Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 August Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 August Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia’s coal exports under HS Code 270119 in August 2025 reveal India as the dominant buyer, accounting for 34% of shipments but purchasing lower-grade coal at reduced prices, reflecting its bulk energy needs. The market shows strong geographic concentration, with regional buyers like the Philippines and Malaysia balancing India’s dominance, while Japan imports higher-quality coal for specialized use. This analysis, based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database, highlights both the product’s grade variations and the strategic importance of diversifying export markets amid regulatory shifts.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 August Export Background

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119—covering non-agglomerated coal (excluding anthracite and bituminous)—remain vital for global energy and steel production, sustaining steady demand. Recent policy shifts, including Indonesia's March 2025 export pricing mandates [S&P Global] and potential levies on high-grade thermal coal [Discovery Alert], signal tighter market controls. As a top exporter, Indonesia’s 2025 August trade flows for HS Code 270119 will hinge on balancing domestic priorities with global buyer needs.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 August Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 for August 2025 reached a value of 1.57 billion USD with a volume of 30.09 billion kg, marking a notable recovery from the previous months and highlighting the resilience in the Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export 2025 August performance.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Month-over-month, export value surged by approximately 19% from July to August, while volume increased by 24%, reversing the declines seen in June and July. This rebound aligns with coal industry cycles, where late-year demand often rises due to seasonal stock replenishment for power generation and industrial activity in key markets. The earlier dip likely reflected temporary market adjustments rather than a structural shift, as export weights remained volatile but trended upward overall in 2025.

External Context and Outlook

The volatility in exports is directly tied to Indonesia's regulatory changes, including a new mandate for thermal coal exports to be priced at the domestic index, which disrupted contracts and trades as reported by [S&P Global]. Additionally, potential export levies on high-grade coal (Discovery Alert) and a reported production decline in early 2025 (Ember) are shaping supply constraints. These policies are expected to sustain uncertainty, influencing both volume and value trends in the near term.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 August Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In August 2025, Indonesia's export of Coal under HS Code 270119 is completely concentrated on a single product: Other coal, not agglomerated. This sub-code represents the entire export value of $1.57 billion and weight of 30.09 billion kilograms, with a unit price of $0.05 per kilogram, indicating a highly specialized trade in raw bulk material.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The export structure consists solely of unprocessed coal without agglomeration, confirming a trade in homogeneous, fungible commodities. This lack of variety suggests that Indonesia's exports under this code are typically priced against global thermal coal indices, with no differentiation by value-add stage or quality grade.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Indonesia likely has limited pricing power due to the commodity nature of these exports, making prices susceptible to global market fluctuations. Recent policies, such as export pricing mandates [S&P Global], may further constrain Indonesia's ability to influence prices, urging a focus on volume management rather than premium strategies.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 August Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

In August 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 show strong geographic concentration, with India as the dominant buyer, accounting for 34.24% of shipment frequency and 28.15% of weight. India's value share of 22.63% is lower than its weight share, indicating purchases of lower-grade coal at a reduced price per kg, around $0.042 USD/kg based on the data. This pattern highlights India's role as a bulk importer of cost-effective coal for energy needs.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form three clusters. First, high-volume buyers like India and China Mainland focus on large quantities of lower-priced coal, driven by high energy demand and cost efficiency. Second, regional partners such as the Philippines and Malaysia import moderate volumes, likely due to geographic proximity and stable supply chains. Third, countries like Japan show a higher value-to-weight ratio, suggesting preferences for higher-quality coal, possibly for specialized industrial use.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Market players should note Indonesia's regulatory shifts, including updated export bans [SSEK] and pricing mandates (SSEK), which may disrupt supply and increase costs. For stability, diversify export markets or adapt to potential levy impositions on high-grade coal. Supply chains must prioritize compliance with new policies to mitigate risks in the Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export 2025 August landscape.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 August Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August under HS Code 270119 operates as a bulk commodity trade. Prices are driven by global thermal coal indices and buyer-specific grade preferences, not product differentiation. High buyer and geographic concentration increases vulnerability to demand shifts or policy changes. Recent Indonesian regulations, like export pricing mandates and potential levies, add supply chain risk. This market requires a volume-focused strategy with strict compliance to maintain supply security.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Diversify your buyer portfolio using trade data. Target infrequent bulk buyers and regular smaller partners to reduce reliance on a few major clients. This spreads risk and stabilizes revenue.
• Monitor real-time regulatory updates from Indonesian authorities. Adjust contracts and pricing immediately to comply with new mandates. This prevents shipment halts and financial penalties.
• Analyze shipment data for quality-based price clustering. Negotiate premiums with partners like Japan that value higher grades. This maximizes value from existing volume.
• Use buyer frequency data to forecast demand cycles. Plan inventory and logistics to avoid overstock or shortages. This optimizes capital and operational efficiency.
• Develop alternative supply routes for key markets. Secure logistics for partners like India and China to mitigate disruption from policy shifts. This ensures delivery reliability.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August?

The rebound in August 2025 reflects seasonal demand recovery, with a 19% value and 24% volume surge from July. Regulatory shifts, including export pricing mandates and potential levies, are creating volatility in trade terms.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August?

India dominates with 34.24% of shipments and 28.15% of weight, followed by China Mainland. Regional buyers like the Philippines and Malaysia also feature prominently due to proximity and stable supply chains.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 August partner countries?

Price variations stem from grade preferences: India pays $0.042/kg for bulk thermal coal, while Japan imports higher-value coal for specialized uses, reflecting divergent energy and industrial needs.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-volume buyers (86% of trade) while diversifying into smaller segments to mitigate reliance on a few dominant partners amid regulatory uncertainty.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face stable bulk supply from Indonesia but must monitor policy risks like pricing mandates. India’s cost advantage contrasts with Japan’s premium-grade needs, shaping procurement strategies.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

Exclusively unprocessed "Other coal, not agglomerated" (HS 270119) is traded, indicating raw material for power generation or industrial fuel, with no value-added processing.