight and basic quality metrics.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS270119 Export Snapshot 2025 JUL
Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia's Coal (HS Code 270119) Export in Q2 2025 relies heavily on India (36.4% volume), with regional clusters posing supply risks. Data sourced from yTrade.
Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 September Overview
Indonesia's Coal (HS Code 270119) Export in September 2025 shows India as top buyer by volume, while China and Malaysia pay premium for high-grade coal, per yTrade data. New pricing rules add compliance costs.
