2025 Uzbekistan Apricots (HS 0809) Export: Extreme Volatility

Key Takeaways

Apricots, classified under HS Code 0809, exhibited high volatility from January to November 2025.

• Market Pulse: Export values surged to over $100 million monthly in May and June before collapsing to under $1 million by October, reflecting extreme seasonal volatility tied to Uzbekistan’s apricot harvest cycle.
• Structural Shift: Uzbekistan Apricots Export market is dangerously concentrated, with 82.6% of value going to Russia—a single-point failure risk if demand shifts or trade relations sour.
• Product Logic: HS Code 0809 trade data shows cherries command a 2.81 USD/kg premium over bulk fruits like peaches (1.00 USD/kg), highlighting untapped margin potential in niche varieties.

This overview covers the period from January to November 2025 and is based on verified customs data from the yTrade database.

Uzbekistan Apricots (HS Code 0809) Key Metrics Trend

Market Trend Summary

Analyzing the Uzbekistan Apricots Export trend from January to October 2025 reveals a pattern of low initial activity followed by a dramatic surge and subsequent sharp decline. Export values remained under $100,000 through March, plummeted to a low in March, then exploded in May and June, exceeding $100 million monthly, before collapsing to under $1 million by October. This trajectory indicates a highly volatile export cycle, with peak performance concentrated in mid-year months.

Drivers & Industry Context

The surge in May and June aligns with the typical apricot harvest season in Uzbekistan, where peak production drives export volumes higher, explaining the spike in hs code 0809 value. The subsequent decline from July onward reflects the end of the harvest cycle and reduced availability, rather than policy impacts, as apricots were exempt from new export duties implemented in July [Kun.uz]. Seasonal factors thus dominate the trend, with no significant regulatory changes affecting this commodity directly.

Table: Uzbekistan Apricots Export Trend (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan HS Code 0809 Export Breakdown

Market Composition & Top Categories

According to yTrade data, Uzbekistan's HS Code 0809 export market from January to November 2025 is dominated by fresh peaches, including nectarines, which account for 36.8% of the total export value. Apricots hold a combined share of nearly 20%, with cherries and plums forming significant secondary categories. The remaining sub-codes consist of minor fruit varieties with minimal individual impact on the overall Uzbekistan HS Code 0809 Export structure.

Value Chain & Strategic Insights

Unit prices reveal a clear value hierarchy, with cherries reaching up to 2.81 USD/kg compared to peaches and apricots at around 1.00 USD/kg, indicating a commodity-driven market where specific fruit types command premiums. This HS Code 0809 breakdown shows a trade structure centered on bulk fresh produce, with price sensitivity outweighing quality specialization for most segments. Exporters should focus on optimizing volume for lower-value fruits while targeting niche markets for higher-priced varieties like cherries.

Table: Uzbekistan HS Code 0809) Export Breakdown Details (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Apricots Destination Countries

Geographic Concentration & Market Risk

Russia dominates Uzbekistan's apricot exports, capturing 82.6% of the total value from January to November 2025. This overwhelming 82.6 million USD share, paired with a 75.3% weight share, indicates a critical dependency on a single market. Such concentration exposes Uzbek exporters to significant geopolitical and economic risk should Russian demand or trade relations shift.

Purchasing Behavior & Demand Segmentation

Russia's value share (82.6%) exceeds its weight share (75.3%), signaling a market that pays a premium, likely for quality-conscious demand and higher-value specifications. This contrasts with Kazakhstan, where a lower value-to-weight ratio indicates more price-sensitive, bulk-oriented purchases. Russia's extremely high shipment frequency also points to a fragmented, high-volume retail or JIT replenishment system. For Uzbek apricots, the Russian market offers superior margin potential over pure volume scale.

Table: Uzbekistan Apricots (HS Code 0809) Top Destination Countries (Source: yTrade)

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Uzbekistan Apricots Buyer Companies Analysis

Buyer Concentration & Market Structure

According to yTrade data, the Uzbekistan Apricots export market in 2025 is overwhelmingly dominated by high-value, high-frequency buyers, who hold 93.39% of the total value share. This indicates a stable, contract-based supply chain environment, where key accounts such as recurring wholesale partners drive consistent demand. The concentration highlights the reliance on a few loyal, high-volume repeaters for Uzbekistan Apricots buyers.

Purchasing Behavior & Sales Strategy

With nearly all value tied to a small group of loyal repeaters, there is significant concentration risk if any major account shifts its orders. Sellers should prioritize securing long-term contracts and ensuring reliable supply to maintain these partnerships, while monitoring HS Code 0809 buyer trends for any diversification opportunities. This approach mitigates vulnerability and leverages the stable purchasing patterns of core clients.

Table: Uzbekistan Apricots (HS Code 0809) Top Buyers List (Source: yTrade)

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Action Plan for Apricots Market Operation and Expansion

• Diversify export markets: Reduce reliance on Russia by targeting premium buyers in Kazakhstan or new regions where value-to-weight ratios are higher.
• Lock in long-term contracts: Secure agreements with high-frequency buyers (93.39% of value share) to stabilize revenue against seasonal swings.
• Optimize logistics for bulk fruits: Focus on cost reduction for peaches and apricots (1.00 USD/kg) to protect margins in price-sensitive segments.
• Brand premium cherry exports: Leverage the 2.81 USD/kg price point with quality certifications or specialized packaging to capture niche demand.
• Monitor Russian trade policy: Track regulatory changes in Russia, as any disruption to this 82.6% market would require immediate contingency plans.

Take Action Now —— Explore Uzbekistan Apricots HS Code 0809 Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Uzbekistan Apricots Export in 2025?

The surge in May and June 2025 aligns with Uzbekistan's apricot harvest season, driving export volumes, while the sharp decline afterward reflects reduced post-harvest availability—seasonal factors dominate the trend.

Q2. Who are the main destination countries of Uzbekistan Apricots (HS Code 0809) in 2025?

Russia dominates with 82.6% of Uzbekistan's apricot export value, followed by Kazakhstan, which holds a smaller share with more price-sensitive demand.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across destination countries of Uzbekistan Apricots Export in 2025?

Russia's higher value-to-weight ratio indicates premium pricing for quality-conscious demand, while Kazakhstan's lower ratio reflects bulk-oriented, price-sensitive purchases.

Q4. What should exporters in Uzbekistan focus on in the current Apricots export market?

Exporters should secure long-term contracts with high-value buyers (93.39% of market value) while diversifying to mitigate over-reliance on Russia (82.6% share).

Q5. What does this Uzbekistan Apricots export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Russian buyers benefit from stable, high-volume shipments with premium pricing, whereas Kazakhstan's buyers access lower-cost, bulk-oriented supply.

Q6. How is Apricots typically used in this trade flow?

Apricots are primarily exported as fresh produce, with bulk shipments dominating trade flows, though higher-value varieties like cherries command premium prices.