Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways
Indonesia's Coal Export under HS Code 270119 in 2025 Q2 shows heavy reliance on India, which accounts for 36.4% of volume but lower unit prices, indicating dominant low-grade thermal coal shipments. The market is geographically concentrated, with India, the Philippines, and Malaysia forming a high-volume cluster, while China and Vietnam drive moderate demand. Buyers exhibit strong regional clustering, raising supply chain risks if policy shifts occur. This analysis covers 2025 Q2 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q2 Export Background
Indonesia’s Coal (HS Code 270119), which includes non-agglomerated coal excluding anthracite and bituminous, fuels power generation and industrial processes globally, maintaining steady demand despite energy transitions. In Q2 2025, Indonesia’s export policies for this commodity remain under scrutiny, with the government considering export levies on high-grade thermal coal to boost revenues while avoiding outright bans [Discovery Alert]. As a top global coal exporter, Indonesia’s strategic adjustments aim to balance domestic value addition with international trade commitments, making its 2025 export regulations critical for suppliers and buyers alike.
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary
Key Observations
In Q2 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 reached a total value of 4.49 billion USD and a volume of 77.49 billion kg, marking a slight decline in value compared to the previous quarter while volume held steady.
Price and Volume Dynamics
Quarter-over-quarter, the value of Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export decreased by approximately 6% from Q1's 4.78 billion USD, though volume saw a marginal increase of 0.8%. This dip is consistent with typical seasonal patterns in coal trade, where post-winter demand often softens, but the sharp June drop—value plunging to 1.27 billion USD from May's peak—points to external disruptions overriding normal industry cycles.
External Context and Outlook
The June volatility aligns closely with Indonesia's exploration of export levies on high-grade thermal coal, as reported by [Discovery Alert], which likely spurred anticipatory export cuts. Updated regulations under MOF Decree No. 6/KM.4/2025 [SSEK] added further uncertainty, reinforcing cautious trade behavior. With policy shifts ongoing, Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export may face continued instability through 2025.
Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown
Product Specialization and Concentration
For Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export in 2025 Q2, the market is entirely concentrated on a single product type: Coal other than anthracite or bituminous, not agglomerated. This sub-code accounts for all export value and weight, with a unit price of 0.06 USD per kilogram, confirming its nature as a low-value bulk commodity. There are no anomalous sub-codes to isolate, as this is the sole entry.
Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis
With only one sub-code present, the product structure is homogeneous, indicating no differentiation by grade or processing stage. This uniformity suggests that Indonesia's exports under this code are traded as a fungible bulk commodity, closely linked to global price indices rather than value-added characteristics.
Strategic Implication and Pricing Power
The homogeneous nature limits pricing power for individual exporters, as competition is based on volume and cost efficiency. Indonesia's government is considering export levies on coal to increase revenues [Discovery Alert], which could squeeze margins and shift focus toward cost management for players in the Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export market for 2025 Q2.
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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration
Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role
In 2025 Q2, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 are heavily concentrated in India, which dominates with 36.4% of the weight and 31.9% of the value. India's lower value ratio compared to its weight ratio points to a lower unit price per kilogram, indicating that the coal shipped is likely of a lower grade, such as thermal coal for energy generation.
Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes
The top partners form two clear clusters: high-volume buyers like India, the Philippines, and Malaysia, driven by their large energy needs and geographic proximity, which reduce shipping costs. A second cluster includes China, Vietnam, and Bangladesh, which import moderate volumes due to growing industrial demand and existing trade routes. South Korea and Taiwan represent smaller, more selective buyers, possibly focusing on higher-grade coal for specific uses.
Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications
Market players should prepare for potential policy shifts, such as export levies on high-grade coal, which could impact pricing and supply chains [Discovery Alert]. Diversifying buyer bases beyond dominant markets like India may mitigate risks, while monitoring Indonesian regulatory updates is essential for stable 2025 Q2 operations.
| Country | Value | Quantity | Frequency | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA | 1.43B | 29.87M | 812.00 | 28.23B |
| PHILIPPINES | 590.70M | 10.00M | 290.00 | 10.00B |
| MALAYSIA | 502.76M | 6.18M | 247.00 | 6.18B |
| CHINA MAINLAND | 463.39M | 9.47M | 191.00 | 9.47B |
| VIETNAM | 395.23M | 6.63M | 156.00 | 6.63B |
| BANGLADESH | ****** | ****** | ****** | ****** |
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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion
Strategic Supply Chain Overview
Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q2 under HS Code 270119 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by global thermal coal indices and volume-based competition, not product differentiation. Supply chains face concentration risk. Over one-third of volume goes to India at lower unit prices. High-value, high-frequency buyers dominate 86% of value, creating reliance on a few key partners. Geopolitical and policy shifts, like potential export levies, threaten cost structures and trade flows. This market requires a focus on supply security and cost efficiency.
Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution
- Secure multi-year contracts with top high-frequency buyers using shipment history data. This locks in stable volume and reduces exposure to spot market volatility.
- Diversify your buyer portfolio by targeting low-frequency segments in Southeast Asia. This mitigates risk if dominant markets like India reduce imports.
- Monitor Indonesian regulatory announcements weekly for changes to export levies or quotas. Early awareness allows for pricing adjustments and avoids margin compression.
- Analyze shipment data to optimize logistics routes to high-volume partners. Lower freight costs directly improve competitiveness in a low-margin environment.
- Track grade-specific demand shifts in markets like South Korea or Taiwan. This identifies potential premium pricing opportunities beyond standard thermal coal.
Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Coal Export Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q2?
The Q2 2025 decline in export value (-6% vs. Q1) stems from seasonal softening and policy uncertainty, including potential export levies on coal, which triggered a sharp June drop in shipments.
Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q2?
India dominates with 36.4% of export weight, followed by the Philippines and Malaysia, forming a high-volume cluster driven by energy demand and proximity.
Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?
All exports are homogeneous low-grade thermal coal (HS 270119), but India’s lower value-to-weight ratio suggests bulk pricing for energy use, unlike smaller buyers possibly paying premiums for logistics or niche needs.
Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?
Exporters must secure long-term contracts with high-value, high-frequency buyers (85.96% of trade) while diversifying to smaller segments to offset risks from potential levy-driven cost hikes.
Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?
Major buyers like India benefit from stable bulk supply, but smaller markets face vulnerability to policy shifts; all must monitor Indonesian regulatory updates for pricing stability.
Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?
The exported coal is primarily low-grade thermal coal, used for power generation in energy-intensive markets like India and Southeast Asia.
Detailed Monthly Report
Indonesia HS270119 Export Snapshot 2025 APR
Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 October Overview
Indonesia's Coal (HS Code 270119) Export in October 2025 shows high-volume, low-value trade dominated by India and China, with yTrade data revealing 23.83% weight share but 20.40% value from India.
Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview
Indonesia’s Coal (HS Code 270119) Export in 2025 Q3 shows India leading volume (29.38%) at lower prices, while China and South Korea pay premium rates, per yTrade data.
