Indonesia Petroleum Gas HS2711 Export Data 2025 Q2 Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export: Key Takeaways

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q2 reveals a commodity-driven market under HS Code 2711, with China dominating 32% of shipments at a stable $0.53/kg price point. East Asian buyers form a tight cluster, securing 60% of exports under long-term contracts, while ASEAN partners show pricing variability. Exporters face policy uncertainty as Indonesia reviews domestic LNG allocations, urging buyers to diversify sources. This analysis covers 2025 Q2 and is based on cleanly processed Customs data from the yTrade database.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export Background

Indonesia's Petroleum Gas (HS Code 2711: Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons) fuels power generation, industrial processes, and petrochemicals, maintaining steady global demand. As of Q2 2025, Indonesia has yet to clarify LNG export volumes beyond Q1 due to domestic supply reviews, prioritizing local needs over international commitments [SP Global]. The country remains a key Asia-Pacific exporter, but policy shifts toward retaining export earnings and reallocating gas domestically signal tighter future supply [APERC].

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export: Trend Summary

Key Observations

In Q2 2025, Indonesia's Petroleum Gas Export (HS Code 2711) saw a slight decline in average unit price compared to Q1, with a notable drop to $0.50/kg in May—the lowest point in the first half of the year—highlighting increased price volatility amid uncertain export policies.

Price and Volume Dynamics

Quarter-over-quarter, export volume edged up from 3.55 billion kg in Q1 to 3.64 billion kg in Q2, while the average unit price dipped from $0.527/kg to $0.523/kg. This divergence suggests that higher volumes were offset by softer pricing, consistent with seasonal demand patterns where global LNG demand typically moderates post-winter. The May price slump likely reflects temporary market adjustments rather than a structural shift, as volumes remained robust.

External Context and Outlook

Policy uncertainty drove much of this volatility, as Indonesia delayed clarifying export allocations beyond Q1 2025 to prioritize domestic gas supply [S&P Global]. With the government reallocating gas from Sumatra to avoid imports (S&P Global), exports under HS Code 2711 may face continued pressure. Outlook remains cautious, hinging on domestic demand reviews and potential regulatory tweaks.

Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export: HS Code Breakdown

Product Specialization and Concentration

In Indonesia's Petroleum Gas Export for 2025 Q2, HS Code 2711 is heavily concentrated in liquefied natural gas, with the sub-code 27111100 ("Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons; liquefied, natural gas") accounting for nearly 75% of both value and weight shares. This dominance is supported by a consistent unit price of approximately $0.52 per kilogram across major exports, indicating a specialized focus on bulk LNG. Two minor sub-codes (27111900 and 27112900) show higher unit prices around $0.71-$0.96 per kilogram but have negligible trade volumes, so they are isolated as anomalies and excluded from the main analysis.

Value-Chain Structure and Grade Analysis

The remaining non-anomalous sub-codes can be grouped into two primary categories based on form: liquefied natural gas (27111100) and gaseous natural gas (27112190), with a smaller segment for other liquefied hydrocarbons like ethylene and propylene (27111490). The narrow price range of $0.51-$0.53 per kilogram across these groups confirms that Indonesia's petroleum gas trade operates as a fungible bulk commodity, where products are largely undifferentiated and likely tied to global energy indices rather than value-added processing.

Strategic Implication and Pricing Power

This commodity-based structure limits Indonesia's pricing power to volume-driven strategies, as exports are susceptible to global market fluctuations. However, Indonesia's focus on LNG exports faces strategic pressure from domestic demand reviews and policy shifts, such as the government's ongoing assessment of export allocations to prioritize local needs [S&P Global]. Market players should monitor Indonesia's export regulations, including foreign exchange retention rules for natural resources (S&P Global), which could impact trade flows and reinforce the need for flexible supply agreements.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export: Market Concentration

Geographic Concentration and Dominant Role

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q2 shows a highly concentrated market, with CHINA MAINLAND acting as the dominant buyer. China accounts for 32.32% of total export value and 31.99% of weight, indicating a consistent unit price of approximately $0.53 per kilogram for HS Code 2711 shipments. This value-weight alignment confirms the commodity nature of petroleum gas, where pricing follows standardized energy market benchmarks rather than product differentiation.

Partner Countries Clusters and Underlying Causes

The export pattern reveals two clear clusters. The first consists of major East Asian economies (Singapore, Japan, South Korea) collectively taking over 60% of exports, with similarly balanced value-weight ratios indicating long-term supply contracts for energy security. The second cluster includes smaller ASEAN partners (Thailand, Philippines, China Taiwan) and Mexico, showing notable value-weight disparities

• Thailand's exports carry significantly higher value per unit, suggesting either different product specifications or spot market pricing, while Mexico's minimal value share points to smaller trial shipments or different grade requirements.

