Chile Frozen Salmon HS030313 Export Data 2025 Q3 Overview

Chile Frozen Salmon (HS 030313) 2025 Q3 Export: Key Takeaways

Chile Frozen salmon (HS Code 030313) exports in 2025 Q3 reveal a sharply segmented market, with China driving premium-grade demand at high prices while Russia dominates bulk volume at lower costs. The data confirms a clear geographic split: China and Taiwan form a high-value cluster, Russia and Kazakhstan focus on commodity volumes, and mid-tier Asian markets balance both. Exporters must prioritize premium margins in China while securing volume flows to Russia, especially as U.S. tariffs make diversification to the EU and stable mid-tier partners critical. This analysis, covering 2025 Q3, is based on verified Customs data from the yTrade database.

Chile Frozen Salmon (HS 030313) 2025 Q3 Export Background

What is HS Code 030313?

HS Code 030313 covers Fish; frozen, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99. This product is primarily used in food processing, retail, and hospitality sectors, with stable global demand driven by its versatility and nutritional value. Chile’s Frozen salmon HS Code 030313 Export 2025 Q3 performance is closely tied to these industries.

Current Context and Strategic Position

Chile’s Frozen salmon exports under HS Code 030313 face a shifting trade landscape in 2025. The EU-Chile Interim Trade Agreement simplifies tariff access for Chilean salmon, requiring proper origin documentation like EUR.1 certificates [Taxation-Customs]. Meanwhile, a 10% U.S. tariff persists, pressuring export prices [Top Ranked Legal]. Chile remains a key global supplier, but market vigilance is critical amid these policy and pricing challenges.

Chile Frozen Salmon (HS 030313) 2025 Q3 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

Chile Frozen salmon HS Code 030313 Export 2025 Q3 reached $118.77 million in value on 38.47 million kg in volume, marking a strong seasonal peak with September alone contributing $49.66 million.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarterly growth was robust, with Q3 value rising 37% from Q2’s $74.04 million, while volume increased 24% to 38.47 million kg. This surge aligns with typical late-year harvesting and export cycles for frozen salmon. However, the implied average price per kg fell slightly, reflecting competitive pressure, likely influenced by the 10% U.S. tariff [spglobal.com] that dampened margins despite higher shipment volumes.

External Context and Outlook

The U.S. tariff (spglobal.com) continued to weigh on export pricing in 2025, though trade diversification efforts—such as leveraging the EU-Chile Interim Trade Agreement [taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu]—helped sustain volume growth. Looking ahead, demand from alternative markets may support stability, but price recovery remains contingent on broader trade policy developments.

Chile Frozen Salmon (HS 030313) 2025 Q3 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

For Chile Frozen salmon HS Code 030313 Export in 2025 Q3, the market is overwhelmingly concentrated in sub-code 03031310, which covers frozen Atlantic salmon excluding fillets and other parts. This sub-code holds almost the entire trade share by value and weight, with a unit price of 3.06 USD per kilogram, as per yTrade data. The stark price difference from other sub-codes, such as 03031340 at 7.57 USD/kg, points to a clear specialization in this product form. Sub-codes with zero unit prices, like 03031320 and 03031330, are isolated anomalies and excluded from further analysis due to their negligible impact.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining non-anomalous sub-codes fall into two categories: the bulk standard frozen salmon (03031310) and a higher-value segment (03031340). This split indicates that while the majority of exports are fungible commodities traded in large volumes, there is a smaller market for premium or possibly better-processed variants. The structure leans towards commodity trade, where prices are likely influenced by global supply and demand, but the premium segment shows some product differentiation.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

Chile's heavy reliance on the standard sub-code suggests strong but vulnerable pricing power in bulk markets, while the premium sub-code offers a path for value addition. However, external pressures like the 10% US tariff on Chilean salmon [spglobal.com] could squeeze margins, making it crucial to focus on diversifying into higher-value exports to mitigate tariff impacts and enhance competitiveness.

