Indonesia Bituminous Coal HS270112 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia's Bituminous Coal (HS Code 270112) exports in 2025 Q2 reveal Japan's premium pricing ($0.107/kg) vs China's competitive cluster, with new financial rules squeezing margins. Data from yTrade.

Indonesia Bituminous Coal (HS 270112) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia's Bituminous Coal (HS Code 270112) exports in 2025 Q2 show a sharp geographic split, with Japan and China Mainland dominating over half the volume—Japan paying a premium ($0.107/kg) for higher-grade coal, while China leads a competitive-price cluster. Exporters must navigate Indonesia’s new financial rule holding 100% of proceeds domestically for a year, squeezing margins on high-volume, low-price contracts. This analysis, covering 2025 Q2, is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Bituminous Coal (HS 270112) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia’s Bituminous Coal (HS Code 270112) is a key energy resource, with global industries like power generation and steel production relying on its high heat output. In 2025 Q2, Indonesia’s export policies tightened under Permendag 8/2025, emphasizing downstream processing and requiring export proceeds to stay in local banks for 12 months [Permitindo, Orrick]. Despite regulatory shifts, Indonesia remains a top exporter, supplying bulk shipments to major Asian markets like China and India, balancing demand with compliance challenges.

Indonesia Bituminous Coal (HS 270112) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In 2025 Q2, Indonesia's export of Bituminous Coal under HS Code 270112 reached approximately 1.26 billion USD in value and 14.68 billion kg in volume, reflecting a contraction from the previous quarter amid regulatory and market shifts.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-over-quarter, both value and volume declined, with value dropping by about 11% and weight by 1% compared to Q1 2025. This dip aligns with typical seasonal patterns for coal exports, where demand often softens in Q2 as heating needs diminish in key Asian markets like China and Japan post-winter. The modest volume decrease suggests stable bulk shipment operations, but the sharper value fall indicates potential price pressures or efficiency challenges in the supply chain.

External Context and Outlook

The observed contraction is partly driven by Indonesia's new regulatory frameworks, such as [Permendag 8/2025] emphasizing downstream processing and Government Regulation No. 8/2025 requiring export proceeds retention in local banks (orrick.com). These policies, aimed at boosting domestic value addition and financial stability, have introduced compliance hurdles that likely dampened export momentum in Q2. Looking ahead, exporters must navigate these rules while monitoring regional demand recovery to stabilize Indonesia Bituminous Coal HS Code 270112 Export 2025 Q2 performance.

Indonesia Bituminous Coal (HS 270112) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

The Indonesia Bituminous Coal HS Code 270112 Export in 2025 Q2 is heavily concentrated in sub-code 27011290, which represents the bulk of trade with a 69% frequency share and 67% weight share. This sub-code, described as 'Coal; bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated', has a unit price of 0.08 USD per kilogram, lower than the other variant, indicating a focus on high-volume, lower-value exports. The minor unit price disparity between sub-codes suggests no extreme anomalies, with both falling within a narrow range for bulk commodity trade.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The market structure under HS Code 270112 consists of two primary variants based on unit price differentiation: a standard bulk coal (27011290 at 0.08 USD/kg) and a slightly premium grade (27011210 at 0.10 USD/kg), both sharing the same physical description. This implies a trade in fungible bulk commodities, where pricing is likely tied to global indices and minor quality adjustments, rather than significant value-added processing or manufacturing differentiation.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Exporters of Indonesia Bituminous Coal face limited pricing power due to the commodity nature, with strategic focus required on regulatory compliance, such as retaining 100% of export proceeds in Indonesian banks under new rules [Permitindo] and adapting to downstream processing incentives. The 2025 Q2 export landscape emphasizes volume-driven operations, where cost efficiency and adherence to policies like Government Regulation No. 8/2025 (Orrick) are critical for maintaining market access.

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Indonesia Bituminous Coal (HS 270112) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia's Bituminous Coal HS Code 270112 Export in 2025 Q2 is heavily concentrated, with Japan and China Mainland together accounting for over half of the total export weight. Japan is the dominant value partner, paying a higher unit price (approximately $0.107/kg) compared to China Mainland ($0.070/kg), suggesting it receives a higher grade of coal.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Two main buyer clusters emerge. The first is a high-volume, competitive price group led by China Mainland, which includes Taiwan, Malaysia, and Vietnam; these likely secure large contracts for standard-grade thermal coal. The second is a higher-value cluster including Japan and South Korea, which likely pay a premium for coal with specific quality specs for their industrial and energy sectors. A smaller, niche cluster with Italy may involve specialized coal for specific industrial uses.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

For Indonesian exporters, this split means maintaining flexible supply chains to meet different quality demands. The new rule requiring 100% of export proceeds to be held domestically for a year [Orrick] will directly impact cash flow for all shipments. Exporters must now factor this financial constraint into contracts, especially for the large-volume, lower-margin sales to the first cluster, to ensure compliance and maintain profitability.

CountryValueQuantityFrequencyWeight
JAPAN462.23M4.31M82.004.31B
CHINA MAINLAND301.68M4.32M68.004.32B
CHINA TAIWAN180.45M2.09M53.002.09B
MALAYSIA78.01M1.05M18.001.05B
VIETNAM73.39M928.05K25.00928.05M
SOUTH KOREA************************

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Indonesia Bituminous Coal (HS 270112) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Bituminous Coal Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The Indonesia Bituminous Coal Export 2025 Q2 for HS Code 270112 operates as a bulk commodity market. Price is driven by two factors: quality grade differences and alignment with global coal indices. The supply chain faces high concentration risk. Over 90% of value comes from a few high-volume buyers. New regulations also require holding all export proceeds in domestic banks for one year. This impacts cash flow and contract flexibility.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Bituminous Coal Market Execution

  • Segment buyers by order frequency and value using trade data. Focus retention efforts on the dominant high-volume cluster to protect against revenue loss from any single buyer exit.
  • Track real-time unit prices for sub-codes 27011290 and 27011210. Adjust sales offers to reflect quality premiums for markets like Japan and avoid undervaluation in bulk contracts.
  • Monitor regulatory updates like Government Regulation No. 8/2025. Integrate compliance checks into contract templates to ensure all deals meet domestic proceeds retention rules and avoid penalties.
  • Analyze destination-specific purchase patterns quarterly. Develop flexible logistics plans to shift volumes between high-volume/low-margin and niche/high-margin markets as demand changes.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Bituminous Coal Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Bituminous Coal Export 2025 Q2?

The decline in value (-11%) and volume (-1%) reflects seasonal demand shifts and new regulations requiring export proceeds to be held domestically, impacting cash flow and compliance.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Bituminous Coal Export 2025 Q2?

Japan and China Mainland dominate, accounting for over half of export weight, with Japan paying a premium unit price ($0.107/kg) compared to China ($0.070/kg).

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Bituminous Coal Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

The price gap stems from grade differentiation: Japan and South Korea pay more for higher-quality coal, while China’s cluster secures standard-grade bulk shipments at lower rates.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Bituminous Coal export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with dominant high-volume buyers (91% of value) and adapt to financial constraints from new proceeds-retention rules to maintain compliance.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Bituminous Coal export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers in Japan/South Korea can expect stable premium-grade supply, while China’s cluster benefits from competitive bulk pricing but faces reliance on Indonesian policy shifts.

Q6. How is Bituminous Coal typically used in this trade flow?

The coal is primarily traded as a bulk commodity for thermal energy generation, with minor quality variations for industrial or niche applications.

Detailed Monthly Report

Indonesia HS270112 Export Snapshot 2025 APR

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Indonesia HS270112 Export Snapshot 2025 JUN

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