Forward Strategy and Supply Chain Implications

Exporters face policy-driven uncertainty, as Indonesia has not clarified LNG export allocations beyond Q1 2025 while reviewing domestic demand [SP Global]. This creates supply chain risks for buyers dependent on Indonesian gas. Companies should diversify sources and negotiate flexible contract terms to mitigate potential export restrictions. The government's requirement to retain 100% of natural resource export earnings in domestic banks [Orrick] adds financial complexity, requiring exporters to adjust their treasury operations for HS Code 2711 transactions.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export: Buyer Cluster

Buyer Market Concentration and Dominance

The Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export market in 2025 Q2, under HS Code 2711, shows extreme concentration in one of the four buyer segments. Buyers making large, frequent purchases dominate, holding 99.10% of the total export value and 77.63% of transaction frequency. This segment includes major companies like BP. BERAU LTD and MEDCO E&P GRISSIK LTD, indicating a market driven by high-volume, regular contracts. The overall market is characterized by infrequent but massive shipments from a small group of key players.

Strategic Buyer Clusters and Trade Role

The other segments play minor roles. Buyers with frequent but low-value transactions, such as PERTAMINA PATRA NIAGA, account for 15.79% of frequency but only 0.73% of value, suggesting they are smaller distributors or regular small-scale buyers. Infrequent, low-value buyers, like KAYAN LNG NUSANTARA, make up 6.58% of frequency and 0.18% of value, likely representing occasional or spot market participants. There are no buyers with high value but low frequency in this period.

Sales Strategy and Vulnerability

For exporters in Indonesia, the focus should be on maintaining strong ties with dominant high-value buyers to secure revenue, but this creates vulnerability to shifts in their demand. The high dependence on a few buyers aligns with news of Indonesia reviewing export policies due to domestic needs [spglobal.com], suggesting potential export reductions. Sales strategies must adapt to regulatory changes, like retaining export proceeds in local banks (spglobal.com), and explore diversifying buyer base to mitigate risks from policy uncertainties.

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Indonesia Petroleum Gas (HS 2711) 2025 Q2 Export: Action Plan for Petroleum Gas Market Expansion

Strategic Supply Chain Overview

Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q2 operates as a bulk commodity market under HS Code 2711. Price is driven by global energy indices, not product differentiation. All major shipments show a consistent unit price near $0.52 per kilogram. Supply depends heavily on a few large buyers in East Asia. This creates high exposure to global LNG price swings and Indonesian policy shifts. Indonesia is reviewing domestic gas demand, which may reduce future export volumes. Exporters face supply chain risks from potential government restrictions.

Action Plan: Data-Driven Steps for Petroleum Gas Market Execution

• Monitor Indonesian government announcements on LNG export quotas using regulatory tracking tools. This prevents sudden supply disruptions from policy changes.
• Diversify your buyer portfolio by targeting smaller importers in Southeast Asia with tailored offers. This reduces over-reliance on a few dominant clients.
• Negotiate flexible volume clauses in supply contracts with major partners like China and Japan. This allows quick adjustments if Indonesian exports are curtailed.
• Analyze HS Code 2711 shipment data monthly to spot changes in buyer frequency or volume. This provides early warning of demand shifts or new market opportunities.
• Set up local banking arrangements in Indonesia to manage the 100% export proceeds retention rule. This avoids transaction delays and compliance issues.

Take Action Now —— Explore Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Q1. What is driving the recent changes in Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q2?

The slight decline in average unit price (-$0.004/kg) alongside higher export volumes (+0.09B kg) reflects seasonal demand shifts and policy uncertainty, as Indonesia reviews domestic gas needs and delays export allocation clarity beyond Q1 2025.

Q2. Who are the main partner countries in this Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q2?

China dominates with 32.3% of export value, followed by East Asian partners (Singapore, Japan, South Korea) collectively accounting for over 60% of shipments. Smaller ASEAN buyers like Thailand show notable value-weight disparities.

Q3. Why does the unit price differ across Indonesia Petroleum Gas Export 2025 Q2 partner countries?

Price differences stem from product form: bulk liquefied natural gas (27111100) trades at $0.51-$0.53/kg, while minor sub-codes like gaseous natural gas (27112190) command $0.71-$0.96/kg but represent negligible volumes.

Q4. What should exporters in Indonesia focus on in the current Petroleum Gas export market?

Exporters must prioritize relationships with high-volume buyers (e.g., BP BERAU LTD) controlling 99% of value, while diversifying to mitigate risks from Indonesia’s potential export restrictions and domestic policy shifts.

Q5. What does this Indonesia Petroleum Gas export pattern mean for buyers in partner countries?

Buyers face supply chain risks due to Indonesia’s unclarified export policies; major East Asian importers should secure flexible contracts, while smaller partners may leverage spot-market opportunities from value-weight disparities.

Q6. How is Petroleum Gas typically used in this trade flow?

Indonesia’s exports are primarily undifferentiated bulk LNG (75% share), tied to global energy indices and used for power generation or industrial feedstock in partner countries.

Q7. What is yTrade?

yTrade is a global trade data platform that provides SaaS and API access to provide accurate, structured, and searchable import-export trade data for international business decisions. It enables users to access verified shipment records, analyse buyer and supplier activity, review company trade overviews, assess compliance risks, and monitor real market demand — all from a single, scalable system.

Q8. How can yTrade benefit my business?

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Q9. What features does yTrade offer?

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