Check Detailed HS 030313 Breakdown

Chile Frozen Salmon (HS 030313) 2025 Q3 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Chile Frozen salmon HS Code 030313 Export 2025 Q3 shows two dominant players: China Mainland leads by value at 41.79% share, while Russia leads by volume with a 37.62% weight share. The large gap between China's high value share and lower weight share (20.89%) means it pays much more per kilogram, confirming it buys premium, higher-grade salmon. Russia's reverse pattern (low 4.10% value share vs. high 37.62% weight share) shows it focuses on cheaper, bulk purchases.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

Three clear clusters emerge. First, China and Taiwan form a premium market cluster, both showing high value relative to weight, targeting quality-conscious consumers. Second, Russia and Kazakhstan form a bulk commodity cluster, moving high volume at low prices, likely for price-sensitive markets or further processing. Third, smaller Asian partners like Thailand and the Philippines, plus Lithuania, represent mid-tier markets balancing volume and value for regional distribution.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters should split strategy: protect premium margins in China and Taiwan, and defend volume flows to Russia. The 10% U.S. tariff [Tariffs disrupt Chilean salmon, Brazilian tilapia exports to US market] makes that market less attractive, so diverting effort to the EU under its trade agreement (Taxation-Customs) is smarter. Building stronger ties with mid-tier Asian and Lithuanian partners can provide stability against market-specific shocks like tariffs.

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Chile Frozen Salmon (HS 030313) 2025 Q3 Export: Action Plan for Frozen Salmon Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

The core price drivers for Chile Frozen salmon Export 2025 Q3 under HS Code 030313 are product grade and geopolitical risk. Bulk exports to markets like Russia drive volume but yield low margins, while premium shipments to China and Taiwan command higher prices. The 10% U.S. tariff further pressures profitability, making market diversification essential.

Supply chain implications center on supply security and Chile's role as a processing hub. Heavy reliance on high-volume buyers and concentrated geographic flows creates vulnerability to demand shifts or trade barriers. The market structure favors consistent, large-scale shipments but lacks flexibility for sudden changes.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Frozen salmon Market Execution

• Use HS Code data to identify and target buyers of premium sub-code 03031340. This will increase average sale price and improve margins against tariff pressures.
• Analyze shipment frequency of top buyers to predict order cycles. This ensures production planning matches demand, preventing overstock or shortages.
• Leverage trade agreement maps to redirect exports away from tariff-affected markets like the U.S. and toward partners like the EU. This protects revenue and maintains market access.
• Build profiles of mid-tier Asian importers using trade flow data. This diversifies your buyer base and reduces dependency on a few large clients.

Take Action Now —— Explore Chile Frozen salmon Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Chile Frozen salmon Export 2025 Q3?

A1. The Q3 surge in value (37% growth) and volume (24% growth) reflects seasonal harvesting peaks, but competitive pressure from the 10% U.S. tariff has slightly lowered average prices despite higher shipments.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Chile Frozen salmon Export 2025 Q3?

A2. China leads by value (41.79% share), paying premium prices, while Russia dominates volume (37.62% share) with bulk, lower-grade purchases. Taiwan and Kazakhstan are secondary key markets.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Chile Frozen salmon Export 2025 Q3 partner countries?

A3. Prices vary due to product specialization: China buys premium frozen salmon (sub-code 03031340 at 7.57 USD/kg), while Russia purchases bulk-standard salmon (sub-code 03031310 at 3.06 USD/kg).

Q4. What should exporters in Chile focus on in the current Frozen salmon export market?

A4. Prioritize maintaining relationships with high-volume buyers (98.02% of export value) while diversifying into premium markets like China and the EU to offset tariff impacts.

Q5. What does this Chile Frozen salmon export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

A5. Buyers in China/Taiwan can expect consistent high-quality supply, while bulk buyers (e.g., Russia) benefit from stable volume flows at competitive prices.

Q6. How is Frozen salmon typically used in this trade flow?

A6. Bulk-standard salmon (sub-code 03031310) is likely for further processing or mass consumption, while premium variants (sub-code 03031340) target quality-conscious retail or hospitality sectors.

Detailed Monthly Report

Chile HS030313 Export Snapshot 2025 JUL

Chile HS030313 Export Snapshot 2025 AUG

Chile HS030313 Export Snapshot 2025 SEP