Indonesia Coal HS270119 Export Data 2025 February Overview

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 February Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 in February 2025 reveal a market dominated by India, which accounted for 35.28% of volume, signaling high buyer concentration and potential pricing pressure for lower-grade shipments. Geographic reliance is split between energy-hungry neighbors like China and Southeast Asian markets dependent on Indonesian supply, exposing regional trade risks. Exporters must brace for regulatory shifts, including potential levies and earnings retention policies, which could disrupt cash flow. This analysis, covering February 2025, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 February Export Background

Indonesia’s coal exports under HS Code 270119—non-agglomerated coal (excluding anthracite and bituminous)—fuel power generation and industrial processes globally, maintaining steady demand despite energy transitions. In 2025, Indonesia tightened export earnings rules, requiring coal exporters to keep proceeds onshore for a year, a shift from the previous 30% mandate [SP Global]. As a top global supplier, Indonesia’s February 2025 coal exports reflect this policy’s impact, balancing revenue goals with market stability.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 February Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In February 2025, Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 reached a value of $1.56 billion with a volume of 25.38 billion kilograms, showing a slight dip in value compared to the previous month.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Month-over-month, export value fell by about 7% from January's $1.68 billion, while volume held steady at approximately 25.38 billion kg. This decline in value per unit aligns with typical seasonal patterns, as global coal demand often softens after the winter heating season, reducing price pressure. The consistent volume points to stable production and export operations in Indonesia's coal sector during this period.

External Context and Outlook

The value drop may partly stem from market anticipation of Indonesia's new export earnings policy, which requires natural resource exporters to park all proceeds onshore for at least one year effective March 1, 2025 [SP Global]. This regulatory shift likely prompted exporters to adjust pricing and financial strategies in February, contributing to short-term volatility. Ongoing policy developments could continue to influence Indonesia's coal export trends through 2025.

Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 February Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In February 2025, Indonesia's export under HS Code 270119 is entirely concentrated in a single sub-code for non-anthracite and non-bituminous coal, not agglomerated, with a unit price of 0.06 USD per kilogram. This low price point confirms it as a bulk commodity with no significant value-added processing, representing the entire export volume for this period.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The structure consists solely of this raw, pulverized coal form, indicating a homogenous bulk product traded based on weight and standard grade classifications. This lack of diversification suggests a fungible commodity market, where trade is driven by volume and basic quality metrics rather than differentiated features or processing stages.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

The low unit price implies limited pricing power for exporters, relying on volume-driven revenues. Recent policies, such as Indonesia's mandate for natural resource exporters to park all export proceeds onshore for at least one year starting March 2025 [SP Global], could further strain cash flow and emphasize cost efficiency in Indonesia Coal HS Code 270119 Export 2025 February operations.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 February Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's coal exports under HS Code 270119 in February 2025 show strong geographic concentration, with India as the dominant buyer, accounting for 35.28% of the weight and 31.05% of the value. The lower value share compared to weight share for India suggests that Indonesia exports lower-grade coal there, likely at competitive prices, while other markets may receive higher-quality coal.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The top importers form two main clusters: first, high-volume neighbors like India and China, driven by their massive energy needs and geographic proximity, which reduce shipping costs. Second, Southeast Asian countries such as the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam, which rely on Indonesian coal for power generation due to regional trade ties and insufficient domestic production.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Market players should prepare for increased regulatory scrutiny, such as Indonesia's policy mandating onshore retention of export earnings [SP Global], which could affect cash flow. Additionally, potential export levies on coal (SP Global) might raise costs, urging exporters to diversify markets and lock in contracts early to mitigate risks.

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Indonesia Coal (HS 270119) 2025 February Export: Action Plan for Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Coal Export 2025 February under HS Code 270119 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price depends on coal grade and global index trends, not product features. Supply chains focus on volume security and cost-efficient logistics due to low unit value. Heavy reliance on a few high-volume buyers and key markets like India increases exposure to demand shifts or policy changes. New rules, like mandatory onshore retention of export earnings, add cash flow pressure.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Coal Market Execution

• Use transaction frequency data to predict buyer order cycles. This prevents inventory overstock and aligns production with demand.
• Analyze buyer clusters to target high-value, low-frequency purchasers. Diversifying your client base reduces reliance on a few bulk buyers.
• Monitor real-time shipping costs and trade routes to key markets like India and China. Optimizing logistics cuts expenses and protects slim margins.
• Track policy updates, such as potential export levies, through trade intelligence platforms. Early awareness allows for contract adjustments to avoid financial shocks.
• Leverage HS Code 270119 shipment data in price negotiations. Demonstrating market patterns strengthens your position with volume buyers.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Coal Export 2025 February?

The slight 7% month-over-month value drop in February 2025 reflects seasonal demand softening post-winter, compounded by exporters adjusting to Indonesia’s new policy requiring onshore retention of export earnings starting March 2025.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Coal Export 2025 February?

India dominates with 35.28% of the export weight, followed by China and Southeast Asian markets like the Philippines, Malaysia, and Vietnam, which rely on Indonesian coal for power generation.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Coal Export 2025 February partner countries?

India’s lower value share (31.05%) versus weight suggests it receives lower-grade, cheaper coal (0.06 USD/kg), while other markets may secure higher-quality shipments at marginally better prices.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-value, high-frequency buyers (84.41% of revenue) while diversifying into occasional bulk purchasers to mitigate reliance on a few dominant clients.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in India and Southeast Asia benefit from stable bulk supply, but should monitor policy risks like export levies or cash-flow constraints from Indonesia’s earnings retention rule.

Q6. How is Coal typically used in this trade flow?

The exported non-agglomerated coal (HS 270119) is a raw, pulverized bulk commodity primarily used for power generation and industrial energy needs in importing countries.