2025 Uzbekistan Grapes (HS 080620) Export: Market Surge

Key Takeaways

Grapes, classified under HS Code 080620, exhibited strong growth with high volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export value surged 76% ($9.32M to $16.41M) alongside a 84% weight increase (7.40M kg to 13.62M kg), driven by seasonal harvest peaks and global demand shifts.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Grapes Export reliance on China (25.72% of value) and Kazakhstan (22.19% of volume) creates dual exposure—premium margins in China vs. bulk commodity risks in Kazakhstan.
• Product Logic: HS Code 080620 trade data reveals a bifurcated market: 87% of value from dried grapes (commodity pricing) vs. niche premium segments ($0.42/kg to $1.94/kg).

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 080620) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

The Uzbekistan grapes export trend from January to October 2025 showed strong overall growth despite significant monthly volatility. Total export value climbed from $9.32M to $16.41M, representing a 76% increase across the ten-month period, while export weight expanded from 7.40M kg to 13.62M kg. This growth occurred through a pattern of alternating surges and corrections, with particularly sharp increases in May and September-October offsetting mid-year contractions.

Drivers & Industry Context

The October peak aligns with the region's primary harvest season for grapes, when export volumes traditionally reach their annual maximum. The mid-year volatility likely reflects both normal agricultural cycles and shifting global demand patterns for dried fruit products. While Uzbekistan implemented new export duties on 86 commodity categories in July 2025, these measures specifically exempted HS Code 080620 [Kun.uz], meaning the value derived from HS Code 080620 exports operated without direct policy intervention. The growth trajectory suggests successful market penetration or expanded production capacity rather than policy-driven shifts.

Table: Uzbekistan Grapes Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 080620 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

The Uzbekistan HS Code 080620 export market is overwhelmingly dominated by a single category, dried grapes, which accounted for 87% of the total export value and 74% of the weight in 2025. According to yTrade data, this category was shipped in nearly 5,500 consignments. The remaining exports consisted of two minor sub-codes, which together represented just 13% of the value.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

The unit price disparity is stark, ranging from $0.42/kg to $1.94/kg, indicating a clear segmentation by quality or processing stage within the HS Code 080620 breakdown. The high-volume, low-price segment operates as a commodity market, while the smaller, premium-priced segment suggests specialization. This trade structure points to a bifurcated market where both bulk commodity and value-added strategies coexist.

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Uzbekistan Grapes Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

China dominates Uzbekistan's grape exports, absorbing 25.72% of total value from January to November 2025. This heavy reliance on a single market creates significant exposure to demand shifts or trade policy changes from this key partner. Kazakhstan follows as the second-largest destination by volume but contributes far less to overall export earnings. For Uzbekistan Grapes export destinations, this concentration underscores a strategic vulnerability that requires market diversification to mitigate risk.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

China's market demonstrates quality-conscious demand, with its value share (25.72%) exceeding its weight share (23.01%), indicating premium pricing for Uzbek grapes. Conversely, Kazakhstan shows classic commodity behavior with a 22.19% weight share but only 6.82% value share, reflecting price-sensitive bulk purchases likely for processing. The extremely high shipment frequency to Kazakhstan (31.70% of total) confirms fragmented, high-volume logistics patterns. These trade partners for Grapes present a dual opportunity: margin potential in China and volume scale in Kazakhstan, though with different operational requirements.

Table: Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 080620) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

Get Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 080620) Complete Destination Countries Profile

Uzbekistan Grapes Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan Grapes buyers are overwhelmingly dominated by a core group of loyal, high-volume partners. This segment, representing just 72% of total transactions, accounts for over 81% of the market's total value, indicating deeply embedded, contract-based supply chains. The market structure is exceptionally stable, revolving around a small number of key accounts that drive consistent, large-scale export flows.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

The heavy reliance on a few key accounts creates significant concentration risk; losing even one major buyer could severely impact export revenue. Sellers should prioritize relationship management and contract security with these established partners, especially as new export duties on raw materials, including those potentially affecting agricultural goods, were introduced in mid-2025 [kun.uz]. For long-tail, smaller buyers, a targeted digital strategy could help capture additional spot demand without diverting focus from core HS Code 080620 buyer trends.

Table: Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 080620) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Grapes Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify buyer portfolios: Reduce concentration risk by targeting new markets beyond China and Kazakhstan, leveraging the 19% of export value from smaller buyers.
• Optimize logistics for bulk shipments: Streamline high-frequency, low-margin exports to Kazakhstan to offset operational costs from fragmented consignments (31.70% of total shipments).
• Capitalize on premium segments: Invest in quality branding for dried grapes to capture higher unit prices ($1.94/kg) in China, where value share exceeds weight share.
• Lock in core contracts: Secure long-term agreements with top buyers (72% of transactions driving 81% of value) to stabilize revenue amid export duty uncertainties.
• Monitor harvest cycles: Align inventory and pricing strategies with seasonal peaks (May, September-October) to maximize returns during high-demand windows.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Grapes HS Code 080620 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Grapes Export in 2025?

The export value of Uzbekistan Grapes surged by 76% in 2025, driven by seasonal harvest peaks and strong global demand, particularly for dried grapes (87% of export value). Policy changes did not directly impact this HS Code, as it was exempt from new export duties.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Grapes (HS Code 080620) in 2025?

China dominates with 25.72% of export value, followed by Kazakhstan, which accounts for 6.82% of value but 22.19% of weight due to bulk purchases.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Grapes Export in 2025?

China pays premium prices (higher value-to-weight ratio), reflecting quality demand, while Kazakhstan’s lower unit price indicates commodity-grade bulk purchases for processing.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Grapes export market?

Prioritize securing contracts with core buyers (72% of transactions drive 81% of value) and diversify markets to reduce reliance on China, which poses concentration risks.

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Grapes export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Chinese buyers benefit from stable, high-quality supply, while Kazakh buyers access cost-effective bulk volumes. Both face competition for limited premium or commodity segments.

Q6. How is Grapes typically used in this trade flow?

Dried grapes dominate (87% of export value), suggesting primary use in food processing or direct consumption, with minor sub-codes likely representing niche or value-added products.